DOMESTIC VIOLENCE HIGH RISK TRAINING PROGRAM A SUCCESS: IN USE BY WHITE PLAINS, NEW ROCHELLE POLICE DEPARTMENTS AND OTHER DEPTS IN LAST YEAR.

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WPCNR POLICE GAZETTE. From the Westchester Department of Communications. (Edited). October 2, 2021:

Together with the Westchester County Office for Women, the Westchester County District Attorney’s Office, Westchester Medical Center, Pace Women’s Justice Center, Legal Services of the Hudson Valley, members the New Rochelle Police Department and domestic violence advocates from across Westchester, County Executive George Latimer announced the success of the Domestic Violence High Risk Training (DVHRT) Program.

Latimer said: “The impetus for this program, as successful as it has proven to be in our local police departments, is borne out of tragedy. We have seen murder-suicides here in Westchester County, and we did not like what we saw. But – we are problem solvers and we are innovators, and serious family violence and domestic partner violence is something that just will not be tolerated.

We have introduced this program in an attempt to limit future high risk domestic violence, and we have seen this training pay dividends in the communities who are using it. Survivors who have been part of this extraordinary program are the best promoters of the program, and play an active role in the police training. With their help, we have been able to work towards establishing long-term safety and security for these victims.”

The training program, which was recently completed by officers of the New Rochelle Police Department, uses a multi-disciplinary team-based approach to identify, serve and support victims of domestic violence who may be at risk of serious harm or homicide by their offender.

Within the past year the program has been implemented in Dobbs Ferry, Hastings, North Castle, Peekskill, Tuckahoe, Yorktown, Rye Brook, Eastchester, Sleepy Hollow, White Plains and Westchester County Department of Public Safety.

Lewisboro, North Salem, Bedford, Pound Ridge and Somers have been using the program since 2017, and the County hopes to start training Yonkers PD, the County’s largest municipal department, next month.. 

DVHRT, which is gradually being implemented into Westchester County’s local police departments, involves training responding police officers in the Lethality Assessment Program (LAP), a danger assessment tool for law enforcement that they conduct at the scene of a domestic incident with trauma-sensitive interviewing techniques.

The County’s DVHRT Program is being used as a model for other counties across New York State, creating and solidifying a bond between law enforcement and domestic violence service providers to protect victims from harm and increase offender accountability.

The Westchester County Office for Women was just awarded a $1 Million dollar grant from the Department of Justice to continue implementing the high risk team over the next four years.

The current  training team includes members of the Westchester County Office for Women, the District Attorney’s Office, police chiefs from Pound Ridge and White Plains, the senior director of Westchester Medical Center’s Sexual Assault and Crime Victims Advocacy Program, civil legal services including Pace Women’s Justice Center, and a domestic violence survivor.

HOW DVHRT WORKS ON A POLICE DOMESTIC VIOLENCE CALL

When police officers respond to a domestic violence call, they are trained to use the lethality assessment tool to determine if the victim is at risk of being killed or seriously harmed by their partner. From the scene, responding officers call a 24/7 support line that is staffed by well-trained advocates at Westchester Medical Center.

The advocate will speak with the victim, offer safety planning and available resources, and make an immediate connection to the appropriate services. The Officer for Women schedules all training, reviews all LAP’s and monitors all DSVP referrals.

The New Rochelle Police Department most recently completed the training, and within the past year the program has been implemented in Dobbs Ferry, Hastings, North Castle, Peekskill, Tuckahoe, Yorktown, Rye Brook, Eastchester, Sleepy Hollow, White Plains and Westchester County Department of Public Safety. Lewisboro, North Salem, Bedford, Pound Ridge and Somers have been using the program since 2017, and the County hopes to start training Yonkers PD, the County’s largest municipal department, next month.. 

Westchester County District Attorney Mimi Rocah said: “The Domestic Violence High Risk Team and the Lethality Assessment Program are instrumental in our efforts to ensure victims of domestic violence are protected and that their abusers are held accountable in the criminal justice system. Through the LAP training, the District Attorney’s Office works with our law enforcement partners to train officers to evaluate the risk of danger present in a case, connect a survivor to resources immediately, use trauma-aware interview techniques to collect critical information, and possess a heightened sensitivity to the impact of abuse on survivors. The LAP training truly can make a difference in saving a victim’s life and I am so proud that our Special Prosecutions Division has played such a crucial role in this community safety initiative.”

Director of the Westchester County Office for Women Robi Schlaff said: “In the Office for Women, our utmost concern will always be protecting the safety of Westchester County’s residents and families, especially victims of domestic violence. We took a great deal of time investigating models that have been proven successful in assessing the gravest risk to families, and implementing enhanced safety protections.  We are fortunate to have the most professional and competent partners in law enforcement, the District Attorney’s office and our service providers, all of whom are committed to this mission of protecting our most vulnerable residents and families.”

Police Commissioner Thomas A. Gleason of the Westchester County Department of Public Safety said: “The Lethality Assessment Protocol gives police officers a practical tool they can use when they respond to any domestic incident.  It  enables them to better identify offenders who are at high-risk for taking the lives of their intimate partners and even their children. There is nothing theoretical about the potential for this kind of violence.   We know all too well that it can happen here because it has happened here. We were proud to be an original partner in bringing the Lethality Assessment Protocol to Westchester, and we have provided this training to our officers and made it a part of our Police Academy curriculum.”

Police Commissioner of the New Rochelle Police Department Robert Gazzola said: “The Domestic Violence High Risk Training Program recently conducted by the Westchester County Office for Women Collaborative Staff will ensure that our Officers know how to protect and serve victims of domestic violence, from identification and intervention on through to placement with specialized advocates.”

Executive Director of Pace Women’s Justice Center Cindy Kanusher said: “We are privileged to be a part of the DVHRT program. As a civil legal services provider representing victims of abuse, we understand the critical need for this training and for the LAP program in our county.  There is no doubt that training police on high risk factors, combined with referral protocols that provide emergency safety planning and enhanced services for victims will help to reduce the risk of continued serious and lethal violence for victims of domestic violence and save lives.”

Executive Director of Hope’s Door CarlLa Horton said: “Hope’s Door is grateful for the work of our many partners in the Westchester County Domestic Violence High Risk Team. We collaborate with one singular goal – to save the lives of domestic violence victims identified as high-risk for lethality or life-threatening assault. From the trained police officer responding on the scene, to the advocate at the medical center, to the counselors providing on-going support, to the prosecutors in the D.A.’s office – all of us are working together across systems to hold offenders accountable, to enhance victim safety, and to save lives. Hope’s Door joins with our partners in acknowledging the commitment to this collaborative work demonstrated by the New Rochelle Police Department.”

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GOVERNOR ANNOUNCES FIRST CANNABIS CONTROL BOARD MEETING TUESDAY–SEE IT IN ACTION

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WPCNR CANNABIS REPORT. From the Governor’s Press Office. October 2, 2021:

ALERT: New York State Cannabis Control Board Announces First Public Meeting of the Board to be held Tuesday October 5, 2021 at 1:30 PM


On September 22, 2021, Governor Kathy Hochul announced the final appointments to the five-member Cannabis Control Board. The Cannabis Control Board is charged with approving a comprehensive regulatory framework for New York’s cannabis industry. The Board will oversee licensing of cannabis businesses and the approval of various actions taken by the Office of Cannabis Management.


Tuesday, October 5, 2021 – The New York State Cannabis Control Board will hold its first public meeting of the Board at 1:30 PM on Tuesday, October 5, 2021. Members of the public are welcome to attend virtually via videoconference.
The public is able to observe meetings from a mobile device or computer on our live webcast:https://players.brightcove.net/2886492229001/default_default/index.html?videoId=6193797864001.

Videos of each meeting are also posted on our website following the meeting.


Meeting agenda and additional information can be found here: https://cannabis.ny.gov/cannabis-control-board-meetings.


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FEMA COMING TO GREENBURGH TOWN HALL TO EXPLAIN CLAIMS PROCEDURES TUESDAY AND TAKE CLAIM APPLICATIONS, SUNDAY, MONDAY TUESDAY

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WPCNR UPCOMING. By Paul Feiner, Greenburgh Town Supervisor. October 2, 2021:

ARE YOU CONFUSED ABOUT FEMA? ABOUT SBA?   MEETING TUESDAY AT 4:30 pm

Have you reached out to FEMA, SBA or your insurance company and been disappointed? Or, are you having good experiences, getting the financial help you need?

FEMA will also take applications at the Greenburgh Library Sunday 9 AM to 5 PM…Monday and Tuesday October 4 and 5  10 am to 6 pm

This Tuesday, at 4:30 PM a representative from the government affairs office of FEMA and SBA will attend a Town Board work session at Town Hall (177 Hillside Ave, White Plains).

If you have any questions about the financial assistance programs they offer or concerns please e mail me at pfeiner@greenburghny.com. We will ask the questions. You can also attend the meeting. Questions, problems people are having will be highlighted. Many residents have lost cars, suffered tens of thousands of dollars in property losses and our now struggling through government red tape. Some residents are staying in hotels and they still haven’t received any financial help or inadequate support.

If you need extra help we have a storm reliefs angel volunteer program and have been matching volunteers with residents. We hope to also give direct feedback as to what is working and not working with our congressional and state legislative delegation.

PAUL FEINER

Greenburgh Town Supervisor

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GEDNEY ASSOCIATION and WPCNA PRESENTS PRIORITIES IN “VISION STATEMENT” THE CITY SHOULD CONSIDER IN DEVELOPING NEW COMPREHENSIVE PLAN

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WPCNR THE LETTER TICKER. From the Gedney Association. October 1, 2021:



The most important issue on the current calendar is the beginning of the update to the Comprehensive Plan. The City has started the process that will take place over the next year. The Gedney Board along with the Council of Neighborhood Associations (WPCNA) are seeking refinements to the process that we believe will result in a greater number of residents being more directly involved. We hope to have a questionnaire for the residents of Gedney Farms soon.

In the meantime, outlined below is the preliminary Vision Statement of the Board. We ask for your input on this and any other recommendations you may have. Please email the Gedney Association at info@gedneyfarms.net with your input.

Regards,

John E. Sheehan

President
 



Gedney Farms Vision Statement:

Pertaining to Gedney Farms

  • Preservation of Low-density single-family zoning
  • Preservation of historic character of Gedney Farms
  • Encourage Open Space Preservation
  • Protection of Area Watercourses & Wetlands
  • Reduce Cut-through traffic
  • Preserve R-30 single family zoning on golf course properties

Pertaining to South End of City

  • Protect low-density single-family zoning
  • Prohibit Cut-through traffic on local streets
  • Prohibit Multi-family apartments on existing or former low-density office parks
  • Limit retail to community related needs and limit to existing local retail centers
  • Maintain requisite fire and police services and consider future needs

Pertaining to City-Wide Issues

  • Protect the delicate balance between Downtown and surrounding single-family neighborhoods
  • Return to lower height restrictions of residential and office properties in Downtown zoning
  • Limit multi-family housing to downtown
  • Evaluate the decreasing role of retail development downtown
  • Evaluate the decline and changes of the office market downtown
  • Study the limits of new development due to limitations on sewer capacity, traffic congestion, school capacity and parkland and other facilities and services
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IT’S “GOOD NEWS WEEK” ON WHITE PLAINS WEEK THE OCT 1 REPORT. SEE IT ANYTIME SCROLL DOWN TO WHITE PLAINS WEEK ON WWW.WPCOMMUNITYMEDIA.ORG

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WESTCHESTER COUNTY EXECUTIVE GEORGE LATIMER GOOD NEWS COVID COVERAGE
ON 25% DROP IN NEW COVID CASES, THOUSANDS GETTING VACCINATED, LESS SPREAD.
WHITE PLAINS SUPERINTENDENT OF SCHOOLS DR. JOSEPH RICCA
ON THE START OF SCHOOL, NEW TESTING AND VACCINATING OPTIONS IN OCTOBER AND THE WPHS CAFETERIA SITUATION ON THE SECOND DAY OF SCHOOL
WESTCHESTER COUNTY DISTRICT ATTORNEY MIMI ROCAH
GIVES FIRST OFFENDERS A “FRESH START
” WHITE PLAINS AND GREENBURGH WILL START THE PROGRAM
CITY CENTER PARKING GARAGE OR DEFAULT?:
COUNCIL FACES COVID EFFECTS ON PARKING REVENUES
JOHN BAILEY AND THE NEWS
MORE ON FASNY, THE GRECA OPENING
ON THE OCTOBER 1 WHITE PLAINS WEEK

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Great Greca!

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WPCNR Reporter About Town . By John F. Bailey. September 29, 2021.

White Plains added to its diverse collection  of fine dining experiences last night with the grand opening of Greca Mediterranean Kitchen and Bar.

Renaissance on Renaissance Square in White Plains NY USA

What an opening!

It was the White Plains debut of Connecticut’s most honored new restauranteur, Constantine “Dino” Kolitsas ,Tuesday night in the most elaborate restaurant opening night this reporter has experienced  in 18 years.

The press and  Who’s Who of  Mr. and Mrs. And Ms. Westchester sampled light tasty hors d’euvres unique to the house tastily light, precisely right;  cocktails ,  mellow cabernet sauvignon  Oenodea Greek wine with courses,  and course after   course featuring Greca specialties of the house.

Zucchini Kefetedhes–Croquettes with feta, fresh herbs, tzatziki and red pepper cuoulis. Delicious light luscious

Your reporter departed at 8 PM after the first serving but the courses kept on coming. Owner Dino Kolitsas  said  40 guests were served 4 courses of 20 dishes. The most popular was roasted cauliflower

Ochtapoli: octopus grilled perfectly, tender, not chewy infused with flavor . The best octopus I have ever eaten.
Owner Constantine “Dino” Kolitsas in front of the elegant new bar.

After Kylie and Louis Cappelli addressed the 40 invited  guests,   dishes were served in waves by the cordial efficient server staff who created a party atmosphere in a sweeping new décor themed in Greek turquoise and light blue with a splendid tiled bar that is seductive in its lure and fabulous original cocktails like the Socratic Method (bourbon, roots rakomelo and fresh sage).

Frankie and Amanda, Greca personalities behind the inviting bar.

Greca is every bit its owner’s motto: “Enter as strangers, leave as friends.”

Greca  warms up a truly original dining venue in White Plains, 189 Main Street, overlooking the lights of Renaissance Square.

Connecticut Magazine named Mr. Kolitsas’  restaurant in New Milford, opened in 2019  “Best Overall Excellence,” “Best New Restaurant” and ‘Best Mediterranean/Greek Restaurant.”

The restaurant fills the space left by the departure of Mediterraneo, that had been there for 8 years. Mr. Cappelli said  the former restaurant had closed due to covid.

Kylie Cappelli with Mr. Kolitsas at the ribbon-cutting ceremony
Louis Cappelli addressing the guests. Mr. Cappelli said White Plains on the move and growing and said he and his wife 11 year residents of White Plains love the city.

Mr. Cappelli gave his wife Kylie credit for bringing Mr. Kolitsas into White Plains. (“Why don’t we do a Greek restaurant,” he quoted her) for suggesting a Greek restaurant because of her Greek ancestry.  He said they first met Mr. Kolitsas at the New Milford restaurant and the partnership developed from there.

The result is a mix of dishes that are light and tasty with an upbeat (like the refreshing bright interior of positivity and vibrance),  that makes you look forward to the next mouthful. The opening ribbon cutting added a unique touch with a prayer by Father Alex Karloutsos asking for blessings and success for the staff of the restaurant, praying “may all our guests love this restaurant.”

The spectacular upper deck.
Overlooking Renaissance Square
Dine with art.
The secluded private room grotto for private parties

Greca has  seating on the main floor, and a unique upper deck  giving you  sweeping views of the elegant Opus hotel and the glitter and glamour of Renaissance Square presenting a leisurely unpretentious vibe.  

Mr. Cappelli calls Greca “a world class Greek restaurant.”

Mayor Thomas Roach at the ribbon cutting, praised Mr. Cappelli as the man who gets things done. He noted that when The Mitchell announced the loss of their contractor, with a week, Mr. Cappelli was on the job.
Louis Cappelli with Geof Thompson and Liz Bracken-Thompson of Thompson & Bender who put together the evening.

If you enter as friends, you’ll be friendlier before the night is over!

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Westchester Stops 7 Weeks of 1,000 a week positive Covid cases. Average New Cases 102 a day for 4 days SAT thru Tues. 12 weeks of Sustained New Case Rise Stopped

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WPCNR CORONAVIRUS REPORT. From the NYS WORKBOOK Covid-19 Tracker. With reporting by John F. Bailey. September 28, 2021:

The Third Wave of Covid-19 in Westchester County is at low tide after 7 weeks of high tide infections of 1,000 new Covid cases a week

The 8 weeks of a steady rise of over 1,000 new cases of new Covid-19 cases in Westchester stopped when the third week of September (September 19 through September 25) recorded 973 new cases of Covid last Saturday, 27 short of 1,000 new cases which had been steady for 7 weeks. The previous week of Sept 12 to 19, 1,164 new cases were reported for the week , 166 a day.

Westchester County Executive George Latimer confirmed this in his covid briefing Monday say number of positive cases had declined 25%.

This has been followed by three days of new cases of 81, 116 and yesterday, 96 new cases, meaning this week if the present rate of new positives continues will mean 679 new cases in Westchester this week, which would mean a 30% drop in the number of new cases this week.

Tuesday the average infection rate dropped to 1.3% of those tested the lowest since September 21. The previous week September 12 to 18 the infection rate averaged 2.4%. From September 19 to 25, the infection rate dropped to 2.0 persons infected of those tested. The trend appears to be lowering.

Testing numbers have been lower which is also encouraging, but when fewer tests are done you get lower number of positive cases. This lowering of testing could mean either people are afraid to get tested for fear of being quarantined even if they have symptoms, or are not feeling symptoms so do not go in to get tested.

Another factor that can be encouraging is new cases from two weeks ago are not passing on the disease as much, which may indicate they are not getting as sick. The two week infection rate from 177 persons testing positive on September 14 on the first 3 days of this week is .6, .7 and .five –infecting less than one person for every 2 persons testing positive. That is below the covid spread containment growth rate of 1 person infecting 1 other person.

Mr. Latimer in his covid briefing Monday pointed out 11,000 persons were vaccinated in Westchester last week, probably as a result of the approval of a third booster shot for over- 65s. He also said hospitalizations for Covid were down to 60, this week.

The number of new infections will be watched closely as schools are starting, socializing is growing, restaurants are opening, entertainment is opening

The new infections since Westchester (and the whole state) relaxed restrictions on July 1 is sobering. Westchester stopped getting vaccinated to a great extent. We socialized. We went out. We did not mask, and the numbers grew.

In the month of July, there were 786 infections in the countyl

In August, in 4 weeks, there were 5,545 new infections.

In September, in three weeks, there were 4,139 new infections

The total new infections in the third wave since July 1: 10,470.

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WHAT’S SO BAD ABOUT DEFAULT? EVERYTHING. GOING 90 MILES AN HOUR DOWN A DEAD END STREET AND THE BRAKES ARE GONE.

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WPCNR NEWS AND COMMENT. By John F. Bailey.

Send off the clowns.

The side show is over.

They are not funny.

It is time to wake up, Washington. The dreams of power have got to stop. Talk about myopia!?

Talk about a self-made destruction of an empire!

The American empire is in its last days.

Who is doing this?

Every Congressman and Senator and yes, the President.

He should send out an Executive Order temporarily raising the debt ceiling as an Emergency Act. Let the Supreme Court make fools of themselves again by declaring it unconstitutional.

This is an emergency.

Now is the time for Democrats and Republicans to start working as persons who love America as they claim and save the declining country, rather showing us the incompetent self-serving, cowardly fools in thrall of madness.

Raise the debt ceiling For God’s sake.

 For George Wasington’s sake, Lincoln’s sake, Jefferson’s sake, John Madison’s John Adams, Alexander Hamilton’s, FDR’s and TR’s sake—and the sake of every American who once had a dream.

It’s Monopoly Money, really. Just print it!

If you do not, Republicans and Democrats, you can kiss the recovery goodbye. Bye bye economy. Bye bye any palm card statements. Make America nothing.

You will have destroyed the greatest hope of the world with your egos and fantasies of finance.

You will never be reelected when Middle America sees their savings go poof!

 Welfare payments stop, medical supplies unable to be paid for for vaccines, and hospitals close because they cannot pay their workers because insurance companies and do not reimburse medicaid and mediccare, because the insurance companies go bankrupt when their portfolio holdings drop to nothing when foreign and national investors sell out as fast as they can. The internet will collapse with sell orders.

How will you explain that Mr. Democrat and Mr. Republican and Mr. President or Presidents to Be?

Remember the movie “Changing Places,” Moguls, Zillionaires and celebrities will all be yelling into their cellphones saying “Sell, Wilbur Sell!”

The real estate market will disappear. Foreclosures will escalate.  It will be known as the burning of the money.

Listen to me. If you do not act together to tell yourselves it is ok to raise the debt ceiling, you are dooming the economy.

You will stall the fight against covid.

You will stop social security payments to millions in this country.

You will lower the value of the dollar that will never be thought of as a good investment in the world  again.

You will trigger the biggest crash the stock market has ever seen in one day. Nest eggs of millions of Americans will disappear in smoke as partisanship in Washington destroys the country like it was destroyed in the Civil War.

Obviously, the Republicans and the Democrats are playing “Chicken” like teenagers in souped up Buicks.

Just in case they have not noticed, covid is sweeeeeeeeeeeeeping the country. It’s killing your voters.

The stock market is at an all-time high so when you default that induces a sell-off to end all sell-offs.

Corporations will layoff everybody to preserve their profit margins. Scream for bailouts and you will print money to bail them out.

Consumer spending will drop by a record amount because most will have no money.

Hedge funds will have nothing to hedge within hours. The sell-off on Default Day will be catastrophic.

Service industries will not have service jobs because no consumer will pay for them to be done. You can’t replace your gutters without money to pay the gutter man.

Restaurants, forget it. Theatre forget it. Hollywood forget it. No one will have money to make a motion picture that runs on Netflix if no one can pay for Netflix

Autos. Gas? The gas price will drop to  Depression levels. The oil producing countries economies will be destroyed. My mind reels with the self-inflicted misery this do-nothing congress has decided to create mutually by their political charades focused only on their own selfish desire to be reelected and seize power.

As Hank Snow once sang about an affair, the administration, the Democrats and Republicans are “ like a bad motorcycle going 90 miles an hour down a dead-end street and the brakes are gone.”

Please raise the ceiling.

It is to the Republicans and Democrats’ mutual p.r. advantage to be heroes and raise the debt “to save America”  despite the economic ignorance being espoused by Republican and Democratic Senators who cannot count.

It is time to create money, after all it is our money. We print it. You can print more.

Is it possible for these people to use their brains?

Stop groping and start doing the right thing.

America has been to this brink twice before.

Here’s what happened:

Here is an analysis reprinted from November 2020, about the consequences of default from The Balance.com.  Reprinted under terms of use.

US Debt Default Causes and Consequences

Will the U.S. Ever Default on Its Debt?

•••

Table of Contents

BY 

KIMBERLY AMADEO

  •  

REVIEWED BY 

ERIC ESTEVEZ

on November 29, 2020

America has never defaulted on its debt. The consequences are unthinkably dire. But in October 2013, Congress threatened to stop raising the debt ceiling, forcing the nation into default. It wanted the president to cut spending on Obamacare, Medicare, and Medicaid.

The debt ceiling is how much debt Congress allows the federal government to have. If the ceiling is not raised, the U.S. Treasury Department cannot issue any more Treasury bonds. Its ability to pay bills depends on the revenue that comes in. It’s forced to choose between paying federal employee salaries, Social Security benefits, or the interest on the national debt. If it doesn’t pay interest, the country defaults.

At the last minute, Congress agreed to raise the debt ceiling, but the damage was done. During the three weeks that Congress debated, investors seriously wondered whether the United States would actually default on its debt.

This was the second time in two years that House Republicans resisted raising the debt ceiling. The consequences of a debt default may become all too real in the very near future. The country had, at the end of 2019, about $23.2 trillion debt or $70,492 per U.S. citizen.1

Key Takeaways

  • If investors lose confidence in U.S. Treasurys, it creates uncertainty in the financial markets. 
  • U.S. Treasurys affect interest rates and the cost of lending.
  • A U.S. debt default would wreak havoc on the global economy. 
  • America should lower its debt or face economic hardships

How the United States Could Default on Its Debt

There are two scenarios under which the United States would default on its debt. Any default on Treasurys would have the same impact as one resulting from a debt ceiling crisis.

Not Raising the Debt Ceiling

Default would occur if Congress didn’t raise the debt ceiling. Former Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, in a 2011 letter to Congress, outlined what would happen.2

  • Interest rates would rise, since “Treasurys represent the benchmark borrowing rate” for all other bonds. This means increased costs for corporations, state and local government, mortgages, and consumer loans.
  • The dollar would drop, as foreign investors fled the “safe-haven status” of Treasurys. The dollar would lose its status as a global world currency. This would have the most disastrous long-term effects.
  • The U.S. government would not be able to pay salaries or benefits for federal or military personnel and retirees. Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid benefit payments would stop. So would student loan payments, tax refunds, and payments to keep government facilities open. This would be far worse than a government shutdown, which only affects non-essential discretionary programs.

The Government Simply Stopped Paying Interest

The second scenario would occur if the U.S. government simply decided that its debt was too high and it stopped paying interest on Treasury bills, notes, and bonds. In that case, the value of Treasurys on the secondary market would plummet.

Anyone trying to sell a Treasury would have to deeply discount it. The federal government could no longer sell Treasurys in its auctions, so the government would no longer be able to borrow to pay its bills.

Even the Threat of a Debt Default Is Bad

Even if investors only think the United States could default, the consequences could be almost as bad as an actual default.

U.S. debt is seen worldwide as the safest investment anywhere.

Most investors look at Treasurys as if they were 100% guaranteed by the U.S. government. Any threat of default could cause debt rating agencies, such as Moody’s and Standard and Poor’s, to lower the U.S. credit rating.

Here’s an idea of just how bad a lower credit rating could be. In April 2011, S&P only lowered its outlook on the U.S. debt from “stable” to “negative.” As a result, the Dow immediately dropped 140 points.3

Impact on the Economy

A U.S. debt default would significantly raise the cost of doing business. It would increase the cost of borrowing for firms. They would have to pay higher interest rates on loans and bonds to compete with the higher interest rates of U.S. Treasurys.

All U.S. interest rates would rise, increasing prices and contributing to inflation.

The stock market would also suffer, as any U.S. investment would be riskier. Stock prices would fall as investors fled to other countries’ safer stocks or gold. For these reasons, it could lead to another recession.

The U.S. Government and Avoiding Default

The surest way to avoid default is to prevent budget deficits that lead to debt. The federal government must raise revenue through taxes or cut spending. But now that the debt is more than 100% of gross domestic product, it will be difficult to cut spending enough to reduce the debt and risk of default4 .5

The other option is to allow the dollar to depreciate enough to make the debt worth less to foreign debt holders, like China and Japan. The Federal Reserve does this by monetizing the debt. It buys Treasurys with credit it creates itself. A default can be avoided if the Fed doesn’t require the interest to be repaid.

Other Countries That Have Defaulted on Their Debt

In 2009, Iceland defaulted on the debt incurred by banks it had nationalized.6 As a result of the banks’ collapse, foreign investors fled Iceland. That prompted the value of its currency, the krona, to drop 50% in one week. It created massive inflation and soaring unemployment.

That same year, Dubai defaulted on the debt created by its business arm, Dubai World.7 Its assets were all in real estate, so when values plummeted, it didn’t have the cash to meet its obligations. Eventually, Dubai negotiated lower debt payments, known as debt restructuring.

In 2010, Greece said it might default on its debt. It threatened the viability of the eurozone itself. To avoid default, the EU loaned Greece enough to continue making payments.8 As of January 2019, it totaled 320 billion euros. 9 It was the biggest financial rescue of a bankrupt country in history. Greece has only repaid 41.6 billion euros. It has scheduled debt payments beyond 2060.

The U.S. debt is so much larger than that of either Iceland, Dubai, or Greece. As a result, a U.S. debt default would have a much worse impact on the global economy.

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