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WPCNR CORONAVIRUS MONITOR. Derived from the Coronavirus Workbook updated as of 4:15 P.M Saturday. Observations by John F. Bailey. January 1, 2022:
Covid new infections are sweeping Westchester County and the 6 other counties in Mid-Hudson Valley and doubling number of infections in Long Island and all of New York City. New York City went from 43,135 new positives last Tuesday to 82,996 on Wednesday. (The Covid Workbook is reports two days behind in results..)
Westchester County doubled the number of positive covid persons in one day, going from 3,602 positives Tuesday to 7,659 Wednesday, a 46.1% increase in our county. This is a disturbing development.
Infections are out of control in Orange and Rockland Counties through Wednesday, too. Orange doubled new cases to 3,394 compared to 1,624 on Tuesday. Rockland doubled in new covid cases jumping from 1,536 to 3,212. Dutchess lept from 722 Tuesday to 1,560 Wednesday, also doubling covid new cases. Putnam came close to double new positives, going from519 cases Tuesday to 1,039. A startling increase there Putnam, 45.2 %.. Ulster and Sulivan counties continued the trend up 31% and 43.4%.
NASSAU COUNTY had 44.6% more positives, 15,062, while SUFFOLK was recorded for a 53.9% in crease to 12,350.
The Washington Post yesterday reported that cases in South Africa showed persons not getting ill as seriously from the Omicron variant ( attributed to be more contagious and highly responsible for the remarkable surge in covid infections). The Post also reported the omicron positive patients in South African experienced lower rates of hospitalizatins. A New York Times article published today said that United Kingdom has found in studies on mice and hamsters the omicron variant infects more the throat and windpipe, rather than going deep into the lungs.
However mostly young people were infected who are better equipped to fight the disease. With the U.S. having an older population the infections may afflict the population more seriously. It was predicted the virus may go down in infections in about two weeks.
However it should be noted that the infections are seriously spreading at the rate of 8 persons being infected by every one person testing positive two weeks ago in Westchester County.
Two weeks ago on December 15, Westchester had 938 new cases. If you divide 7,650 new infections on December 29, by 938, you get considering this week infections so far, 7,650 Wednesday in Westchester. Those persons could bring us more infections approaching 62,000 persons by the end of the week January 9 to 15.
If hosptializations continue at the 125 person rate as it was a week ago, this means these 7,650 in cases in Westchester if they continue to be less seriously ill may only generate a 13% hospitalization rate but that still would mean 972 hospitalizations of those 7650. The 972 would not threaten Westchester available beds capacity if hospitalizations continued to go up slowly.
But if hospitalizations go up as they seem be doing, 50 a month ago compared to 125 as of a week ago and the omicron infects us more seriously, the positive spread rate may quickly fill up Westchester County bed capacity. Consider that the 7650 total is only one day of infections! If they all everyday hospitalized at the 124 rate we will have close to 6,000 a week in hospitalizations. by the end of January 15.
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WPCNR CORONA VIRUS MONITOR. From the NEW YORK COVIDTRACKER. Observations by John F. Bailey. December 31, 2021:
The Covid Tracker (reporting Tuesday, December 29 covid cases) in Westchester recorded the third straight day of covid positives well over 3,000 new cases: 3,602. It was the third consecutive rise in Westchester covids rising steadily over 3,000 cases.
Since Sunday the day Westchester reported 3, 108 new cases for the first time ever, Monday has seen 3,408, and Tuesday, 3,602. At this steady rising rate, Westchester may see 20,000 new cases of covid by Sunday.
Nassau and Suffolk counties sustained their steady rise in covid for the fifth straight day to total 13,893 new person with covid Tuesday twice the number of cases in all 7 counties in the Mid-Hudson region. Nassau: 7,346. Suffolk County: 6,547.
The Washington Post reported though the Omicron variant given the reason for the record cases nationwide, was that the outbreak should only last two weeks and rapidly fade. Additionally the Washington Post reported that vaccinated victims are not getting as seriously sick. This optimistic view of the record spread of the Omicron variant is based on the reports of how the Omicron variant has performed in South Africa.
WPCNR notes that hospitalizations the last week in Westchester County have been running at 50% of new cases first infected two weeks ago, resulting in 125 hospitalizations reported last Friday. Howver, the latest Westchester County information as of Tuesday, according to County Execution George Latimer, 2 of every 3 of those hospitalized are not vaccinated.
Westchester Countuy reported 8,475 new positives Tuesday among 38,531 tested, a 22.8% Infection rate in one day of testing. Orange and Rockland Counties grew about a 100 new positives a day Tuesday. Totals for the last two days of 2021, including today should be available Sunday.
The 7 Counties in the Mid-Hudson region and Nassau and Suffolk combined for 32,368 new positive covid cases compared to New York City (all 5 boroughs) new cases of 43,135.
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“On this New Years Eve I wish everyone a safe and healthy celebration,” Governor Hochul said. “It was a difficult year for so many New Yorkers, lets do the right thing and get vaccinated, and let’s welcome the new year with lots of good health and happiness. If we work together and get vaccinated, we can make 2022 the year we beat the pandemic.”
Today’s data is summarized briefly below:
Each region’s 7-day average of cases per 100K population is as follows
| Region | Tuesday, December 28, 2021 | Wednesday, December 29, 2021 | Thursday, December 30, 2021 |
| Capital Region | 82.78 | 90.85 | 109.33 |
| Central New York | 82.01 | 91.69 | 107.14 |
| Finger Lakes | 62.24 | 72.95 | 86.33 |
| Long Island | 264.56 | 293.16 | 321.72 |
| Mid-Hudson | 184.06 | 209.51 | 233.52 |
| Mohawk Valley | 70.21 | 77.48 | 85.34 |
| New York City | 323.90 | 359.92 | 387.27 |
| North Country | 47.46 | 52.13 | 64.27 |
| Southern Tier | 73.14 | 78.67 | 91.08 |
| Western New York | 83.90 | 101.55 | 121.42 |
| Statewide | 222.26 | 248.11 | 271.60 |
Each region’s 7-day average percentage of positive test results reported over the last three days is as follows:
| Region | Tuesday, December 28, 2021 | Wednesday, December 29, 2021 | Thursday, December 30, 2021 |
| Capital Region | 10.43% | 11.53% | 13.41% |
| Central New York | 9.63% | 11.29% | 13.04% |
| Finger Lakes | 10.18% | 11.87% | 13.91% |
| Long Island | 17.32% | 18.78% | 20.75% |
| Mid-Hudson | 13.72% | 15.39% | 16.97% |
| Mohawk Valley | 9.39% | 10.44% | 11.37% |
| New York City | 15.25% | 16.90% | 18.58% |
| North Country | 7.19% | 8.21% | 10.51% |
| Southern Tier | 8.21% | 9.51% | 11.11% |
| Western New York | 11.72% | 13.29% | 15.02% |
| Statewide | 14.61% | 16.21% | 17.91% |
Each New York City borough’s 7-day average percentage of positive test results reported over the last three days is as follows:
| Borough in NYC | Tuesday, December 28, 2021 | Wednesday, December 29, 2021 | Thursday, December 30, 2021 |
| Bronx | 18.54% | 20.77% | 22.99% |
| Kings | 14.67% | 16.21% | 17.72% |
| New York | 13.23% | 14.51% | 15.62% |
| Queens | 16.22% | 17.98% | 19.78% |
| Richmond | 15.84% | 17.38% | 19.49% |
Yesterday, 76,555 New Yorkers tested positive for COVID-19 in New York State, bringing the total to 3,469,564. A geographic breakdown is as follows:
| County | Total Positive | New Positive |
| Albany | 41,133 | 701 |
| Allegany | 6,979 | 22 |
| Broome | 33,512 | 382 |
| Cattaraugus | 11,497 | 48 |
| Cayuga | 11,419 | 105 |
| Chautauqua | 17,677 | 132 |
| Chemung | 15,092 | 147 |
| Chenango | 6,717 | 80 |
| Clinton | 9,900 | 156 |
| Columbia | 6,954 | 56 |
| Cortland | 7,256 | 92 |
| Delaware | 5,499 | 45 |
| Dutchess | 45,626 | 722 |
| Erie | 148,889 | 2,182 |
| Essex | 3,694 | 70 |
| Franklin | 6,382 | 34 |
| Fulton | 8,990 | 52 |
| Genesee | 10,090 | 66 |
| Greene | 6,031 | 91 |
| Hamilton | 605 | 8 |
| Herkimer | 10,031 | 103 |
| Jefferson | 13,131 | 98 |
| Lewis | 4,740 | 22 |
| Livingston | 8,462 | 91 |
| Madison | 8,976 | 107 |
| Monroe | 112,311 | 1,290 |
| Montgomery | 8,306 | 76 |
| Nassau | 287,304 | 6,861 |
| Niagara | 33,937 | 376 |
| NYC | 1,501,823 | 43,985 |
| Oneida | 38,828 | 416 |
| Onondaga | 69,885 | 844 |
| Ontario | 13,970 | 136 |
| Orange | 74,497 | 1,598 |
| Orleans | 6,421 | 34 |
| Oswego | 17,021 | 177 |
| Otsego | 6,585 | 42 |
| Putnam | 16,221 | 467 |
| Rensselaer | 20,809 | 174 |
| Rockland | 65,029 | 1,207 |
| Saratoga | 30,360 | 387 |
| Schenectady | 22,221 | 252 |
| Schoharie | 3,388 | 35 |
| Schuyler | 2,391 | 26 |
| Seneca | 3,917 | 36 |
| St. Lawrence | 15,053 | 101 |
| Steuben | 14,558 | 99 |
| Suffolk | 313,688 | 5,772 |
| Sullivan | 12,011 | 268 |
| Tioga | 7,585 | 81 |
| Tompkins | 11,325 | 191 |
| Ulster | 22,112 | 200 |
| Warren | 8,986 | 93 |
| Washington | 8,248 | 103 |
| Wayne | 12,231 | 102 |
| Westchester | 179,080 | 3,409 |
| Wyoming | 6,198 | 32 |
| Yates | 2,368 | 21 |
Given the rate of spread of Omicron, it is more meaningful to report the percentage of Omicron variants as reported to the public COVID-19 sequence databases, than to report counts of individual cases. This percentage can then be related to the total positive COVID case count in the state. This process is consistent with how the New York State Department of Health has reported on all other variants online: https://coronavirus.health.ny.gov/covid-19-variant-data
Data this morning in the GISAID database, the largest repository of SARS-CoV-2 sequences in the world, show the Omicron variant comprised 89% of uploaded sequences from NYS between 12/17/21 and 12/30/21. This is a significant increase from the 78% announced yesterday, which covered 12/16/2021 to 12/29/2021, and evidence of the ongoing rapid spread of this variant.
It should be noted that similar data reported from the CDC, updated this week, uses a statistical model to project the variant percentages for a more recent timeframe. This projection approach partly explains the different percentage for the Omicron variant reported by CDC this week.
Yesterday, 80 New Yorkers died due to COVID-19, bringing the total compiled by HERDS to 48,405. A geographic breakdown is as follows, by county of residence:
| Deaths by County of Residence | |
| County | New Deaths |
| Bronx | 11 |
| Broome | 1 |
| Cattaraugus | 2 |
| Chemung | 1 |
| Cortland | 1 |
| Dutchess | 1 |
| Erie | 1 |
| Fulton | 1 |
| Genesee | 2 |
| Kings | 15 |
| Madison | 1 |
| Manhattan | 7 |
| Monroe | 3 |
| Nassau | 7 |
| Niagara | 2 |
| Oneida | 4 |
| Onondaga | 2 |
| Ontario | 2 |
| Orange | 2 |
| Queens | 4 |
| Rockland | 2 |
| Seneca | 1 |
| Suffolk | 3 |
| Westchester | 4 |
All New York State mass vaccination sites are open to eligible New Yorkers aged 12 years and older for walk-in vaccination on a first-come, first-serve basis, with 10 sites open to eligible New Yorkers aged 5 and older. People who would prefer to schedule an appointment at a state-run mass vaccination site can do so on the Am I Eligible Appor by calling 1-833-NYS-4-VAX. People may also contact their local health department, pharmacy, doctor or hospital to schedule appointments where vaccines are available, or visit vaccines.govto find information on vaccine appointments near them.
New Yorkers looking to schedule vaccine appointments for 5-11-year-old children are encouraged to contact their child’s pediatrician, family physician, county health departments, Federally Qualified Health Centers (FQHCs), rural health centers, or pharmacies that may be administering the vaccine for this age group. Parents and guardians can visit vaccines.gov, text their ZIP code to 438829, or call 1-800-232-0233 to find nearby locations. Make sure that the provider offers the Pfizer-BioNTechCOVID-19 vaccine, as the other COVID-19 vaccines are not yet authorized for this age group.
Visit our new website for parents and guardians for new information, frequently asked questions and answers, and resources specifically designed for parents and guardians of this age group.
Yesterday, 31,900 New Yorkers received their first vaccine dose, and 16,560 completed their vaccine series. A geographic breakdown of New Yorkers who have been vaccinated by region is as follows:
| People with at least one vaccine dose | People with complete vaccine series | |||
| Region | Cumulative Total | Increase over past 24 hours | Cumulative Total | Increase over past 24 hours |
| Capital Region | 940,201 | 1,285 | 856,037 | 786 |
| Central New York | 629,245 | 578 | 580,937 | 387 |
| Finger Lakes | 837,938 | 935 | 772,692 | 810 |
| Long Island | 2,092,081 | 4,101 | 1,844,727 | 1,856 |
| Mid-Hudson | 1,635,792 | 2,900 | 1,425,226 | 1,398 |
| Mohawk Valley | 316,723 | 290 | 292,691 | 256 |
| New York City | 7,634,893 | 19,846 | 6,685,458 | 9,616 |
| North Country | 294,384 | 228 | 265,316 | 275 |
| Southern Tier | 426,703 | 575 | 389,628 | 382 |
| Western New York | 924,595 | 1,162 | 843,249 | 794 |
| Statewide | 15,732,555 | 31,900 | 13,955,961 | 16,560 |
| Booster/Additional Shots | |||
| Region | Cumulative Total | Increase over past 24 hours | Increase over past 7 days |
| Capital Region | 356,734 | 4,772 | 22,397 |
| Central New York | 224,725 | 3,025 | 15,328 |
| Finger Lakes | 360,598 | 4,601 | 23,056 |
| Long Island | 679,626 | 10,572 | 51,402 |
| Mid-Hudson | 552,095 | 7,953 | 40,058 |
| Mohawk Valley | 123,528 | 1,677 | 8,146 |
| New York City | 1,691,119 | 38,185 | 183,200 |
| North Country | 105,238 | 1,624 | 7,259 |
| Southern Tier | 164,835 | 2,630 | 11,348 |
| Western New York | 400,638 | 4,614 | 23,700 |
| Statewide | 4,659,136 | 79,653 | 385,894 |
The COVID-19VaccineTracker Dashboardis available to update New Yorkers on the distribution of the COVID-19 vaccine. The New York State Department of Health requires vaccinating facilities to report all COVID-19 vaccine administration data within 24 hours; the vaccine administration data on the dashboard is updated daily to reflect the most up-to-date metrics in the state’s vaccination effort. New York State Department of Health-reported data from NYSIIS and CIR differs slightly from federally-reported data, which is inclusive of federally-administered doses and other minor differences. Both numbers are included in the release above.
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WPCNR CORONAVIRUS MONITOR. From the New York State Covid Trackerhhich reports testing results on a 2-day delay with observations from John Bailey. December 30, 2021:
Long lines at testing facilies wrapped around the block into the City Center Garage on North Broadway this afternoon in White Plains are vivid scemes of the anxiety of the omnipresence of the Omicron Covid Varient racing through Westchester and the 6 other counties in the Mid-Hudson region. Covid cases are spreading at a faster daily rate ever the 22 months of the pandemic.
The City of White Plains was giving away K95 maskes at the Youth Burea on Amherst Place this afternoon, received from Westchester County in a effort to help protect citizens against the variant.
There is not way to downplay how fast the omicronvariant is working Westchester over.
Westchester reported 3,108 Tests on Sunday and Monday reported 3,408 sustaining an infectionrate of 24% positives on 14,122 tested. The smaller counties in the Mid-Hudson Valley continued to surge beyond their low levels previously at the same rates. Orange County is second with 1,598 new cases . Rockland reported 1,207, slightly down from 1,426 Sunday. Observers should understand that the state tracker reports on a 2-day delay.
Nassau and Suffolk posted a 25% infection rate. Nassau had 6,861 test positive of 6,861 tested a 24% infection rate. Suffolk reported 5,772 positives on 23,372 tested, a 24.7% infection rate . For one week, Nassau and Suffolk have averaged infection rates over 15%. This will produce thousands of new infections and hundreds of hospitalizations if the omicron turns out to be affect the unvaccinated more seriously.
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WPCNR CORONAVIRUS MONITOR. Based on the New York State Covid-19 Tracker. December 29, 2021:
The daily State-supplied covid new infections in Westchester County Sunday, the 26, out this evening were 3,108, setting a new daily high for the county.
With 2,049 infections Saturday Christmas Day and 3,108 the next day with more Westchester residents being tested, the 5,157 new infections were confirmation of the Covid Omicron Variant contagious power.
Westchester tested 14,415 Sunday and 3,108 tested positive, matching the 21% infection rate the county posted Saturday when 9,536 were tested and 2,049 tested positive.
Every other county in the Mid-Hudson Region experience sharp spikes in new infections.
Orange County showed 1,512 new infections four times the Saturday total of 461.
Rockland more than doubled its positives from 679 Saturday to 1,426.
Dutchess doubled positives from 278 Saturday to 799.
ULSTER doubled from 111 to 236.
Putnam with a most recent high total of 205 in the last two weeks showed 630 positive Sunday a tripling of positives from a previous high infection mark.
Sullivan quadrupled new positive infections Sunday from 61 Saturday to 284.
Long Island continued to spread red. reaching 10,545 infections total for the two counties, Nassau and Suffolk. Saturday the counties showed 6,334 infections.
The combined new infections in the 9 counties surrounding New York City Sunday was 17,940.
The one satisfaction is that Omicron does not appear to deliver as serious an illness as the Delta or original covid. However, there is no breakdown available of the impact on the unvaccinated persons getting the Omicron variant, yet.