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WPCNR THE REALTY REALITY. From Cushman & Wakefield,(commercial realtors).(Edited) September 22,2010:
Cushman & Wakefield today released its third quarter 2010 report for the Westchester County commercial real estate market, showing a market with minimal leasing activity that reflects an economy trying to regain its footing. There was a slight increase in overall vacancy and absorption, albeit negative, but improvement over the previous quarter throughout the county. White Plains Non-Central Business District is particularly hard hit, according to C &W..
There was a total of 4,343,132 sf of available Class-A space in
Class-A buildings in the White Plains CBD have been able to keep their rents generally above the $30-psf watermark. Building quality and proximity to the train station seems to allow these properties to command higher rents than similar ones elsewhere in
In the White Plains CBD, the overall Class-A vacancy rate decreased slightly to 17.6 % from last quarter’s 17.9%, but dropped significantly from 3Q-09’s 24.4 %.
Class-A occupancy in the White Plains CBD declined 48,894 sf, which was an improvement over the total of negative 90,735 sf at midyear but considerably worse than the positive figure of 20,848 sf in 3Q-09. The White Plains Non-CBD fared a bit better with Class-A absorption figures of negative 4,209 sf from negative 71,140 sf at midyear and negative 35,044 sf in 3Q-09.
Jim Fagan, marketing director for the Westchester/Fairfield Counties region for Cushman & Wakefield said, “In general, most buildings have had to lower their taking rents from the market’s peak by as much as 30% in order to attract tenants. A-minus grade buildings, outside of the CBD find themselves competing for tenants predominantly on price and are forced to start rents in the low to mid $20s on a rent-per-square-foot basis.”
Absorption is one of the indicators used to see if the market is getting tighter or losing steam: 485,000 sf of space that was previously occupied, became unoccupied in 2009. This trend has continued in 2010, with a little more than 400,000 sf of previously occupied space going vacant (130,000 sf in the third quarter alone).
WESTCHESTER
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As the national economy slowed in the second quarter of 2010, employment in
THE FORECAST:
Class-A and B total new leasing activity for the quarter registered 224,829 square feet (sf), an increase over the 194,426 sf in 2Q-10 and 189,089 sf in 3Q-09. The Central and Eastern submarkets had the highest amount of Class-A leasing this quarter at 74,341 sf and 71,798, respectively.
The top three deals were Cardinal McCloskey Service’s lease of 18,245 sf at
There was almost 2 million square feet (msf) of leasing velocity in 2007, which slowed by 35% to a little more than 1.3 million square feet in 2008. In 2009, velocity decreased again to approximately 1 msf. Year-to-date leasing activity totaled approximately 720,000 square feet, which is on track to match last year’s anemic number.
Overall vacancies countywide for Class-A space decreased slightly to 20.3% down from 21.4% at midyear and on par with 20.5% recorded a year ago.
The considerable decrease in the vacancy rate took place in 4Q-09 when ±273,000 sf was leased at Westchester One (44 South Broadway).
“As the unemployment rate begins to decrease and as jobs are added to the marketplace, office vacancy will decline,” said
While asking rental rates have remained in excess of $30 per square foot (psf) throughout the county, certain submarkets have fared better than others.
Class-A direct asking rents in Westchester County remained relatively stable this quarter averaging $30.88 psf, compared with $31.51 psf at midyear and $31.42 psf a year ago.
Overall absorption for Class-A space in
The Eastern submarket showed marked improvement in Class-A overall absorption at positive 29,895 sf compared with negative 46,700 at midyear and negative 40,380 sf a year ago.
INVESTMENT SALES:
There is a distinct gap between the buyers and sellers of commercial property in
“Currently, the market has sufficient capital chasing product, however, most potential buyers are looking for distressed opportunities whereby they can purchase long-term assets at historically low pricing, and then profit handsomely when the market normalizes,” said Mr. Fagan. “The current owners and lenders are trying to hang on to their distressed properties in order to see how quickly the market returns.”



