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 NEW CASES PLUNGE FROM 25,294 TO 16,782

WPCNR COVID MONITOR. From the New York State Covid Tracker. Analysis by John F. Bailey. January 16, 2021:

.The  number of persons infected by the 26,002 new cases the week of December 26 through January 1 did not materialize  in the numbers expected two weeks later, (the time when the infectiousness of those tested positive the last week in December would start propelling the infections this past week to levels Westchester hospitals could not handle.)

The 26,002 infected  16, 782 December 9 through December 15, Saturday’s covid pass-along rate  from those infected two weeks ago falls  to  spread rate to less than one other person. Vaccines  continue to demonstrate the  power they are giving Westchester vaccinated residents what they need to be covid-stoppers, resisting getting the infection in the face of  94,080 new covid cases in three weeks.

In Governor Kathy Hochul’s update this afternoon she demonstrated how non-vaccinated patients with Covid are filling up hosptals region by region.

“Below is data that shows how many hospitalized individuals who have tested positive for COVID-19 were admitted for COVID-19/COVID-19 complications and how many were admitted for non-COVID-19 conditions:

Region	COVID-19 Patients currently hospitalized	Admitted due to COVID or complications of COVID	% Admitted due to COVID or complications of COVID	Admitted where COVID was not included as one of the reasons for admission	% Admitted where COVID was not included as one of the reasons for admission
Capital Region	400	293	73%	107	27%
Central New York	322	246	76%	76	24%
Finger Lakes	732	424	58%	308	42%
Long Island	2,063	1,261	61%	802	39%
Mid-Hudson	1,273	804	63%	469	37%
Mohawk Valley	154	111	72%	43	28%
New York City	5,806	3,086	53%	2,720	47%
North Country	97	48	49%	49	51%
Southern Tier	211	127	60%	84	40%
Western New York	655	415	63%	240	37%
Statewide	11,713	6,815	58%	4,898	42%

In the Mid-Hudson region, made up of Westchester, Rockland, Orange, Dutchess, Ulster Putnam and Sullivan Counties,  there are 1,273 patients currently hospitalized, 804 of them are admitted due to COVID or complications of COVID, 63%.

A total of 469  were admitted to Mid-Hudson hospitals for reasons other than Covid, 37% The state fails to break this down by County in their news releases, so we cannot  tell. Last week Westchester had 625.

This figure is usually given by Westchester County Executive George Latimer in his weekly covid briefing which this week does not take place until Tuesday due to the Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. Birthday observance.

The Hospitalization Rate last week was.5.5% on 11,450 infections the week of December 19 .The number of persons hospitalized  last Monday was 625.

If the 26,002 COVID POSITIVES two weeks ago, hospitalize at that rate you may have approximately 1,430 hospitalizations from that massive record infections two weeks ago going into Westchester hospitals.

There has been little or no reporting on the  hospitalizations on Long Island, where Nassau and Suffolk County have been  infecting at 15 to 20% rates of all tested.

The 51.296 positives  December 26  through January 8 will not reach that level. It should be noted that not all positives  get infected at the same time or get hospitalized at the same time, these are just approximations of what these record infections for Westchester mean.

If, the 26,002 infected two weeks ago, hospitalize at 2-1/2 %  there would be approcimately 700 hospitalizations.