SUFFOLK AND NASSAU COUNTY REPORT 1,413 NEW COVID CASES SATURDAY. ALL 9 COUNTIES SURROUNDING CITY HAVE 2,057 NEW CASES THAN ALL OF NEW YORK CITY–1,641. WESTCHESTER REPORTS 179, ORANGE, 193. LONG ISLAND HOSPITALS TELL CBS RADIO, THEY HAVE PLENTY OF HOSPITAL CAPACITY, WILL NOT SHUT DOWN ELECTIVE SURGERY, CONFIDENT THEY CAN HANDLE THE SURGE OUT THERE.

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WPCNR COVID 19 MONITOR. From the NY State Covid-19 Workbook. Observations by John F. Bailey. November 28, 2021:

With the Sunday Covid numbers to go, due out tomorrow, it is obvious the Fourth Wave of Covid building is strengthening in breadth and new infections across the 9 Counties and New York City’s five boroughs.

Saturday New York City reported 1,641 cases in the five boroughs.

Nassau (565), Suffolk(848), Orange (193), Westchester (179) Dutchess (85) and Rockland(85)
combined had 1,995 new cases.

In the rest of the MidHudson region, Ulster showed 49 cases; Sullivan (36) Putnam (17) The Mid Hudson infection rate was 4.8% of 42, 819 tested. Nassau and Suffolk are spreading the disease alarmingly in this reporter’s opinion, and have been for weeks.

In 13 of the last 18 days, the 9 counties have had more cases of new covid than New York City.

The populations of the 9 counties are spreading the disease at a rapid rate.

Suffolk County had 848 new cases reported of covid positives and a 6.2% infection rate of 13,645 tested. Nassau was recorded with 565 positive cases of 12,003 tested, a 4.7% infection rate on very high testing universes.

The Long Island hospitals, CBS radio reported this afternoon said they had plenty of bed space capacity to handle the new infections (without stating how many beds they had available at this time), and also stated they would not limit elective surgeries. It was not clear whether the hospitals were stocking up on covid treatment supplies. Governor Kathy Hochul Saturday evening issued an State of Emergency Executive Order calling for hospitals to limit elective surgeries to assure adequate space and order stores of hospital supplies,.

In two weeks time, the 1,413 infections yesterday could result in 3,000 new cases by December 9, going by the 1 person infecting at least 2 persons.

Nassau county had 229 infections on November 13. Based on Saturday new positives, Nassau infectees November 13 (229) ) divided into 565, Saturday infections yields a 1 person infects 3 other persons (2.450) meaning Nassau we could see 1,400 infections in Nassau two weeks from now.

Suffolk reported 317 two weeks ago. Divide the 848 infections by 317 and we see that each person infected in Suffolk on Novermber 13 infected 2.68 new persons. Multiply Saturday 848 Suffolk infections by 2.68 and it means, depending on effective treatment and medicine availability, Suffolk could see 2,272 new cases from these 848 new cases in two weeks (the incubation period of disease).

Considering they are now infecting hundreds a day, new cases at this level on Long Island could reach 5,000 new cases a day in two weeks unless Nassau and Suffolk pay attention and throttle down the spread.

Here are the latest county by county numbers, released by Governor Hochul’s office at 7 PM. MID-HUDSON COUNTIES WHERE WESTCHESTER IS LOCATED, HIGHLIGHTED IN BOLD.

CountyTotal PositiveNew Positive 
Albany34,221105 
Allegany5,92912 
Broome28,05674 
Cattaraugus9,89819 
Cayuga9,65314 
Chautauqua14,83740 
Chemung12,74014 
Chenango5,50818 
Clinton8,01737 
Columbia5,66425 
Cortland6,0536 
Delaware4,34424 
Dutchess37,79865 
Erie123,801504 
Essex2,96411 
Franklin5,36530 
Fulton7,76829 
Genesee8,55615 
Greene4,91120 
Hamilton5111 
Herkimer8,22848 
Jefferson11,23735 
Lewis4,16912 
Livingston7,13218 
Madison7,28526 
Monroe96,981255 
Montgomery7,11029 
Nassau225,182565 
Niagara28,46991 
NYC1,130,6581,641 
Oneida32,95094 
Onondaga59,057115 
Ontario11,59240 
Orange61,914193 
Orleans5,43420 
Oswego14,04739 
Otsego5,32120 
Putnam13,09117 
Rensselaer17,26072 
Rockland55,35785 
Saratoga24,400139 
Schenectady19,22975 
Schoharie2,65417 
Schuyler1,9195 
Seneca3,20010 
St. Lawrence12,72464 
Steuben12,37257 
Suffolk254,334848 
Sullivan9,50036 
Tioga6,29717 
Tompkins7,3597 
Ulster18,95749 
Warren7,21954 
Washington6,60644 
Wayne10,11543 
Westchester147,821179 
Wyoming5,25223 
Yates1,9742 

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