WPCNR COVID DAILY APRIL 19,2022: COUNTY EXECUTIVE GEORGE LATIMER: COVID INCREASING NUMBERS “NOT ENCOURAGING.” 5O HOSPITALIZATIONS FROM COVID.
WPCNR COVID DAILY. From New York State Covid Tracker. Analysis and Comment by John F. Bailey. April 19, 2022 UPDATED 4:30 P.M. EDT;
Westchester County Executive George Latimer commenting on the state of the slow BUT steady growth in Westchester new covid cases the last 3 weeks, said on WVOX Dennis and Tonny, Good Morning Westchester program Westchester cases had numbered 900 three weeks ago and this week the county has 3,000 active cases with the number of hospitalizations gone up from 35 to 50 as of Monday.
“The numbers are rising. It is not encouraging,” Latimer said in his weekly radio address on WVOX. He said the county was not contemplating any mandates or restrictions to deal with the steady spread.
Sunday the New York Covid Tracker after spring break reported 238 new covid cases in Westchester.
This afternoon, the Covid Tracker reported 273 more new persons positive for Covid in Westchester,
In the Mid-Hudson region consisting of Westchester, Rockland, Orange, Dutchess, Ulster, Sullivan and Putnam Counties, there were a total of 482 new covid cases Sunday. Covid Tracker reported 517 more tested positive Monday in the 7 counties.
The 9 county new covid cases surrounding New York City when you include Nassau County Positives (404) and Suffolk (327) totaled 1,213 on Sunday on Monday the 9 totaled 1,228 more.
In New York City the total new cases in all 5 boroughs was 1,505. If that 1500 daily keeps up through this week, NYC will have as many as 9,000 new cases of covid this week. With New York City Schools coming back to classes next week and masks over the age of 5, not required in schools, and the 2 persons for every one person newly infected by the disease, covid infections may be considerably more.
The state has much better data at its command to determine the rate of spread of the virus makes from one infected person to another, but does not figure that highly significant ratio of spread. They should.
The amount of testing on Easter Sunday in Westchester County was very low, only 2,755 tests reported and 238 persons were positive on a holiday Sunday that was 9.2 % on the low test numbers. Unless there is more testing and more metrics put out showing what infections two weeks ago will result in, all WPCNR can rely on are the new testing positives compared with the infections two weeks ago.
This is a crucial week. If students coming back to school in Westchester show more positive cases, and not all school districts are automatically testing students at the door this week, (in fact we do not know any that are adapting a pre-emptive testing). We should know by the end of the week school district by school district based on the State School Covid Tracker. As reported in a previous Covid Daily the number of student covid positives in Westchester alone stood at 23,830.
LOCATIONS WHERE NEW INFECTIONS ARE OVER 100 ACTIVE CASES LAST TWO WEEKS
- YONKERS–627-– 48 New Cases Daily
- NEW ROCHELLE–384 — 8 New Daily
- WHITE PLAINS–303–14 New A Day
- NEW & NORTH CASTLE–233 –27 New Daily
- GREENBURGH 211–13 NEW A DAY
- YORKTOWN–208 –23 NEW DAILY
- MOUNT VERNON-189–19 NEW DAILY
- RYE CITY, RYE BROOK-–185–10 A DAY
- HARRISON–176–9 A DAY
- MOUNT PLEASANT-166–13 NEW A DAY
- CORTLANDT–151–14 A DAY
- OSSINING VILLAGE & TOWN–135–15 A DAY
- SCARSDALE–131–11 NEW A DAY
- TARRYTOWNS–130–10 NEW A DAY
- EASTCHESTER–126— 8 NEW A DAY
- SOMERS 131 –11 NEW DAILY
COVID INFECTIONS SLOWLY GROWING: 2,027 NEW COVID CASES IN WESTCHESTER IN SPRING BREAK WEEK–283 AVERAGE A DAY 16 MOST COVID-ACTIVE COMMUNITIES AVERAGE 212 ACTIVE CASES, 20 NEW CASES DAILY
WPNR COVID DAILY From the New York Covid Tracker. Observations & Analysis by John F. Bailey. 9:15 A.M.. EDT: April 18, 2022 :
Westchester County went over 2,000 new cases of Covid in the last 7 days April 10 through 16.
This parallels the rise in covid to the 2,000 plus levels the county experienced beginning the third week in December 5 months ago. That pre-holiday rise foreshadowed the levels of 26,002 new cases in mid-January which declined into February.
In the last three weeks, preceding the Passover, Easter and Ramadan holidays, Westchester has recorded 1,095 new cases March 27 to April 2 (up 27% in that week. From Apriil 3 to 9, the new cases hit 1,895 up 73%.
In the last week, when schools were on vacation in Westchester, with Saturday new cases reported at 273, Westchester new cases climbed to 2,027 April 10 through 16, increasing 7% from last week.
Last week, 6 days before Easter Sunday, new infections averaged 289 new positives a day.
Around the County cases on the County city and town Covid Tracker the worry spots in the county continued to be the larger cities and towns, but cases were up in numbers through most of the county. Here’s a look at where Westchester stands in Active cases, and average daily new cases:
THE 16 MOST COVID ACTIVE AREAS IN WESTCHESTER COUNTY LAST TWO WEEKS
- Yonkers 576 Active Cases. 67 New Cases Daily
- New Rochelle, 396 Active Cases, 34 New Daily
- White Plains, 333 Active Cases, 28 New Daily
- Mamaroneck Village, Mamaroneck Town, Larchmont, 219 Active Cases, 25 Daily
- New and North Castles, 212 Active Cases, 15 New Daily
- Greenburgh, 197 Active Cases, 15 New Cases Daily
- Yorktown, 189 Active Cases, Averaging 22 New Cases A Day
- Mt. Vernon, 179 Active Cases, 21 New a Day
- Harrison, 170 Active Cases, 11 New Daily
- Rye City and Rye Brook, 162 Active Cases, 12 New a Day
- Scarsdale, 134, 12 New Daily
- The Ossinings, 133 Active Cases, 11 New A Day
- Eastchester, 127 Active Cases, 9 New Reported Daily
- The Tarrytowns 124 Cases, 10 New A Day
- Somers, 126 Active Cases, 11 New a Day
- Cortlandt, 125 Active Cases, 12 New Daily
It is significant to remember that those are new active cases over two weeks and perhaps have spread the disease without knowing it to others.
The average Spread infection rate from the 1095 new cases in the County from March 27 to April 2 is figured by dividing the cases 10 to 14 days ago into the latest week cases (2,027 cases this past week April 9 to 16 divided by the 1,095 cases two weeks ago) .
That gives us a Spread Rate of 1 newly infected person March 27 to April 2, infecting 1.83 persons or 2 persons. That is growing..
If the 2,027 positive last week spread covid at the same spread rate over the next 10 to 14 days Westchester could conceivably have 4,054 new infections of covid the end of the week of April 30.
