IMPACT OF GEORGIA U.S. SENATE SEAT RUNOFF ELECTIONS.

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WPCNR NEWS & COMMENT. Special to WPCNR from Dr. Steven White, Assistant Professor of Political Science, Syracuse Univeristy. November 6, 2020:

Editor’s Note: Dr. Steven White, an assistant professor of political science at Syracuse University who has studied Southern politics extensively. Dr. White specializes in American politics, American political development, race and politics.

Dr. Stephen White

Dr. White notes the impact of this possibility is crucial for many reasons, most notably Vice President Biden’s ability to fill a cabinet (should he win) with progressive choices who would not get confirmation with a Republican controlled Senate.

“If Democrats win the two Senate races in Georgia, their odds of being able to pass the legislation in their platform goes up dramatically.

That said, even then this would still be constrained by the pivotal votes of more conservative Democrats like Senator Joe Manchin.

If Democrats lose, though, their options are a lot more limited.

Not only would they need the support of more moderate Republican Senators like Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski, they would also have to deal with agenda control by the Republican majority.

Senator Mitch McConnell might simply try to keep bills from coming to a floor vote, even if there might very well be a bipartisan majority coalition in favor of them. 

This also speaks to remarkable changes in the political environment of Georgia. Even in her loss to Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton only lost Georgia by about 5 points (similar to Obama’s 2008 loss margin).

In the 2018 gubernatorial election, Stacey Abrams came within about a point and a half of defeating her Republican opponent, Brian Kemp.

If Biden ends up ahead—and if the state elects one and possibly two Democratic Senators—it would be an astonishing shift that brings to fruition the state’s gradual transition from being a red state to a purple one.”

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Infection Rate for COVID in Non-Cluster Areas: 1.7%. In Clusters: 3.04%

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WPCNR CORONAVIRUS REPORT. From Governor Andrew M. Cuomo. November 6, 2020:

 Yesterday, there were more than 100,000 new COVID cases in the U.S. Every expert told us that come the fall, cases would go up. We expected this and can effectively deal with the outbreaks by our micro-cluster strategy. But one of our very best tools in this battle to prevent the spread of the virus is if each and every one of us wears a mask. Wearing a mask is about respect, it’s about community and it’s about love. And remember that mask wearing is mandatory on public transit.

It’s going to take the work of every New Yorker so we all need to Mask Up. We can’t let our guard down as we spend more time indoors. We can’t say just this one time I’ll skip the mask. We can stay the course New York. Together we can beat this virus. 

Chart of the Day: Yesterday, New York State reported over 160,000 diagnostic tests. Here’s what else you need to know : 

1. The positivity rate in the “micro-cluster” focus areas fell was 3.04 percent yesterday. The statewide positivity rate excluding these areas was 1.70 percent. Of the 161,019 tests reported yesterday, 2,997, or 1.86 percent, were positive. Total hospitalizations were at 1,277. Sadly we lost 24 New Yorkers.  

2. The January 2021 Regents exams are canceled. Due to COVID-19 concerns, the New York State Education Department decided to cancel the examinations across the state to ensure the safety of both students and educators. The Education Department will also ask the Board of Regents to adopt emergency regulations and apply specific exemptions so not to negatively impact students. A decision on the June and August exams have not been decided yet.  

3. We can’t underestimate the strain of COVID fatigue. Mental health is just as important as physical health. New Yorkers can call the State’s mental health hotline at 1-844-863-9314 for free emotional support, consultations & referrals to a provider or visit the Office of Mental Health for resources.  

 4. Download the COVID Alert NY app today. New York launched an Exposure Notification App so New Yorkers can help stop the spread of COVID-19 and receive exposure alert notifications without compromising privacy or personal information. Click here to download it directly to your iPhone. Click here to download it directly to your Android device.   

   If you were forwarded this email, you can subscribe to New York State’s Coronavirus Updates here. Ever Upward, Governor Andrew M. Cuomo

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The Election Situation Thursday Night

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WPCNR NEWS AND COMMENT. Special to WPCNR by Stephen Rolandi, Public Policy Analyst, November 5, 2020:

Editor’s Note: On Monday Stephen Rolandi analyzed the Presidential Election for WPCNR predicting a Joseph Biden victory. Here is Mr. Rolandi’s view of the results as of Thursday evening, which are solely his own opinion and do not reflect the views of his employers, Pace University and City University of New York.

Here’s how I see the remaining states:

Biden – 253

He likely wins PA   + 20 – Biden down now by only 60,000 since Tuesday night when Trump had a lead of 600,000. There are more than enough votes in Philadelphia & Allegheny (Pitts.) counties for Biden to win here. 

May win GA. + 16 – he’s down by only 3400 now (as of 8 PM). (Now 1,902 as of 10 P.M.)

Biden likely wins Nevada + 6 — he’s leading here with 13,000, with more ballots to count.

===============================================

Trump – 217

Probably wins NC + 15

Has a chance in AZ  (+ 11) with 200,000 ballots left to count

So, by my math, Biden would have 295; Trump would have 243.

Trump needs to win PA & Georgia  to win re-election – if he loses the vote count in these states, he has to go to court, and so far, I’m not impressed with his “arguments” — he needs someone with the stature of a James Baker to make the case publicly for him, and it’s not happening, as yet. I think the best Trump probably has is Rudy Giuliani and Jay Sekolow. He needs a top-notch Law School Professor, like Alan Dershowitz. Trump is his own worst enemy.

State election laws govern here, unless Trump can somehow prove that his constitutional rights as a candidate have been violated. See Bush v. Gore (2000).

BOTTOM LINE:

Biden will likely be declared the winner by the networks (Friday or over the week-end). Trump’s only option then would be to go to court to overturn ballot results in PA. & Georgia, and perhaps Nevada or Arizona.

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TONIGHT AT 8 ON “PEOPLE TO BE HEARD,” YOU’VE GOT STEPHEN FERRI EXECUTIVE PRODUCER OF WHITE PLAINS PERFORMING ARTS CENTER ON HOW THEATER COMES BACK IN WESTCHESTER AND ON BROADWAY

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STEVE FERRI ON ZOOM WITH WHITE PLAINS TELEVISION JOHN BAILEY
JOHN BAILEY INTERVIEWS STEVE FERRI EXECUTIVE PRODUCER OF WHITE PLAINS PERFORMING ARTS CENTER ON HOW THEATER COMES BACK IN WESTCHESTER AND ON BROADWAY

HOW THE WHITE PLAINS PERFORMING ARTS CENTER NOW IN ITS 16TH YEAR WILL COME BACK AS SOON AS GOVERNOR CUOMO LIFTS THEATRE RRESTRICTIONS

HOW WPPAC HAS MET COVID SAFETY STANDARDS IN VENTILATION AND DISTANCING IN EDUCATION PROGRAMS SAFELY ALL SUMMER LONG

HOW THEATER OWNERS , ACTORS, BEHIND-THE SCENES STAFF CAN GO ON WITH THE SHOW(S)

THE NEW WHITE PLAINS PERFORMING ARTS CENTER SEASON.

HOW THE LOSS OF THE WESTCHESTER BROADWAY THEATRE WILL BE MET.

THE ECONOMICS OF THE NEW THEATER IN THE YEARS AHEAD

TONIGHT AT 8 ON PEOPLE TO BE HEARD ON FIOS CH 45 COUNTYWIDE AND ALTICE OPTIMUM CH. 76

AND ON www.wpcommunitymedia.org

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COUNTY OPENS COVID TESTING CENTER IN PORT CHESTER

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Westchester County Health Department and Open Door Family Medical Center will begin offering increased testing at Open Door Port Chester located at 5 Grace Church St, Port Chester, NY 10573 tomorrow until Saturday. The testing initiative was made in consultation with the New York State Department of Health.

Testing will be available:

Thursday, November 5: Noon-6pm

Friday, November 6: 10am-5pm

Saturday, November 7: 9am-2pm

Those who wish to make an appointment should call 914-995-7425 or visit https://apps.health.ny.gov/doh2/applinks/cdmspr/2/counties?OpID=11900360.

Walk-ins will only be accepted on a limited basis.

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INTO THE NIGHT: Biden Leads Trump at 10 PM 253 TO 213: Tentative 270 to 268 FINAL ELECTORAL VOTE PENDING BIDEN PERFORMANCE IN ATLANTA AND SAVANNAH. (TRAILS THE PRESIDENT BY 1,902 VOTES) MAINE TURNS BIDEN 3 VOTES. MICHIGAN CALLED FOR BIDEN. CLIFFHANGER! President declared he won the election at 2:30 A.M. WEDNESDAY; Will Ask Supreme Court to Stop the Counting. Michigan, Wisconsin,Nevada, Arizona AND Maine Appear to Go to Biden. IN NEVADA BIDEN INCREASES LEAD OVERNIGHT TO 11,500 (GETTING 64% OF NEVADA VOTES OVERNIGHT.) Pennsylvania, Georgia Have President Leading. Votes /Early Votes to be Counted in PA. COUNTING SUSPENDED IN PITTSBURGH AREA. Mayer, Harckham, Burdick Jones,Democrats Sweep Key Seats with all Districts Reporting– 100,000 TO POSSIBLY 137,000 Westchester County Absentee Ballots Being Counted. No Word How Long That will take IN WESTCHESTER COUNTY.

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GEORGIA WAS NOT COMPLETED AS OF 11 AM FULTON COUNTY (ATLANTA) KEY FACTOR. IF BIIDEN HOLDS NEVADA AND ARIZONA, HE REACHES 270 VOTES AND IS UNOFFICIAL WINNER OF THE PRESIDENCY.
COUNTING IN GEORGIA: 50,000 VOTES TO BE REPORTED –AT APPROXIMATELY 11 A.M.
COUNTING IN PHILLY: 168,000 VOTES STILL TO BE COUNTED IN Philadelphia and BUCKS COUNTY. VOTES REPORTED RUNNING AT 78% IN FAVOR OF BIDEN.
THE FRONT PAGE THIS MORNING

WPCNR ELECTION 2020. November 5, 2020 UPDATED `10:25 A.M.

SINCE 1 A.M. THIS MORNING MR. BIDEN HAS INCREASED HIS LEAD OVER MR. TRUMP IN ARIZONA AND NEVADA, HOWEVER NO NEW VOTE COUNTS IN ARIZONA AND NEVADA IN 12 HOURS. LATEST FIGURES FROM GEORGIA SHOW MR. BIDEN CLOSING IN ON MR. TRUMP’S LEAD WITH FINAL OUTSTANDING VOTES TO BE COUNTED COMING IN FROM ATLANTA’S FULTON COUNTY. SPECULATION IS MR. BIDEN COULD TAKE THE LEAD IN GEORGIA LATER THIS MORNING.


• Donald Trump: 213• Joe Biden: 253 —As of 7:15 AM current trends projecting Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona and Maine electoral votes put Mr. Biden at 270 electoral Votes and Mr. Trump at 268, presuming Trump takes Georgia, North and South Carolina and Pennyslvania. Georgia promises completed count by 11 AM Thursday. Pennsylvania later today.

The following states have been called for Biden as of last night at 3 AM: Vt., Va., Conn., Del., Ill., Md., Mass., N.J., R.I., N.Y., N.M., D.C., Colo., N.H., Calif., Ore., Wash., Hawaii, Minn.

The following states have been called for Trump: Ky., W. Va., S.C., Ala., Miss., Tenn., Okla., Ark., Ind., N.D., S.D., Wyo., La., Neb., Kan., Mo., Idaho, Utah, Ohio, Iowa, Mont., Fla.   As of 3 AM Trump had leads in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennyslvania, North Carolina and Georgia. But counting of absentee ballots may delay the counts in those states for several days.

All Westchester County Districts have reported in by 3:00 AM with favorites who were trailing early overcoming the early results. Results are unofficial at this time:

Shelly Mayer, running for State Senate District 37, County Executive George Latimer’s former State Senate Seat, overcame an early lead of Republican Liviu Saimovici,, defeating her by 62,345 votes to 44,966.

State Senator Peter Harchham in State Senate District  40, at this time is leading Robert Astorino, the former County Executive of Westchester County 45,881 votes to Astorino’s 42,196., erasing an early 7,000 vote lead of Astorino’s. However Absentee Ballots (100,000) still need to be counted by the Westchester County Board of Elections.

Christopher Burdick In the White Plains Assembly race to fill former Assemblyman David Buchwald’s departure, in the WP-Harrison-Bedford-Lewisboro Assembly District 93, eased past Republican John Nuculovic 30,465 votes to 19,270.

In the Westchester District Attorney’s Race, Mimi Rocah the Democratic candidate cruised past Republican Bruce Bendish 198,115 votes to 113,413

In the contest for the vacated Congressional District  17 Seat (Congresswoman Nita Lowey elected to retire and did not run for another term) Mondaire Jones the Democrat with 84,329 votes defeated Elizabeth McArdle-Schulman the Republican with 51,984.

Incumbent Sean Patrick Maloney Democrat erased an early lead over Chele Farley, winning 17,270 votes to 13,000 votes in the 18th State Senate District.

Jamaal Bowman has won the 16th Congressional District Seat, formerly held by Elliot Engel.

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75 Voters, Line Growing Waiting to Vote As Polling Place Opens at 6 AM at White Plains High School. 37 Degrees in a Cold Bitter Wind. AT 7 AM, Line at 61 PERSONS. 1 HOUR WAIT to Vote. AT 10:AM–NO LINE, NO WAIT.

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Voters getting on end of line at WPHS at 7 AM. One voter told WPCNR he had gotten on the line at 6 AM and had just voted at 7 AM. He said there were 4 to 5 machines, and the polls were letting in 8 to 10 at a time from the line. By 10 AM there was no line, no waiting to vote.
75 Persons Lined Up to Vote at 6 AM at B-1 Room, White Plains High School, USA. Polling Place opened promptly at 6 AM,
Waiting on line at 5:50 AM. Polls in Westchester County are open from 6 AM to 9 PM. Dress warmly. 249,000 persons have already voted in Westchester County, 138,625 by Early Voting and 110,375 by Absentee Ballot.
Preparations Just Before Polling Place Opened
The Front Page This Morning. Election Day in USA
Dawn on Election Day 5:40 AM EST. 37 DEGREES AND A BITING WIND CHILL, DRESS WARMLY, VOTERS
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21.6% OF WESTCHESTER VOTERS VOTED EARLY. 17 EARLY VOTING LOCATIONS WOULD HAVE TO HAVE PROCESSED 1,000 VOTERS A DAY, 150 AN HOUR.

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WPCNR CAMPAIGN 2020:

WPCNR CAMPAIGN 2020 UPDATE, NOVEMBER 2, 2020:

THE NUMBER OF WESTCHESTER COUNTY VOTERS VOTING EARLY WAS 138,625 ACCORDING TO MEDIA OUTLETS AFTER THE 17 POLLING PLACES CLOSED. THIS MEANS 21.6% OF WESTCHESTER COUNTY REGISTERED VOTERS VOTED EARLY. AT THE MOST CROWDED POLLING PLACES, APPROXIMATELY 100 PERSONS AN HOUR WOULD HAVE TO BE PROCESSED.

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MEANWHILE BACK AT THE BOARD OF ELECTIONS at 2:30 PM EST: UMBRELLAS ARE OUT AS NEW VOTERS CONTINUE TO WAIT BUT THE LINE IS SLOWLY MOVING. DEDICATED, IMPLACABLE, RELENTLESSLY COMMITTED IN THE RAIN. EVER UPWARD! UPDATE: 138,625 VOTED EARLY IN WESTCHESTER COUNTY

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COLD RAIN HAS BEEN FALLING WITH NO SHELTER FOR THE INTREPID WHITE PLAINS VOTERS AS OF 2:20 PM.
THE LINE CONTINUES AROUND THE QUARROPOS SIDE OF THE BOARD OF ELECTIONS
AND STILL BACKS UP ALMOST TO 149 GRAND STREET. DIFFERENT VOTERS SAME WAIT.
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