NEW WESTCHESTER COVID INFECTIONS CROSS OVER INTO SPREAD ZONE FOR SECOND STRAIGHT DAY. ON SUNDAY: 34 NEW INFECTIONS, 1.3% INFECTION RATE, OF 2,678 TESTED POSITIVE. SATURDAY 1.4% TESTED POSITIVE.

On Friday, July 16 , 51 of 4,637 tested positive for a 1.1% Infection Rate and Saturday continued rising the infections crossing over into the spreading infection rate of 1.4%. The raise coincides coincidently with the 10-15 day incubation period of covid-19 after the 3-day July 4 holiday ended July 5.

WPCNR CORONAVIRUS MONITOR. By John F. Bailey Based on New York State Covid Tracker July 19, 2021:

On Saturday, the New York State Covid Tracker reported 55 of 3,808 persons in Westchester County  tested positive for corona virus.

 The one day crossover into the volatile spread infection rate of 1.4% positive based on 3,808 tests (1.1% results in stable case rate of the disease according to the New York State Department of Health a 1.1% new case rate  maintains a covid new case level that does not spread).

Sunday test results on the covid tracker indicated that with 1,608 less tested, 34 of 2,678 tested positive for covid, with the infection rate staying at the 1.3% (postive spread of the disease)..

On Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday the county averaged 50 new infections for 4 straight days.  Fifty-five persons of 3,808 tested in the county 1.4% of those tested positive.  In the five days through Saturday infection rate doubleded  to 1.1, 33 a day average new cases turned into 50 a day average. In 4 days ending Saturday.

The results for Sunday will be in this afternoon.

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WESTCHESTER CITIZENS WITHOUT FIRST COVID SHOTS GO GET THEM. 1,774 GOT FIRST SHOTS IN 5 DAYS (354 A DAY). 1,687 COMPLETED THEIR SHOTS (337 A DAY). GOOD BUT MUST GET DONE FASTER. MORE PARTICIPATION NEEDED PRONTO.

The Vaccination Figures for Westchester County as of this morning.

WPCNR COVID VACCINATION MONITOR. By John F. Bailey. From the New York State Covid 19 Tracker. July 18, 2021:

After County Executive George Latimer reported vaccinations last Monday in Westchester County were running at a low of 168 scheduled shots that day,, 1,774 more persons have gone to get first shots of the Covid vaccine, apparently hearing the County Executive’s message to get vaccinated and fast.

More persons with first shots have  started getting their second shots, a total of 1,687 in five days an average of 337 a day.

The Covid Tracker Tracker reports this morning 586,301 Westchester residents have their  two doses of vaccine. Up 1,687 from Tuesday July 13.

This Sunday morning, 637,920 are reported as needing second shots to be fully vaccinated. That total includes the 1,774 Westchester residents just getting their first shots the last 5 days. Those individuals  still need their second shots compared to 638,000 last Monday

If second shots and first shots continue this upward trend the county could be fully vaccinated by Mid-November.  To complete second shots for the 637,920 now needing 2nd shots, the county has to ramp up the number of people coming in for second shots, or convince those who have missed their second shot appointments to come in and get them.

The state has released no figures on the persons who have skipped their second shot dosages.

Without that obvious vital stat there is no way to determine if the lag in fully vaccinating progress is from consumer indifference.

The state has released no figures on no-shows for second shots, either, or whether those no-shows for second shots are being traced and recontacted, or whether second shots will come to them. They should.

Given the spread of coronavirus the last week back to the brink of out of control spread (more than 1.1 Infection Rate) this situation of shot-skipping ignoring getting a shot altogether, and how it is being addressed needs to be addressed calculated and executed. Depending on today’s numbers due at 2 PM, the Third Wave could be about to begin.

The state has to dig into the weeds of the stats they do not want to tell.

The state needs to stop talking about recovery and back to normal because the spread is already on in Westchester and the reasons for that have to be isolated: is it vaccination skipping, too relaxed rules, or stronger covid strains. Wishful thinking does not replace what the facts tell you.

With the number of people still needing second shots and the still low rate of vaccinations running at 700  (337 second shots a day  and 354 first shots) (1st and 2nd combined) we are not vaccinating fast enough to get the county fully vaccinated by the start of the school year. We need 2,000 shots a day 1st and seconds combined to get the county full vaccinated by mid-September.

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NEW COVID CASES IN WESTCHESTER HITS SPREAD RATE OF 1.1% 12 DAYS AFTER JULY 4 WEEKEND ENDS. FRIDAY FIGURES: INFECTION RATE CONTINUES AT 1.1% POSITIVE–51 OF 4,637 TESTED–1.1% INFECTION CONTINUES. 312 NEW CASES IN 8 DAYS AVG 40 A DAY.

THIS JUST IN FROM NEW YORK STATE COVID TRACKER:
SHOWING ANOTHER 51 PERSONS INFECTED WITH COVID FRIDAY OF 4,632 TESTED.

WPCNR CORONAVIRUS REPORT. NEWS & COMMENT By John F. Bailey. Updated with chart July 17, 2021 UPDATED WITH FRIDAY TEST RESULTS, 3:45P.M. EDT

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Westchester new covid case percentage of positives tested has  doubled from a low of .3 testing positive the previous late April 12 weeks through June 30.

The new case rate is   back  to 1.1% of  24,310 tested in last 7 days. That 1.1% continued when Friday Test results were posted on the New York State Covid Tracker showing another 4, 632 persons were tested and 51 or 1.1% were found positive with Covid.

The rate of 1.1% positives is the start of the infection rate that builds cases exponentially, 2 for every infected person.

The spread of new coronavirus has suddenly  gone from less than 30 a day   to 50  a day in Westchester alone in 7 days. It was only 7 days from the end of a very loose holiday three-day weekend that new positives starting going up instead of continuing its previous continued steady-controlled number of 1/2 % and significantly growing number of infections.

The  number of daily  cases averaging slightly over 30 new cases a day (34,32,33,37,32  from July 9 to July 13, has gone to 51 new cases Wednesday July 14 to 47 on Thursday July 15, paralleling the incubation period of exactly 12 days since the end of the July 5th 3-day holiday weekend in Westchester.

The spread of the disease is now ahead of reduction in new covid cases.

The concern is with less Westchester  people getting tested, an average of 3,501 a day the last seven days, there may be more than just 50 persons a day with new cases who are coming down with covid but simply have not shown full symptoms, and are spreading it bigtime.

This raises the question of how many other super spreader weekends coming  up in this hottest of all summers in Westchester is going to spread coronavirus and how quickly the new cases will be arriving in hospitals, threatening a healthy fall school opening.

The days paralleling the standard recognized incubation period of 10 to 14 days from the end of the July 5 weekend demonstrates how quickly the disease can reinfect  and come back.

The  “Anything Goes” policy  by authorities in in the state, counties, towns and businesses and the state of  reducing wearing masks, allowing in-person gatherings with unlimited persons, heavy beach and swimming facility usage, restaurant and movie  restriction liftings is perhaps accelerating this jump.

The unwillingness to get vaccinated, as lamented each week by County Executive George Latimer, is another factor.

A reporter I was having lunch with yesterday wondered aloud Will the Governor as the Governor of California did yesterday bring back close-down restrictions, masks and require vaccination proof before Covid seizes upon the vulnerability of Westchester and all counties reckless wishful thinking?

In the sudden rush to go back to normal, and follow wishful politicians’ thinking that the vaccine is controlling the virus, and politcians’ eagerness to claim credit from the governor for opening up the economy again, are coronavirus and its delta variant reasserting its spread?

The 7 days of spread spread (going up everyday for 7 days) say that.

 We need to know whether persons coming down with the new cases had been vaccinated.  

Two letters from caregivers of covid cases appeared in the New York Times letter column this morning said that all persons they were treating from covid had not been vaccinated. That tells me it is time to require vaccinations of eligible children before schools start. That tells me there has to be vaccination drives in New York City, Long Island and Westchester County.

It also tells me that if you have not been vaccinated or have not gone back for you second shot, you are going to get the disease if you are not careful

As a study published in The New York Times today pointed out celebrations of birthdays and special occasions have pointed out as leading spreaders of the disease

The   horrifying 50 cases a day figures tell me that vaccinations have to be ramped up and required.

When Friday test results from yesterday for Westchester come out at 2 PM today, I hope they do not show more of an infection rate.

I just worry about wishful thinking that covid is over because it restart the disease bigtime..

Because people are already out there spreading covid but do not know it.

Governor Cuomo has to wake up and smell the coffee.

If we start  to whistle past the graveyard, we will have more hospitalizations and  graveyards to fill in less than a month at this rate in Westchester.

In 7 days, it already has.

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WHITE PLAINS WEEK AND WPCNR NEWS “THE RECOVERY REPORT” HOW MUCH ARE WE “BACK?” A LOT! JULY 16 REPORT TONIGHT 7:30 ON FIOS CH. 45 COUNTYWIDE AND OPTIMUM WHITE PLAINS CH. 76 AND WWW.WPCOMMUNITYMEDIA.ORG

WHITE PLAINS GETS AND ICE CREAM SHOPPE AGAIN

JOHN BAILEY INTERVIEWS
CRYSTAL HAWKINS-SYSKA , PRESIDENT
OF HUDSON GATEWAY ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS ON
RED HOT REAL ESTATE MARKET IN WHITE PLAINS AND WESTCHESTER
BENJAMIN BOYKIN
CHAIR OF BOARD OF LEGISLATORS MID-YEAR REPOR
T: WE’RE BOUNCING BACK
90 IN THE SHADE HEAT WAVE
INVASION OF THE CITY SANITATION RECEPTACLES
BEHIND THE DENIAL OF EMINENT DOMAIN TO WHITE PLAINS
HUMANE SOCIETY OPENS RENOVATED SHELTER,
SETS COUNSELING, APPOINTMENTS FOR ADOPTING PETS
WITH
FELICITY THE CAT
ON HER EXPERIENCE
AS AN ADOPTED CAT FROM THE SHELTER
RECOVERY VS; COVID
COUNTY EXECUTIVE GEORGE LATIMER
ON VACCINES RISE IN COVID POSITIVES IN LAST 10 DAYS

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