GOVERNOR HOCHUL ON THE HEAT: POWER LOADS MAY BE REDUCED IF ELECTRICAL DEMAND ASCENDS TO HIGH LEVELS. REDUCE ELECTRICAL USAGE

GOVERNOR HOCHUL WARNS NEW YORKERS OF DANGEROUS HEAT THIS WEEKEND

Heat Advisory in Effect Through Sunday From New York City to the Capital Region; High Heat Index Values at or Over 100 Degrees

Most of New York State Expected To See High Heat and Potentially Severe Storms Over the Weekend

Governor Hochul Encourages New Yorkers To Visit Regional Cooling Centers, Stay Indoors and Check on Vulnerable Neighbors

Governor Kathy Hochul Friday day warned New Yorkers of dangerous heat conditions, which began impacting the State on Tuesday and will last through the weekend. High temperatures and humid conditions are forecast, especially from the Capital Region down the Hudson Valley to New York City.

The rest of the State will continue to see warm temperatures over the next several days with chances of isolated severe thunderstorms this weekend.

The National Weather Service expects heat index values to exceed 90 degrees across most of the State, with areas from Albany to New York City reaching or exceeding 100 degrees on Sunday.

“New Yorkers are incredibly resilient, but when it comes to extreme heat and humidity in the summertime, there are measures that need to be taken to stay safe including staying indoors, reducing electricity usage and keeping hydrated.” Governor Hochul said.

 “We need everyone to be on alert this weekend, keeping an eye out for any signs of heat-related illness and looking after one another. Cooling centers are open across New York City, and I encourage everyone who needs help staying cool to take advantage of these resources.”

State Division of Homeland Security and Emergency Services Commissioner Jackie Bray said, “Unfortunately, the extreme heat is not done with New York yet. We expect the heat to begin to subside on Tuesday, but until then, New Yorkers should take care to stay cool. Limit strenuous activity outdoors, stay hydrated, take care to make sure your pets aren’t outside for extended periods of time and know the signs of heat-related illness.”

New Yorkers should monitor local weather forecasts for the most up-to-date information. For a complete listing of weather watches, warnings, advisories and latest forecasts, visit the National Weather Service website.

The New York State Department of Health also reminds New Yorkers that heat is the number one weather-related killer in the United States.

Heat-related deaths and illness are preventable, yet annually many people suffer from the effects of extreme heat. Some individuals are at a higher risk for heat-related illness than others. New Yorkers should learn the risk factors and symptoms of heat-related illness to protect themselves and those they love.

Symptoms of heat stroke include:

  • Hot, dry, red skin
  • A rapid pulse
  • Rapid and shallow breathing
  • A body temperature higher than 105 degrees
  • Loss of alertness, confusion, and/or loss of consciousness.

You can also find more information about where you can locate a Cooling Center near you and other helpful extreme heat-related advice, by visiting the New York State Department of Health’s emergency weather webpage.

New York State Department of Public Service CEO Rory M. Christian said, “It’s important for the public to continue to look for ways to lower their electricity usage. It is also important for residents to stay cool and stay hydrated. By taking action now, we can lower electricity usage during this heat wave while staying healthy and safe.”

New York State Department of Health Commissioner Dr. Mary T. Bassett said, “Extreme heat can be dangerous for anyone, but every New Yorker can learn how to protect themselves and their loved ones from heat-related illness by being prepared. Recognizing the signs of illness and responding quickly are vital to avoid serious health repercussions that can be caused by overheating. I urge New Yorkers to follow Governor Hochul’s advice to ready for heat and humidity the next few days: Check the weather in your area, learn the symptoms of heat-related illnesses, and know where to go if you or your family need to cool down at a cooling center.”


New York State Department of Environmental Conservation Commissioner Basil Seggos said, “As this heat wave continues across the state and impacting air quality in the New York City and Long Island regions, it’s important to remember important safety tips. By Limiting outdoor activity, especially on individuals with respiratory issues and reducing electricity usage whenever possible, we can keep our families safe and help our environment.”

Agency Preparations

Division of Homeland Security and Emergency Services

The New York State Division of Homeland Security and Emergency Services’ Emergency Operations Center continues to monitor weather conditions, including extreme heat and severe weather, communicating with local emergency managers across the state and coordinate any State agency response needs from local governments. The State’s stockpiles are prepared to deploy assets to support missions as needed.

Department of Public Service

The New York State Department of Public Service (DPS) is tracking electric system conditions and overseeing utility response to any situations that may arise as a result of this week’s extreme heat and potential thunderstorm activity.

DPS has been in direct contact with utility leaders to ensure they are preparing their systems for the extreme heat and will be tracking system conditions throughout the event.

If necessary, DPS will activate the peak load reduction program for all New York State agencies; the New York Independent System Operator will activate their voluntary Emergency Response Demand Program to curtail load as necessary; and New York’s utilities have approximately 5,500 workers available, as necessary, to engage in damage assessment, response, repair, and restoration efforts across New York State, for this heat event. Agency staff will track utilities’ work throughout the event and ensure utilities shift appropriate staffing to regions that experience the greatest impact.

Heat Tips

Excessive heat is the leading cause of preventable, weather-related deaths each year, particularly among the elderly. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, heat causes more than 600 preventable deaths in the United States every year. To help New Yorkers stay safe during excessive heat, follow the below guidance:

Be Prepared

  • Taking precautions to avoid heat exhaustion is important, and this includes adjusting your schedule to avoid the outdoors during the hottest hours of the day and modifying your diet and water intake when possible.
  • Reduce strenuous activities and exercises, especially from 11 a.m. to 4 p.m., which are peak sunlight hours.
  • Exercise should be conducted early in the morning, before 7 a.m.
  • Eat less protein and more fruits and vegetables. Protein produces and increases metabolic heat, which causes water loss. Eat small meals but eat more often. Do not eat salty foods.
  • Drink at least two to four glasses of water per hour during extreme heat, even if you do not feel thirsty. Avoid beverages containing alcohol or caffeine.
  • If possible, stay out of the sun and stay in air conditioning. The sun heats the inner core of your body, resulting in dehydration. If air conditioning is not available, stay on the lowest floor, out of the sunshine, or go to a public building with air conditioning
  • If you must go outdoors, wear sunscreen with a high sun protector factor rating (at least SPF 15) and a hat to protect your face and head.
  • When outdoors, wear loose-fitting, lightweight, and light-colored clothing. Cover as much skin as possible to avoid sunburn and over-warming effects of sunlight on your body.
  • Never leave children, pets or those who require special care in a parked vehicle, especially during periods of intense summer heat. Temperatures inside a closed vehicle can reach over 140 degrees Fahrenheit quickly. Exposure to such high temperatures can kill within a matter of minutes.
  • Try to check on your neighbors during a heat wave, especially if they are elderly, have young children or have disabilities. Make sure there is enough food and water for your pets.
  • Prolonged exposure to the heat can be harmful and potentially fatal. Call 911 if you or someone you know shows signs or symptoms of heat illness, including headache, light headedness, muscle cramps, nausea, and vomiting.

Conserve Electricity

Taking smart steps to reduce energy use, particularly during periods of peak demand, not only helps to lower the state’s peak load but also saves consumers money when electricity is the most expensive. To reduce energy use, particularly during peak periods, the public is encouraged to take some of the following low- or no-cost energy saving measures:

  • Close drapes, windows, and doors on your home’s sunny side to reduce solar heat buildup.
  • Turn off air conditioners, lights, and other appliances when not at home and use a timer to turn on your air conditioner about a half-hour before arriving home. Use advanced power strips to centrally “turn off” all appliances and save energy.
  • Fans can make rooms feel 10 degrees cooler and use 80 percent less energy than air conditioners.
  • If purchasing an air conditioner, look for an ENERGY STAR qualified model, which uses up to 25 percent less energy than a standard model.
  • Set your air conditioner at 78 degrees or higher to save on your cooling costs.
  • Place your air conditioner in a central window, rather than a corner window, to allow for better air movement.
  • Consider placing the unit on the north, east or the best-shaded side of your home. Your air conditioner will have to work harder and use more energy if it is exposed to direct sunlight.
  • Seal spaces around the air conditioner with caulking to prevent cool air from escaping.
  • Clean the cooling and condenser fans plus the coils to keep your air conditioner operating efficiently and check the filter every month and replace as needed.
  • Use appliances such as washing machines, dryers, dishwashers and ovens early in the morning or late at night. This will also help reduce humidity and heat in the home.
  • Use energy-efficient, ENERGY STAR qualified light bulbs instead of standard incandescent light bulbs, and you can use 75 percent less energy.
  • Microwave food when possible. Microwaves use approximately 50 percent less energy than conventional ovens.
  • Dry clothes on a clothesline. If using a clothes dryer, remember to clean the dryer’s lint trap before every load.
  • Be mindful of the different ways you’re consuming water throughout your home. Instead of using 30 to 40 gallons of water to take a bath, install a low-flow showerhead, which uses less than 3 gallons a minute.
  • Lowering the temperature setting on your wash machine and rinsing in cold water will reduce energy use.
  • Additional tips on how to conserve energy is available on NYSERDA’s website here.

Water Safety

Boaters should make sure to take proper safety precautions when enjoying the many boating opportunities New York State has to offer. The State Parks Marine Services Bureau reminds boaters to practice safe and responsible boating, including:

  • Wear a personal flotation device whenever they are on the water. State law requires that children under age 12 wear a personal flotation device while on a watercraft.
  • Complete a safe boating course.
  • Properly equip and inspect their vessel.
  • Maintain a prudent speed.
  • Refrain from mixing alcohol with boating.
  • Check the weather before heading out on the water to learn about potential storms and seek immediate shelter on shore if thunder is audible.

For more information about boating safety, including listings of boating safety courses, and marine recreation in New York State, click here.

Summer heat can lead to the formation of ground-level ozone, a major component of photochemical smog. DEC and DOH will issue Air Quality Health Advisories when DEC meteorologists predict levels of pollution, either ozone or fine particulate matter, are expected to exceed an Air Quality Index value of 100. Information about the Air Quality forecast for New York State can be found here.

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WHITE PLAINS WEEK SATURDAY MORNING 8:30 A.M. EDT ON FIOS CH 45 ACROSS WESTCHESTER COUNTY & ON OPTIMUM CH 76 & WWW.WPCOMMUNITYMEDIA.ORG

A MOONLANDING REMINISCENCE
JOHN BAILEY AND THE NEWS THIS WEEK EVERY WEEK ON WHITE PLAINS WEEK FOR 21 YEARS
THE OVERTURE OPENING WITH VIDEOS OF MAYOR ROACH, STATE SENATOR SHELLY MEYER, ASSEMBLYMAN CHRIS BURDICK AND COUNTY EXECUTIVE GEORGE LATIMER
EXCLUSIVE! DAN WELCH OF SUSTAINABLE WESTCHESTER SPEAKING TO THE GREENBURGH TOWN BOARD ON HOW CLOSE SUSTAINABLE IS TO NARROWING DOWN TO A FIXED GREEN ENERGY RATE.
THE TROPICAL HEAT WAVE
COUNTY EXECUTIVE GEORGE LATIMER ON THE MONKEY POX THREAT — THE DISEASE OF THE WEEK
THE REALITY OF COVID CONTINUED INFECTIONS — WE’LL HEAR FROM COUNTY EXECUTIVE ON DEALING WITH THE DIS

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WHITE PLAINS WEEK TONIGHT 7:30 P.M. EDT ON FIOS CH 45 ACROSS WESTCHESTER COUNTY & ON OPTIMUM CH 76 & WWW.WPCOMMUNITYMEDIA.ORG

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JOHN BAILEY AND THE NEWS THIS WEEK EVERY WEEK ON WHITE PLAINS WEEK SINCE 2001
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A MOONLANDING REMINISCENCE
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THE OVERTURE OPENING WITH VIDEOS OF MAYOR ROACH, STATE SENATOR SHELLY MEYER, ASSEMBLYMAN CHRIS BURDICK AND COUNT EXECUTIVE GEORGE LATIMER
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466 NEW COVID CASES IN WESTCHESTER TUESDAY.

MIDWEEK SURGE PATTERN CONTINUES.

HIGHEST TUESDAY SPIKE SINCE JUNE 7

REFLECTS 500 A DAY POSITIVES, 3,000 INFECTIONS A WEEK SEEN 2 MONTHS AGO

WPCNR CORONAVIRUS SURVEILLANCE. From New York State Covid Tracker. Observation and Analysis by John F. Bailey. July 21, 2022:

The pattern of sharply rising new persons testing positive in Westchester County by midweek  continues.

 The rise appearing consistently the last three weeks in July,  reflects in the results reported Mondays, beginning two days after weekend declines in positive tests. This steady pattern continues indicating more persons are coming in to test after either showing symptoms or taking an at home test after their weekend activities and going for a medical test which shows positive in state laboratory tests.

Previously in July,  on the 28th of June.. we saw 262 positives on Tueday June 28; 252 positives July 5; up 70 persons sharply to 322 on July 12;  and on Tuesday July 19, up 144 new positives to 466. The last time Tuesday positives hit that over 400 number was back on June 7, when we had 366. In May positives ranged from in the 500 positives a day  for the four weeks of that month, over 3,000 new cases a week

Last week when Westchester County hit 2,512 new cases the fourth consecutive week of rising cases, and 14th weekly increase in cases in 16 weeks since April 1.

Putting Westchester in covid perspective, last  Wednesday showed 478 positives; Thursday, 397; Friday 318 and Saturday 310 . The county averaged 391 new positives a day through the weekend. If we continue at last week’s Wednesday through Saturday positivity rate, the county will have 1,568 new cases added to  the positives July 17(Sunday) 234; July 18 (Monday) 239; and July 19(Tuesday) 466,  matching last week’s 2,512 paces.

If we keep at the 391 a day positive rate Wednesday (the Wednesday positives will be reported this afternoon Westchester will stay at the number of 2,500 new cases this week.

If we increase we increase at the 400 a day rate we will be very close to 3,000 new cases this week through Saturday—back to the May surges of 3,000 infections a week

More worrying are the new positives showing up in Orange County Tuesday, which had 255 new positives…the first time that county had been over 100 cases since July 11, and Rockland County  which reported 184 new positive double what that county reported July 11. That says more public behavior in Orange and Rockland are spreading the disease faster.

The coronavirus is growing. Positives are popping up in midweek through Friday.

That is what is happening.

In the week ending Jul 14, 2022, there were 151 patients hospitalized with confirmed or suspected cases of Covid-19 in Westchester hospitals (9% of all inpatients). 83% of all inpatient beds were occupied and 76% of all ICU beds were occupied. There were 342 total beds free and 45 ICU beds free. Statewide, 81% of all inpatient beds were occupied and 71% of all ICU beds were occupied.

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SEARCH FOR THE NEW GENERATION OF COVID VACCINES: FUNDING NEEDED

WPCNR YOUR LOCAL EPIDEMIOLOGIST By Dr. Katelyn Jetelina. Reprinted with permission. July 21, 2022:

“Your Local Epidemiologist (YLE)” is written by Dr. Katelyn Jetelina, MPH PhD—an epidemiologist, biostatistician, wife, and mom of two little girls. During the day she works at a nonpartisan health policy think tank, and at night she writes this newsletter.

Yesterday, ACIP—CDC’s external scientific advisory board—unanimously voted to authorize the Novavax vaccine (called NVX-CoV2373) in the U.S. This was big news for the small, underdog Maryland company who had a long road to authorization.

After rigorous clinical trials, FDA and CDC scientific meetings, and more than 1 million vaccines already rolled out across the globe, it’s clear this vaccine is safe and effective. There are two ways this vaccine could potentially help us in the U.S.:

  1. Vaccinating the unvaccinated
  2. Broadening protection through multiple vaccine platforms (e.g., mRNA primary series + Novavax booster)

Unfortunately, I’m not optimistic for either. I don’t think Novavax is the silver bullet we need in the U.S. to close out our fight against SARS-CoV-2.

Vaccine for the unvaccinated

Novavax was authorized as a primary series. In other words, this is intended for those who are still unvaccinated. There is still a significant need and opportunity to improve COVID-19 vaccination rates in the U.S. Around 26-37 million (10-14%) of adults have not received a COVID-19 vaccine. The majority of these folks are multiple races (30%) or non-Hispanic White (22%), living in rural areas (22%), below poverty (19%), and/or uninsured (31%).

Novavax uses a different vaccine platform than current COVID-19 vaccines do. A diverse portfolio is important for many reasons, like freeing up supply bottlenecks and providing options for those allergic to vaccines ingredients. The Novavax vaccine also may reduce vaccine hesitancy because it uses a more traditional biotechnology. Its method has a much longer track record than the newer approaches, as it’s used for some flu and HPV vaccines.

The CDC conducted a poll with unvaccinated people in the beginning of the year and found 16% of the unvaccinated would “probably” or “definitely” get the Novavax vaccine. Given pandemic fatigue and lots of infections since, it’s not surprising that this number is lower now: a more recent poll (June 2022) found only about 10% of unvaccinated people will line up for this vaccine.

Among unvaccinated people who do not want Novavax, top concerns include “concern about side effects,” “worried the vaccine moved through clinical trials too fast,” “don’t think the vaccine will be effective,” and “don’t trust the company making the vaccine.” Moving the dial is going to be difficult because it requires building trust. This isn’t done overnight with a new vaccine release.

(CDC)

Boosting with Novavax

The other potential is for the larger population vaccinated with mRNA vaccines to use Novavax as a booster. I was most excited about this. Originally, we hypothesized combining vaccines from different platforms would broaden protection, as the body was exposed to the virus in different ways, potentially giving it more tools. While boosting with Novavax has been shown to be safe, preliminary effectiveness of this approach is underwhelming. (To be clear, the current authorization does not “allow” Novavax boosting yet.)

One study published in Lancet assessed the effectiveness of vaccinating with one dose of mRNA with a second dose of Novavax. The figure below (left panel) shows antibodies after Pfizer+Novavax (purple) wasn’t as high as the two mRNA vaccines (orange and yellow). The same pattern was found for T-cell protection (right panel below).

Figure thumbnail gr3
Figure from Stuart et al., 2022, Lancet.

Another study in Science compared three mRNA doses with two Novavax plus one mRNA dose. The antibody response was about the same, even against some of the newer Omicron subvariants, like BA.4/5.

Figure from Bowen et al., 2022, Science.

If we switch the series order (2 mRNA+1 Novavax), the story doesn’t change. A randomized control trial published in Lancet found Novavax did boost immunity, but not significantly more than other combinations. Interestingly, T-cell-boosting effects of Novavax were lower in people who had received two mRNA vaccines compared to those who received two doses of the Oxford’s Adnovirus vaccine. This study shows that combining can be advantageous for certain vaccines, but that doesn’t seem to be the case for mRNA and Novavax.

One thing we don’t know is the durability of combining mRNA with Novavax. Although antibodies may be the same, the combination could theoretically slow the rapid waning we see with the mRNA series. I’ll be anxiously awaiting the data.

Bottom line

Novavax is a great vaccine for the unvaccinated, and it will save millions of lives. It can eventually be used as a booster, but the effect will not be as impactful as I would have hoped. For now, I don’t recommend using Novavax off-label as a booster or, worse, waiting for a booster because Novavax is coming.

It’s abundantly clear that first generation vaccines, like Novavax, are not the silver bullet we need to close out this pandemic. We desperately need the funding and the drive for second generation vaccines, like pan-coronavirus vaccines (variant proof) or nasal vaccines (future post to come), to finally get ahead of this virus.

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