County Positive Cases Continue at 6.1% of tested turned out Positive for the virus Saturday and Sunday.

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WPCNR WESTCHESTER CORONAVIRUS REPORT. From the WorkBook NYS Covid-19 Tracker December 7, 2020:

The New York State tracker as of 2 PM Monday reported 727 new persons were tested positive for Covid during testing on Saturday and 516 were found to test positive Sunday, the 6th.

This brought the total new Westchester Positive Cases to 6,746 since November 26, the day before Thanksgiving. From November 25 through December 2, 3,977 persons were tested positive.

From December 3 through Sunday, December 6, 2,769 persons tested positive, (692 new Covid cases a day) totaling 6,746 new positive cases.

During those 4 days December 3 through the sixth the number of positive covid persons the infection rate averaged 6.3% testing positive a day.

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79 YEARS AGO: JAPAN ATTACKED PEARL HARBOR

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Out of the Sun

The Arizona engulfed, December 7, 1941 Pearl Harbor

Out of the sun they came

Birds of death blazened with red suns raining fiery havoc on Battleship Row.

One by one, ruthless planes dove, destroyed to their nation’s shame.

Thunderous explosions scattered fiery death on Sunday dawn’s glow.

Flames belched from bowels of stricken Arizona, America’s pride,

On Hicham Field pilots raced to planes to defend

Their birds crippled on ground by Zeros’ glide

Gunners in turrets on ships floundering filled skies with flack’s din.

In search of carriers, marauders could not find

Ruthlessly strafed and bombed leaving Pearl

In smoking ruin. Ships sunk, burning as raiders flew into the Sun

The day of infamy had been ignited in the Zeros’ swirl.

The Attack Begins 8 AM December 7, 1941

As America listened a world away,  somber FDR

Spoke of  this day that will live in infamy.

America must never forget its  Pearl Harbor Scar

When an unsuspecting America slept in complacency.

To the 2,403 perishing that day under merciless bombs

Hails of bullets,  terror of torpedos out of nowhere

America must remember forces against our freedoms

Relentlessly work always to surprise with deadly bombs’ glare.

Vigilence is the price of freedom always to be defended

By dark forces in far off places we have offended.

Against those who would destroy our republic from within

The answer is not curtailing freedom at home rather it to champion.

The USS Arizona lies in Pearl’s waters, bleeding the lives

Of her men through the eerie eternal slick marking the rusting hulk.

Beneath Pearl’s waters, the blood of free people oozes from the shadowy bulk,

Bleeding forever, freedom’s spirit living forever in lost lives remembered.

She never rests.



Note: The Pearl Harbor attack which took place 79 years ago today 2 PM Eastern Standard Time, and its aftermath is dramatically depicted at http://www.history.navy.mil/photos/events/wwii-pac/pearlhbr/pearlhbr.htm

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Only You Can Prevent CoronaVirus

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Page 4 of Today’s New York Times

WPCNR WESTCHESTER CORONA VIRUS REPORT. News & Comment by John F. Bailey. December 6, 2020:

It’s now official.

The second wave of Covid is officially here. The New York Times said so.

The New York Times published today an article on page 4,  with the headline, One of the First Hot Spots in the U.S. Confronts the Next Wave. The article mainly focuses on New Rochelle as having 73 new cases on Friday, and New York State 11,271. Westchester Friday which the article did not mention had 758 infections. New Rochelle has about 10% of the new positives.

It is about time.

The number of positive cases in Westchester has been going up steadily for 10 weeks starting right after Labor Day and now reaching positives increasing at the rate of 7% of Westchester Tests administered as testing positive  per day.

This just in as of 2 PM on Sunday: New York Covid Tracker reports Westchester County had 727 new Covid Positives out of 11,471 persons tested, an infection rate of 6.3%

This is not good.

It is a creeping terror.

In the last 9 Days through Friday December 4, there have been 7,352 new covid positive cases identified in Westchester County. At the exponential spread of 1:1 that the state uses as a stabilizer, the 7,352 infections over the nine days November 25 through December 4, each person of those 7,352 have the potential to spread the disease to one other person, if exposing to two,  14,704 persons. If each encounters 3 people they spread it to 22,056. If they spread it to 6, that is 42,000.

The Westchester hospital capacity is 30,000 beds. At the 4% hospitalization rate which is what hospitalizations from Covid are running, this would mean 1700 new hospitalizations from these 7,352. The number infections has been doubling each week. The last 9 days have seen a doubling of covid infections.

At this rate the hospitalizations over the next 27 days to December 31 if the positive infection rate 6.9% remains the same, at 753 every two weeks we would have 1,506 new infections, and 60 new hosptalizations, if each new infected person only spreads it to one person. If they spread it to as many as 6 you would have 4,518 new infections, if we contained the spread keeping it at 753 every two weeks. Yet those 4,518 new infections could result in 180 hospitalizations, if they each only infected one other person. If each of the 4,518 new infections spread it to 6 people you would have 25,000 more persons infected with covid with possibly 1,000 hospitalizations.

The rising numbers since the holiday season began officially November 25 (the day before Thanksgiving) means heads of each town and city in Westchester have to consider seriously proactive measures to stop the exponential spread of the virus now. They should seriously consider penalties for the behaviors leading to this spread that is approaching out of control careless behavior and starting to really impair the county to take care of the wave of hospitalizations head even if the second wave is contained at a mere doubling every two weeks.

  1. Public Gatherings Enforcement. The Supreme Court decision on imposing unequal penalties on churches compared to businesses not withstanding, officials should forbid all churches from holding religious services in their buildings of all kinds Ministers, Pastors, Priests, Mullahs Rabis could travel to homes and administer communions, marry persons, christen children any service just as restaurants can provide food by takeout, or in the cases of churches it would be “Bring to You Out.”

As a challenge, I believe all cities and towns in the county should ask all leaders of all religious places of worship to suspend all religious services unilaterally to avoid the spread. You can practice your faith by going into churches by yourself and praying. You do not have to go to church to communicate with God. This would be a tremendous public gesture on the part of religious organizations much needed to save their flocks.

  • Social Gatherings Enforcement. To prevent spreading via indoor parties, all entertainments planned by families would have to be registered with the individual towns with date time and persons expected to attend and where they are from, including the names. If parties are not registered and neighbors report such parties, the families and guests would be tested and quarantined. It is not hard to spot unregistered parties just patrol and look for the cars parked on the street. Apartment building managers can ask each apartment dweller to register their entertainments, how many and who is coming. Those that do not register who hold a party will be fined.
  • Travel Monitoring Enforcement. If traveling out of the state or out of town for the holidays, persons need to  preregister their trip with town and city officials, and be tested when they return and quarantined. If  you do not, on return you are automatically tested and quarantined. This can be tracked by airport departures train departures and tolls on bridges. You won’t catch them all but it will cut down on residents leaving the state and bringing a virus back in to New York.
  •  IMPROMPTU ASSEMBLY ENFORCEMENT: Adults or teens, public assembly for recreation or hanging out or walking, shopping in malls, or in parks should wear masks. Those not wearing masks should be asked to leave the facility or fined by the towns, cities, county responsible for the facility and tested on the spot. (This has to be done.)
  • TRACING AVOIDANCE ENFORCEMENT. Persons not responding to tracing calls should be fined immediately charged to their phone or cellphone, the fine being rescinded IF they respond to the call. This is very important since more persons are ignoring tracing calls to avoid quarantining. I’d say a $50 fine would be appropriate.
  • Mask enforcement. An imperative. A penalty in each town or village should be assessed on each person not wearing a mask in stores, or on the street in parks, playgrounds. The penalty assessed by a summons like a parking ticket, if they have a mask and do not put it on. They should be asked to do so. Bicyclists and joggers particularly.
  • Close or Fine the malls and the bars and restaurants, if they will not enforce masking on their private property. And assess a fine again via summonses provided by the local police.

These suggestions are submitted as possible policies that should be seriously considered by any responsible leader of city town or county.

You cannot go on with this rate of spread in Westchester County. 

We have tried persuason. Pleading with citizenry. And the virus has come back. It is time to enforce with consequences if public health directives are not obeyed.

TV spots won’t do it.

Money talks, nobody walks without a mask.

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FRIDAY THE 4TH NUMBERS: THANKSGIVING SOCIAL INFECTION WESTCHESTER WAVE BEGINS? 758 NEW CORONAVIRUS INFECTED PERSONS IN WESTCHESTER FOUND ON FRIDAY 8 DAYS AFTER HOLIDAY. FRI. NUMBER RUNS UP TOTAL NEW COVID CASES SINCE NOV 25 TO 7,352 NEW IN 9 DAYS

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THE NEW YORK STATE COVID-19 TRACKER WEBSITE AT 4 PM EST REPORTED 758 NEW COVID CASES IN WESTCHESTER COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON TESTED POSITIVE ON FRIDAY. OF 10,979 PERSONS TESTED IN THE COUNT 6.9% TESTED POSITIVE, THE POSITIVE INFECTION RATE 6.9%.

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WESTCHESTER THURSDAY THE 3RD NEW COVID CASES– 768. TOTAL NEW COVID DIAGNOSES IN 8 DAYS: 4,594 , INFECTION RATE BALLOONS TO 6.7%. AVG.INFECTION RATE SOARS IN WEEK AND 1 DAY TO 5.9%. FRIDAY DEC 4 NUMBERS COMING THIS AFTERNOON.

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WPCNR WESTCHESTER CORONAVIRUS REPORT. From New York State Department of Health. December 5, 2020:

The New York State WorkBook Covid Tracker reported Friday Westchester County had 768 persons test positive for coronavirus on Thursday. December 3 of 11,541 persons tested in the County.

The one-day positive infection rate was 6.7% of those those tested, the highest rate of infection since May. In the 8 days from November 25 through Thursday December 3, the average infection rate in the County is 5.9% almost 5 times the 1.1 infection rate needed to sustain no growth in the number of covid cases.

In the 8 days since November 25, Westchester County has seen 4, 594 persons test positive for the virus. Westchester County Executive yesterday in his news conference on Covid, stated county “Tracing” efforts were being stretched to their maximum. The tracing system is the contact phone operation where health workers contact persons who may have been exposed by the virus.

The County Executive said there were “no tools,” the county could use to enforce restrictions on small social gatherings, or persons’failure to wear a mask out in public.

Friday evening the New York State Health Department detailed the following new status of the effort to control the Coronavirus wave of infections engulfing the state:

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THE FRIDAY DECEMBER 4 WHITE PLAINS WEEK NEWS ROUNDUP IS ON THE AIR ON WWW.WPCOMMUNITY MEDIA.ORG AND YOUTUBE INSTANTLY! CLICK ON THE VIDEO SCREEN TO WATCH IT NOW! GRAB A CUP OF COFFEE AND PULL UP A CHAIR

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https://youtu.be/jyulBZorCjE
John Bailey examines the White Plains Schools Coronavirus Infection Rate and why the District decided to keep in school learning going. He also looks at the MidHudson Region Infection rates and the Westchester County Wave of New Infections and Governor Cuomo’s Winter Plan.

Hospitalizations for Coronavirus Rising Throughout the State, 80% LESS than the Hospitalizations for Covid at its Highest in the Spring.

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WPCNR CUOMO CORONAVIRUS REPORT. From Governor Andrew M. Cuomo. December 3, 2020:

Hospitalizations due to COVID continue to increase throughout the State. The total number of hospital beds in NY is about 53,000—currently 35,000 of those beds are occupied by patients, about 4,000 of whom are COVID patients.

For context, at the height of the pandemic in the spring, we had about 19,000 people hospitalized with COVID. (Editor’s Note: 80% More than the present level of hospitalizations).

The next stage of the battle with COVID is going to be vaccine distribution and vaccine acceptance.

The vaccine is the light at the end of the tunnel. We just have to get there, and we have to get there with as little loss of life as possible. We must do our best to keep the virus from spreading any further.

Wear a mask, avoid gatherings (both indoor AND outdoor), social distance and wash your hands


Here’s what else you need to know tonight:

1. The statewide positivity rate ticked up to 4.84 percent yesterday. There were 9,855 positive cases from 203,440 tests reported yesterday.

The positivity rate in the micro-cluster focus areas was 5.91 percent. Excluding these areas, it was 4.49 percent.

 2. Total hospitalizations rose to 4,063. There were 783 patients in ICU yesterday, up 41 from the previous day. Of them, 377 are intubated. Sadly, we lost 61 New Yorkers to the virus.  

3. The State is launching 150 new rapid testing sites in partnership with Prescryptive Health. The partnership will help expand testing capacity in areas across the State where testing access is limited.

Residents can find participating sites, schedule a test, receive results and follow-up with licenses clinicians directly from their mobile device. All testing sites will be searchable on the State’s COVID test website and appointments for these sites will also be available at www.prescryptive.com

4. I will sign an Executive Order expanding eligibility for New York State’s COVID Rent Relief Program and reopening the application window. This Executive Order will expand the program’s eligibility so more rent relief can be provided to New Yorkers and additional details will be available in the coming days.  

Tonight’s “Deep Breath Moment”: Celebrity Chef David Chang, owner of the Momofuku restaurant group, became the first celebrity to win $1 million on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire?”. The prize money will be donated to the Southern Smoke Foundation, an emergency relief fund for restaurant industry workers impacted by the pandemic. 

 If you were forwarded this email, you can subscribe to New York State’s Coronavirus Updates here. 

Ever Upward, Governor Andrew M. Cuomo 
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Cuomo on Covid: Vacines in 2 Weeks.

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WPCNR THE LETTER TICKER. DECEMBER 2, 2020:

The federal government has informed us that New York will be getting its first 170,000 doses of the COVID-19 vaccine in the coming weeks. If all safety and efficacy approvals are granted, we expect to receive these vaccines doses—from the New York pharmaceutical company Pfizer—on December 15.

The State expects additional doses of both the Pfizer-developed vaccine and the Moderna-developed vaccine this month.  Following FDA approval, the NY COVID-19 Clinical Advisory Task Force will look at the data and provide an additional level of review to the vaccine. This review will not delay distribution of the vaccine and will simply be another safety measure that ensures we can all trust in the vaccine.

The COVID-19 Clinical Advisory Task Force is made up of health experts and medical professionals and is co-chaired by Dr. Charles Rice, the winner of the 2020 Nobel Prize in Medicine. Healthcare workers and nursing home residents will be the first groups of people to receive the vaccine.

For most New Yorkers, though, the vaccine is still months away—and we are faced with a set of challenges to overcome before we get it. Hospitalizations are climbing across the state, and holiday social activity is certain to worsen this trend. There is a light at the end of the tunnel, but in the winter we must fight harder than ever to slow the spread and save lives. Here’s what else you need to know tonight: 

1. The statewide positivity rate dropped slightly to 4.63 percent yesterday. There were 8,973 positive cases from 193,551 tests reported yesterday. The positivity rate in the micro-cluster focus areas was 5.88 percent. Excluding these areas, it was 4.21 percent. 

2. Total hospitalizations rose to 3,924. There were 742 patients in ICU yesterday, up 24 from the previous day. Of them, 373 are intubated. Sadly, we lost 69 New Yorkers to the virus.  

3. Starting next week, I will resume holding scheduled COVID briefings. Instead of daily briefings, this time the briefings will be held on Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays. Briefings are always streamed online at ny.gov, and are additionally broadcast on Twitter and Facebook Live.   

 4. We are seeing an alarming rise in COVID cases that trace back to “living room spread.” New York’s latest contact tracing data shows that 70 percent of new COVID-19 cases originate from households and small gatherings. Today, the State released a new PSA highlighting the dangers of COVID spread in these smaller, indoor settings. Watch the PSA here 

5. We’ve seen a 262 percent increase in hospitalizations in Western NY over the past three weeks. Even though the region continues to have the highest positivity rate in the state, hospitalizations are increasing across all of New York’s significantly. I implore all New Yorkers to please follow health guidelines—wear a mask, socially distance, get tested, wash your hands and stop the spread.  

Tonight’s “Deep Breath Moment”: Thanksgiving is a tradition that can be celebrated by all members of the American family—including canine and feline members. Last week, Rob and Hillary Dunn of Utica, NY, served “Thanksgiving dinners” to around 80 dogs and 150 cats at the Stevens Swan Humane Society. Each dog received a vet-approved plate of white turkey meat (no bones), canned sodium-free green beans, and canned pumpkin. The couple prepared the meals in the days leading up to the holiday, doing their best to make as many meals for the animals as possible. Visit the animal shelter’s website here and learn about the animals up for adoption.  
Ever Upward, Governor Andrew M. Cuomo 
        
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