WINTER FLU SEASON OUTLOOK

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Winter flu season outlook

A look ahead to winter respiratory virus season

I don’t know about your household, but last winter was brutal for my family. I have young kids in school, and they were constantly hit with various bugs throughout the so-called “tripledemic.” I’m already starting to wonder: will this year be more of the same?

I did a pretty good job of calling last season. I suspected we would see an early-than-usual flu season in July, and

and I warned in September that childhood illnesses would flare. I thought I’d push my luck by trying a long-term forecast again this year.

This is guesswork, so think of it as you would a Farmer’s Almanac outlook.

Punchline

I anticipate this will be a high-normal winter respiratory virus season. It won’t be quite as bad as last year, but still higher than what we normally saw in pre-pandemic times.

Deep dive

I can’t think of a reason why COVID-19 would depart from its habit of surging in the winter months, so that’s my expectation again this year. We’ve been circulating through Omicron variants for over a year now, and they seem to have staying power, so we’ll likely get more of the same. (On the other hand, if a brand new variant does become dominant, we would be in for a larger wave.)

Many of the young children who are vulnerable to RSV will have gotten it last year, so I expect that the population-level susceptibility is lower now than it was last year. Still, even severe winter respiratory virus seasons don’t infection everyone, and new babies have been born since the last wave, so I expect the conditions for a worse-than-average year are present again. There was also a sizable wave of RSV in Australia, which is further evidence that it will be another significant RSV season in North America.

Older adults are also vulnerable to severe RSV, but I have less of a sense of the disease dynamics in that population. Luckily, there will be an RSV vaccine available to help protect people 60 years of age and older soon. It’s expected to become available this fall.

Australia’s 2023 RSV season was less severe than 2022, but still quite active. Source.

Influenza season is in full swing in Australia, so we can get a preliminary sense of how things are unfolding there.

Last flu season, Australia (and later the Northern Hemisphere) saw activity begin very early. They did not see that pattern this season, which suggests we can expect a more typical winter start here in the North. Peak week and duration are not unknown, but I think we can rule out a year of unusually low activity.

On the bright side, H1N1 is the most prevalent influenza strain again this year. It’s what dominated last year, and it’s included in the vaccine again this year. South Africa and parts of Southeast Asia are seeing some H3N2, which is also in this year’s vaccine. The seasonal influenza vaccine is generally available by September, and it’s a good idea to get it before Thanksgiving.

Australia’s 2023 flu season hints at what the Northern Hemisphere can expect. Source.

Lastly, I’m thinking that the other pesky respiratory viruses like the seasonal coronaviruses will behave similar to what I’m expecting for RSV, which is to say it may be another big season. There was a large buildup of the susceptible population in the years where people were wearing masks and social distancing. There is no way that one bad year reset things totally, so I think there will be plenty of activity again this year.

What it all means

For my family, I’m prepared for another year of stuffy noses and sick days. I just hope it’s not as extensive as the 2022-2023 season.

For healthcare systems that creaked under the load of respiratory virus season even before the pandemic, I do suspect that it may be another tough winter. I hope some of the thinking I’m sharing, imperfect though it may be, can help to shape early preparations.

How are you using this information? Let me know in the comments.

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MIDST ONGOING OVERDOSE CRISIS, GOVERNOR HOCHUL ANNOUNCES NEW STATEWIDE MEDIA CAMPAIGN AND PODCAST SERIES TO EDUCATE PUBLIC AND HIGHLIGHT SERVICES AVAILABLE IN NEW YORK STATE

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Campaign Focuses on Dangers of Fentanyl, Harm Reduction Education, and How to Seek Help for Addiction

  

OASAS Launches Partnership with NEXT Distro to Supply Naloxone Free of Charge to All New Yorkers

  

Weekly Podcast Series Will Deliver Critical Information and Feature Addiction Services Professionals and Those Directly Impacted by Addiction.

SEE BELOW FOR HOW TO GET PODCASTS , TREATMENT OPTIONS,  NALOXONE OVERDOSE-STOPPER.

 


Governor Kathy 
Hochul announced THIS WEEK the launch of a new statewide media campaign to raise awareness of addiction, and the services available in New York State for those impacted by addiction and their families.

The campaign is designed to educate the public about the potential risks of fentanyl, as well as the importance of harm reduction services, and how and where to find help for addiction in New York State.

As part of this campaign, the New York State Office of Addiction Services and Supports is also launching a partnership with NEXT Distro to increase access to the overdose reversal medication, naloxone. This partnership is funded through New York State’s Opioid Settlement Fund, and will allow individuals to receive naloxone by mail, free of charge. To compliment these efforts, OASAS is also premiering a new educational podcast series, entitled “Addiction: The Next Step.” The podcast will educate the public about all aspects of addiction and the work of OASAS and highlight stories of individuals in recovery. 

“The impact of fentanyl and the ongoing opioid and overdose crisis continues to be felt by New Yorkers in every community across the state, and we are working around the clock to address this public health emergency,” Governor Hochul said. “We need to take every possible step to save lives which starts with educating New Yorkers on the dangers of these substances and the resources available to help all those who have been impacted.” 

New York State Office of Addiction Services and Supports Commissioner Dr. Chinazo Cunningham said, “We are experiencing the worst overdose crisis in history. It is more important than ever that we inform the public about the ongoing risks, as well as the services and supports available here in New York. This campaign and podcast series is another way for us to get the message out that help is available, every step of the way, no matter what support people need or where they live. In addition, by supplying naloxone for free, we are giving people an important tool to help stop overdoses and save lives in their communities.” 

Fentanyl is a potentially extremely dangerous substance, which can be 100 times more potent than heroin.

While fentanyl has certain legal medical uses, use of illegal fentanyl and synthetic analogs continues to rise and can have devastating consequences. Fentanyl is especially dangerous because it is often mixed into other drugs such as heroin or cocaine without the knowledge of people using those substances, which substantially raises the risk of a potential overdose. Fentanyl is now present in approximately 75% of overdose deaths in New York State. 

  

OASAS has worked to raise awareness of the potential dangers of fentanyl use through numerous efforts, including educating people on how to recognize signs of a fentanyl or opioid overdose, how to respond to an overdose and administer naloxone, and tips on how to avoid an overdose. Our ongoing prevention programming and education efforts across the state, including in schools, are also focused on informing New Yorkers about fentanyl and other illicit substances. 

Earlier this year, OASAS partnered with NY MATTERS to launch a new ordering system for both providers and individuals to obtain fentanyl test strips.

Since launching in February, more than 1.1 million fentanyl strips have been ordered. Free xylazine test strips and naloxone are also available through the same ordering system, and more than 230,000 xylazine test strips have been ordered since they were first made available in May. 

  

Harm Reduction Delivered Campaign 

The Harm Reduction Delivered Campaign builds on these ongoing efforts, with a PSA campaign to educate New Yorkers on the potential dangers of fentanyl. This multimedia campaign features PSA announcements on TV, radio, billboards and other public locations, and digital ads including on social media. 

In addition to highlighting the potential dangers of fentanyl, and how New York State is working to address this crisis, the campaign will also raise awareness of harm reduction services. Harm reduction is an important part of the continuum of addiction care available throughout the state, and includes things like naloxone and test strip distribution, efforts to increase medication for addiction treatment, work to reduce stigma, and education on overdose prevention. 

  

The campaign also addresses the growing number of opioid-related overdoses across New York State through a new partnership to supply naloxone.

OASAS is partnering with NEXT Distro to supply naloxone free of charge to individuals throughout the state. Previously, only OASAS and Office of Mental Health providers were able to order naloxone directly. Through a new ordering portalindividuals can now place orders for naloxone to be mailed directly to them. In addition to naloxone, educational materials on how to use naloxone, where to find treatment for opioid use disorder, and other resources will also be provided. 

For individuals looking to learn how to use naloxone, OASAS offers virtual naloxone trainingswhich are open to the public, and educate individuals on how to recognize an overdose, respond by administering naloxone, and what to do after naloxone is given. 

  

This campaign is being supported with federal funding through the State Opioid Response and Substance Abuse Prevention and Treatment grants, as well as funding from New York State’s Opioid Settlement Fund. 

  

Addiction: The Next Step Podcast 

OASAS is also launching a podcast to educate the public about addiction, the services and supports available for New Yorkers, and how to access help. “Addiction: The Next Step” is hosted by former broadcast journalists and will include providers and other OASAS employees as guests, sharing their expertise about various aspects of addiction and the system of care in New York State. 

The first episode features Commissioner Chinazo Cunningham, offering an introduction to OASAS, its mission, and the addiction services system in New York State.

Future episodes will focus on OASAS prevention, harm reduction, treatment, and recovery services, and how these specialized services are integral to helping New Yorkers access the individualized help they need. Several episodes will also include conversations with New Yorkers in recovery, as well as others who have personal experience helping those affected by addiction. 

  

Episodes will be released weekly and are available through audio and podcast apps, and will also be posted on the OASAS website and the agency’s TwitterFacebook, and Instagram pages. 

  

New York State is receiving more than $2 billion through various settlement agreements with opioid manufacturers and pharmaceutical companies that were secured by Attorney General Letitia James. A portion of the funding from these settlements will go directly to municipalities, with the remainder deposited into a dedicated fund to support prevention, treatment, harm reduction and recovery efforts to address the ongoing opioid epidemic. 

  

The same legislation that established the dedicated fund also created the Opioid Settlement Fund Advisory Board, which is tasked with making recommendations on how settlement dollars should be allocated to best serve those in need. Board members issued their first recommendations on November 1, 2022, identifying the expansion of harm reduction services and treatment as top priorities. 

  

New York State has instituted an aggressive, multi-pronged approach to addressing the overdose epidemic, and created a nation-leading continuum of addiction care with full prevention, treatment, recovery, and harm reduction services. The state has worked to expand access to traditional services, including crisis services, inpatient, outpatient, and residential treatment programs, as well as medication to treat addiction, and mobile treatment and transportation services. 

  

Governor Hochul was a member of the NYS Heroin and Opioid Task Force, which in 2016, recommended new, non-traditional services, including recovery centers, youth clubhouses, expanded peer services, and open access centers, which provide immediate assessments and referrals to care. These services have since been established in numerous communities around the state and have helped people in need access care closer to where they live. 

 

New Yorkers struggling with an addiction, or whose loved ones are struggling, can find help and hope by calling the state’s toll-free, 24-hour, 7-day-a-week HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY (1-877-846-7369) or by texting HOPENY (Short Code 467369). 

Available addiction treatment including crisis/detox, inpatient, residential, or outpatient care can be found using the NYS OASAS Treatment Availability Dashboard at FindAddictionTreatment.ny.gov or through the NYS OASAS website.  

  

If you, or a loved one, have experienced insurance obstacles related to treatment or need help filing an appeal for a denied claim, contact the CHAMP helpline by phone at 888-614-5400 or email at ombuds@oasas.ny.go

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FREE LUNCHES FOR TEENS AT WHITE PLAINS LIBRARY

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Summer Meals at the Library

Monday through Friday
11:30 a.m. – 1:00 p.m.
In the Gallery

Through Friday, August 18th, kids and teens ages 18 and under can get free, healthy meals at the Library. There is no need to sign up. Just show up! Meals are limited, while supplies last. Food must be eaten on-site when picked up.

This program is made possible by the White Plains City School District, local sponsor of the Summer Food Service Program, administered by NY State Dept. of Ed.

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RIDING THE COVID 19 WAVES 2023 STYLE WITH YOUR LOCAL EPIDEMIOLOGIST

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Riding the COVID-19 waves: 2023 style.

NEW!SENIORS PAXLOVID HAS TO BE GIVEN WITHIN 5 DAYS OF SYMPTOMS.

NURSING HOMES  PRACTICES  RAISE QUESTIONS AGAIN.

INTERPRETING ANTIGENS RESULT WHAT THEY MEAN–IF POSITIVE YOU MUST ISOLATE WEAR MASK

We find ourselves in the middle of a COVID-19 wave.

Again.

If this summer follows the previous three, we should expect ~10-15% of Americans to get infected.

A nursing home outbreak recently spilled over to my extended family. They had a lot of great questions, particularly about how to manage this virus in 2023. Here are some answers. I hope it helps you, too.

Does health insurance cover at-home tests?

Because the public health emergency ended, coverage depends on your specific insurance plan:

  • Medicaid: Tests are covered until September 2024.
  • Private insurance: Coverage is optional, so you must check. (Very few do.)
  • Flexible spending account (FSA) or a health savings account (HSA): You can use the money to purchase at-home COVID-19 tests.
  • Uninsured: There’s a stockpile of free tests; use this search tool to find a location.

Do antigen tests expire?

Expiration ranges from 6 months – 2 years, depending on the brand. The date on the box may be incorrect, as the FDA later extended dates. Here is an updated list to see if it’s still good after brushing off cobwebs.

Antigen tests can get too hot (and too cold).

Antigen tests can withstand heat from regular shipping processes. But, if your test has been living inside your car and getting very hot for days, consider it defective.

If you get a negative…

False negatives at the beginning of infection are very common, thanks to the virus mutating. In a recent study, antigen and PCR tests only agreed 47-58% of the time. If they did agree, there was a 1-8 day delay between a PCR turning positive and an antigen test turning positive.

The higher we are in a wave, the more skeptical you should be of a negative result. There are two things you can do to help reduce skepticism (i.e., false negatives):

  1. Swab throat and salvia. These are positive days before the nose.
  2. Repeat testing. Two tests within 48 hours catch 92% of symptomatic cases and 39% of asymptomatic cases. Three tests 48 hours apart detected 94% of symptomatic and 57% of asymptomatic patients.

If you get a positive…

Positives are positives. You’re infectious.

The faintness of a line provides clues, though:

  • Very bold line= you’re very contagious.
  • Barely see the line= you’re at the beginning or the end of your infection window.

Should I report my positive to the health department?

I wouldn’t bother. Wastewater is where it’s at these days, and, fortunately, that doesn’t require you to do anything different.

Isolate for five days, at minimum.

  • When is Day 0? The first day of symptoms (not the day you get a positive test).
  • When do we leave isolation? Technically the CDC says Day 5. But 2 out of 3 people will still be infectious, so if you do, wear a mask. It’s best to stay in isolation until you have a negative antigen test or it’s been at least ten days.
  • Where was I infected? Wherever you were ~48 hours before symptoms started.

If you’re over 65, get Paxlovid!

The first question to my 93-year-old relative was: Did you get Paxlovid? I was incredibly disappointed with the answer. The nursing home waited too long to test, so she was outside the eligibility window. (Paxlovid has to be given within five days of symptoms starting.)

She’s not alone. A recent study found only 1 in 4 nursing home residents with COVID-19 were prescribed an antiviral. This is absolutely unacceptable.

How long will I have symptoms?

~6-12 days. Maybe longer, maybe shorter. It depends on a lot of individual factors.

But having symptoms doesn’t necessarily mean you’re infectious. A great way to know is to test to exit (if negative, you’re clear).

Pink eye with kids?

According to the American Academy of Ophthalmology, the newer subvariants of COVID-19 are responsible for some cases of pink eye. In a small study in China, 25% of children aged 2-11 had pink eye during COVID-19 infection. Among adults, it’s much lower rates (1-2% of cases have pink eye).

Should I wear a mask?

  • In your house: Masks work. A recent study found that if the index case (i.e., infected person) was masked at home, household transmission was reduced by 67%. Not sharing a bathroom reduced risk by 78%.
  • Going outside. You don’t need to wear a mask to walk your dog.

Does this mean I’m in the clear for Winter?

Maybe. Data from the UK shows that, on average, people get 1-2 infections yearly. You’ll have good protection going into the fall respiratory season. (I would delay a fall booster by at least six months; more on this later).

(Source: Omicron Data)

I’ve never had an infection. Do I have superpowers?

Maybe. Or, perhaps, an infection went undetected. Scientists recently discovered that if you have two copies of a specific gene (HLA-B*15:01), you are 8x more likely to remain asymptomatic. Unfortunately, there’s no way for the average person to know. So, harm reduction is still the name of the game.

Bottom line

A COVID-19 wave is here. Thanks to our immunity wall, 2023 looks very different, but we can still use tools to help minimize disruption. To me, it’s still worth it. (I really don’t want to miss an upcoming summer vacation.)

As we say when catching ocean waves in San Diego: Shaka.

Love, YLE


“Your Local Epidemiologist (YLE)” is written by Dr. Katelyn Jetelina, MPH Ph.D.—an epidemiologist, wife, and mom of two little girls. During the day, she is a senior scientific consultant to several organizations. At night she writes this newsletter. Her main goal is to “translate” the ever-evolving public health world so that people will be well-equipped to make evidence-based decisions. This newsletter is free, thanks to the generous support of fellow YLE community members. To support this effort, subscribe below:

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The Isabel Villar Story. Renaissance Woman. Cuban Immigrant 1966, Founder of El Centro Hispano pioneered immigrant acceptance, progress in Westchester: A White Plains Shining Light

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WPCNR SHINING LIGHTS. Obituary from McMahon,Lyon & Hartnett Funeral Home. August 1, 2023:

Isabel Elsa Villar…

Founding Executive Director of El Centro Hispano in White Plains and a retired guidance counselor in the Norwalk, CT, school system, passed away July 12, 2023 after battling ovarian cancer for the last 15 years at the age of 74.

Born on September 23, 1948 in Cuba, she resided in White Plains for last 57 years.

Isabel immigrated to the US with her family in 1966.

Upon enrolling soon thereafter at White Plains High School, she was immediately sensitized to the problems newcomers to this country face because of the language barrier and cultural differences. Her experiences in those early years were instrumental in shaping her future vocation, her calling in life.

After receiving her B.A. in Political Science/Latin American Studies from Manhattanville College, Isabel was hired in 1972 as a bilingual middle school teacher in Norwalk, CT. In 1978 she began teaching American History, ESOL and Spanish at Brien McMahon High School.

During those years she earned three master’s degrees, from New York University, Iona College, and Long Island University as well as her license in counseling. In 1988 Isabel became a guidance counselor at Brien McMahon and a decade later founded the Brien McMahon High School Hispanic Alumni Association with the mission of having Hispanic alumni serve as role models and mentors for current students.

A devoted educator and counselor, Isabel herself was an extraordinary role model who earned the gratitude of so many students who understood that she had once walked in their shoes.

In spite of a demanding full-time job in education, Isabel wanted to do even more to help those newly arrived in this country. In 1974 she co-founded El Centro Hispano in White Plains, New York.

This community organization offers a variety of programs to Hispanic residents of White Plains and Westchester County. The programs currently offered by El Centro Hispano are changing the lives of their clients through education, technology, support services, cultural events, outreach, counseling and empowerment, and through special activities.

They include but are not limited to English as a Second Language; High School Equivalency Prep; Citizenship classes; all levels of computer classes for adults, tutorial services for children in k-12; scholarships for graduating high school students; a stipend program for college and high school students tutoring children in all our educational programs; educational and informational workshops; semimonthly food distribution; legal and Affordable Care Program assistance; free health services, as well as translation services and assistance in finding housing and looking for employment.

These programs educate and inform the immigrant community about how to exercise their rights in this country and prepare them to succeed and make a better future for themselves and their children.

From its inception in 1974 El Centro Hispano was housed at St. Bernard’s Roman Catholic Church in White Plains. The support of the parish over the years enabled the fledging organization to not only survive but to grow and flourish. When circumstances changed in early 2020, it became clear that Centro Hispano needed a new home. Even though plagued by health problems, Isabel devoted her last years to making that dream a reality.

Thanks to her vision and hard work, as well as the support of many individuals and community organizations, in June of 2022 El Centro Hispano purchased a building on Central Avenue in White Plains. Renovations took almost a year, but on June 26 2023, El Centro Hispano opened its doors and began serving the Hispanic community in its new location.

Throughout her long and distinguished career, Isabel was not only co-host of the Centro Hispano cable TV program, “El Centro Hispano Informa”, but she served on numerous committees, councils and advisory boards.

Her voice and influence reached far beyond her own community. Honored with forty-two different awards over the years, she was grateful for each and every one. A few of those that were especially meaningful to her were The Statue of Liberty Award, the Americanism Award from the Daughters of the American Revolution, the Women of Distinction Award from the New York State Senate,

The Caring New Yorker Award from Fidelis Care New York Liberty at the Madison Square Garden arena, the Harold Fitzpatrick Community Leadership Award from the African American Men of Westchester and the Business Council of Westchester, The AJC Westchester/Fairfield Woman of Valor Award and the Westchester County Board of Legislator for her outstanding contributions and civic activities in Westchester County as the Founding Director of El Centro Hispano.

She was proud to be inducted into the White Plains High School Hall of Fame, the YWCA Hall of Fame, and the Westchester Senior Citizens Hall of Fame. A very special moment was having a section of Lexington Avenue in White Plains renamed Isabel Elsa Villar Boulevard in her honor in October of 2013.

Isabel loved life and her spirit was indomitable. No matter how busy, she still found time for her two great passions, travel and music, sometimes combining them. She traveled to 102 countries and islands, some of them more than once, and she always had her next trip lined up. Isabel had a lovely voice and enjoyed singing, sometimes accompanying herself on the piano.

She delighted wedding guests in Cuba, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Spain, Italy, and here at home in New York, Connecticut and Florida with her rendition of Ave Maria, and she never missed an opportunity to sing along with street musicians wherever she was. From 1966 – 2020 she was director of the Spanish choir at St. Bernard’s Church in White Plains.

Predeceased by her parents, Elsa Sanchez and Francisco Villar, Isabel’s survivors include her brother, Dr. Frank Villar Sanchez (Dr. Celis Fernandez) and her sister, Dalia Gonzalez (Carlos). She is also survived by her nephew, Dr. Franco Villar Fernandez, nieces, Yvette and Vanessa Gonzalez, grand-nephew, Ephrain Castillo, Jr., two aunts, one uncle, and eighteen cousins.

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COVID BUILDS MOMENTUM IN WESTCHESTER IN JULY

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306 NEW CASES IN WESTCHESTER JULY 23-29,  

980 IN MONTH. UP FROM 826 IN JUNE. 

HIGHEST WEEK OF INFECTIONS IN 5 MONTHS

WPCNR COVID SURVEILLANCE. From the New York Covid Tracker. Observation and Analysis By John F. Bailey. July 31, 2023:

Westchester experienced its third consecutive week of more persons coming down with lab-verified cases of covid since declining the first week in July. The county was reported by the state with 306 cases the week of July 23-29.

Last week saw a continuation of more infections immediately after the weekend, the daily cases last week Sunday through Saturday were 28, 38, 47,37,56,46,and 54,  an average of 44 new cases a day. Westchester has not seen this consistent level of lab-verified infections since the second week of March (354)  and third week of the same month (238).

The daily AVERAGE  covid infections repoted was 5 persons per 100,000 persons last week. The population of Westchester is 1,004,000. Multiplying 5 persons times 10.04 means 50 person a day caught covid. If this  rate continues this would give Westchester  344 new cases a week, or 2,410 for the month.

There could be a number of easons for this sharp increase in the daily infection rate: People are definitely socializing more at beaches, concerts, it is summer vacation. People are hardly masking at all. They are not socially distancing. Many according to the CDC have not gotten the bivalent booster. (CDC reports only 17% of the nation have gotten the booster.

Reporting only lab-verified cases creates a false sense of confidence that the disease is spreading at a less rate than it actually is, so we are more confident not taking personal precautions.

Antigen tests (the home covid test kit)  may tell persons they are positive, but unless they have symptoms they may ignore having it verified. But and this is a big but, they may be carriers of the didease in their nose and mouth. Everytime they breathe they spread the disease.

Last week show 306 Westchester residents catching covid two weeks ago there were  212 new cases. This means those 212 spread the disease to roughly 4 pers (1.4) who in turn may spread it to 4 others per person. This Spread Rate has been the same for the past two weeks. It tells me the disease is likely to spread quicker if present behavior continues.

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Video

THOROUGHBRED RACEHORSE TRAINER JASON SERVIS SENTENCED TO 4 YEARS IN PRISON

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Thoroughbred Racehorse Trainer Jason Servis Sentenced To Four Years In Prison drugging his horses– including 2019 Kentucky Derby Winner  “MAXIMUM SECURITY” SERVIS IS ONE of 30 defendants charged.

 WPCNR FBI WIRE. FROM  The U.S. Attorney’s Office, Southern District of New York

Damian Williams, the United States Attorney for the Southern District of New York, announced that defendant JASON SERVIS was sentenced to four years in prison Wednesday for his role in a years-long scheme in which horses trained by SERVIS were doped with approved and unapproved drugs designed to improve the performance of SERVIS’s racehorses, in connection with the charges filed in United States v. Navarro et al., 20 Cr. 160 (MKV).

 SERVIS was one of over 30 defendants charged in four separate cases in March 2020, each arising from this Office’s multi-year investigation of the abuse of racehorses through the use of performance enhancing drugs (“PEDs”).

U.S. Attorney Damian Williams said: “Today’s sentence sends a clear signal to those in the racehorse industry that no one is above the law.  Endangering the welfare of animals for profit will not be tolerated.  Illegally doping racehorses is a serious crime that will be met with a serious sentence.”

According to the allegations contained in the Superseding Indictment, the Superseding Information charging SERVIS, prior charging instruments, other filings in this case, and statements during court proceedings:

The charges in the Navarro case arose from an investigation of widespread schemes by racehorse trainers, veterinarians, PED distributors, and others to manufacture, distribute, and receive adulterated and misbranded PEDs and to secretly administer those PEDs to racehorses competing at all levels of professional horseracing.

By evading PED prohibitions and deceiving regulators and horse racing officials, participants in these schemes sought to improve race performance and obtain prize money from racetracks throughout the United States and other countries, including in New York, New Jersey, Florida, Kentucky, and Saudi Arabia, all to the detriment and risk of the health and well-being of the racehorses.

Trainers who participated in the schemes, like SERVIS, stood to profit from the success of racehorses under their control by earning a share of their horses’ winnings and by improving their horses’ racing records, thereby yielding higher trainer fees and increasing the number of racehorses under their control.

SERVIS obtained hundreds of bottles of the drug “SGF-1000,” which was compounded and manufactured in unregistered facilities and contained growth factors that the defendant believed to be undetectable through regular drug screens.

 Virtually all the horses in SERVIS’s barn received that drug, including the thoroughbred racehorse “Maximum Security,” who crossed the finish line first at the 2019 Kentucky Derby.  

SGF-1000 was an intravenous drug promoted as, among other things, a vasodilator capable of promoting stamina, endurance, and lower heart rates in horses through the purported action of “growth factors.”  SERVIS approved veterinary bills to racehorse owners that contained concealed charges for SGF-1000, which were falsely billed under the line item “Acupuncture & Chiropractic.”

In September 2019, the New York State Gaming Commission released an advisory stating that SGF-1000 was prohibited under the racing rules and had been prohibited since 2012.  SERVIS continued to allow the administration of that drug on the horses he trained up until his arrest in March 2020.

SERVIS-trained horses were also regularly administered the prescription drug “Clenbuterol” with no valid prescription, which was part of a deliberate effort to conceal that conduct from racing regulators and avoid mandatory reporting requirements.

SERVIS further obtained and transported a misbranded version of “Clenbuterol,” which he obtained from convicted co-defendant JORGE NAVARRO.

*                *                *

In addition to the prison term, SERVIS, 65, of Jupiter, Florida, was sentenced to one year of supervised release and ordered to pay $311,760 in forfeiture, $163,932 in restitution, and a $30,000 fine.

Mr. Williams praised the outstanding investigative work of the Federal Bureau of Investigation New York Field Office’s Eurasian Organized Crime Task Force and its support of the Bureau’s Integrity in Sports and Gaming Initiative.  Mr. Williams also thanked the Food and Drug Administration and Customs and Border Protection for their assistance and expertise.

This case is being handled by the Office’s Money Laundering and Transnational Criminal Enterprises Unit.  Assistant U.S. Attorney Sarah Mortazavi is in charge of the prosecution.

LONG ISLAND INVESTMENT ADVISORS INDICTED FOR DEFRAUDING CLIENTS OF MILLIONS

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Long Island Investment Advisers Indicted for Defrauding Clients of Millions of Dollars

U.S. Attorney’s Office, Eastern District of New York
Defendants Misappropriated Funds of Dozens of Clients, Some of Whom Are Elderly and Disabled

A 16-count indictment was unsealed Tuesday in federal court in Central Islip charging investment advisers Adam Kaplan and his brother, Daniel Kaplan, with conspiracy to commit wire fraud, wire fraud, investment advisor fraud, and money laundering in connection with several schemes to steal millions of dollars from their clients.  The defendants were Tuesday and arraigned before United States Magistrate Judge James M. Wicks. 

Breon Peace, United States Attorney for the Eastern District of New York, and Christie M. Curtis, Acting Assistant Director-in-Charge, Federal Bureau of Investigation, New York Field Office (FBI), announced the arrests and charges.

“As alleged, the Kaplans engaged in years-long schemes violating the trust that their clients, some of them elderly and vulnerable, had placed in them to manage their money safely and honestly,” stated United States Attorney Peace.  “The defendants lined their pockets at the victims’ expense, but with their lies and frauds exposed, they will be held to account for their conduct.” 

Mr. Peace thanked the Securities and Exchange Commission for their assistance with the case.

“As alleged, the Kaplans engaged in multiple investment fraud schemes that victimized their clients, many of whom were elderly or disabled. This type of illegal activity is unfortunately all too common and even more egregious when vulnerable groups are targeted,” stated FBI Acting Assistant Director-in-Charge Curtis.  “The FBI will continue to investigate and hold accountable those who exploit their clients by misappropriating their funds for personal gain.”

As set forth in the indictment and other public filings, between May 2018 and November 2022, Adam and Daniel Kaplan acted as investment advisors for hundreds of clients.  The defendants used their positions of trust to misappropriate millions of dollars from their clients, some of whom were elderly and disabled.  The defendants used various schemes to misappropriate the victims’ funds, including overbilling for advisory fees, siphoning money from bank accounts through fraudulent advisory fee charges and through purported “investments” defendants never intended to make.

The defendants lied to their clients about the fraudulent charges, forged their clients’ signatures on documents, and made misrepresentations to financial institutions.

In total, the defendants misappropriated at least $5 million, using the funds for personal expenses and to purchase luxury goods.

The charges in the indictment are allegations, and the defendants are presumed innocent unless and until proven guilty.  If convicted, the defendants face up to 20 years in prison.

If you were a client of Adam Kaplan or Daniel Kaplan and would like to file a complaint, please visit www.iC3.gov.  Please reference “Adam Kaplan” or “Daniel Kaplan” in your complaint.

The government’s case is being handled by the Office’s Long Island Criminal Division.  Assistant United States Attorneys Christopher Caffarone, Paul Scotti, and Adam Toporovsky are in charge of the prosecution.

The Defendants:

ADAM KAPLAN
Age:  34
Great Neck, New York

DANIEL KAPLAN
Age:  34
Great Neck, New York

E.D.N.Y. Docket No. 23-CR-293 (GRB)

Contact

John Marzulli
Danielle Blustein Hass
United States Attorney’s Office
(718) 254-6323

Updated July 25, 2023
Posted in Uncategorized