WPCNR COVID SURVEILLANCE From the Covid 19 NY TRACKER. Observations and Analysis by John F. Bailey November 12, 2022:
New covid cases in Westchester County continued to be reported by lab-verified positives at the rate of 200 new infections a day with 190 cases Sunday the 6th; 205, Monday, the 7th; 212, Nov.8 and 180 Wednesday the 9th.. an average of 197 new cases a day, with Thursday figures due today from the Tracker.
This does not figure in how much the heavy election day turnout will generate new infections.
The pace of infections in Westchester is well ahead of the fall 2021 rate of infections.
The 14th consecutive week of increase in covid infections last week compared to 2021 had 1,356 new infections–the highest number of new infections since each of the last three weeks of September after Labor Day, One new infected persons is currently infecting 1.2 persons which means in my view the persons coming down with covid are getting infected, showing symptoms faster within 2 days. Why? because midweek infection figures (2 days after a weekend ends) are up.
This week if the trend continues we may have over 1,400 new cases compared to 1, 356 last week.
It is out there and spreading double the rate Westchester County spread infections last fall meaning Westchester may be faced with high in cases in mid-December compared to last December. Children under 5 are particularly being affected.
Hospitalizations in New York City for children 0 to 4 with respiratory infections covid are now at the peak of the highest number of hospitalizations at any time during covid according to this chart by Dr. Jay Varma.