WESTCHESTER 1ST WEEK OCTOBER CONTINUES COVID INFECTION PACE.

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WPCNR COVID SURVEILLANCE. Statistics from New York State Covid-19 Tracker. Observation and Analysis by John F. Bailey. October 8, 2022:

Westchester County 2022 Covid-19 infections spread at double the rate they spread one year ago, averaging 180 new cases a day through Thursday compared to  98 a day the first week in October in 2021.

County Executive George Latimer and Dr. Sherlita Amler held a news conference at the County Board of Health Tuesday starting a drive to encourage vaccinations for covid and the flu. Mr. Latimer received his fourth Covid shot, and a flu shot at the same time.  and Dr. Amler emphasized Westchester residents should return to get all their first vaccination series if they have not already done so. Dr. Amler said it has been the county experience that in the fall infections of covid rise due to increased social gatherings.

WPCNR notes that the Labor Day Weekend and unknown covid infections in the first week of school rose September cases 2022  to 5,205, 133 less than the September 2021 cases of 5,338.

However Westchester this September and first week in October are spreading at an 8% of those lab-verified tested being positive compared to 2% infection rate last September when the fall. Remember that was a time when we had no vaccine, but had strict social distancing and gathering rules and masking was in effect.  This is why folks should listen to Mr. Latimer and Dr. Amler and just get it.

She implored Westchester residents who are fully vaccinated to go on the www.westchestergov.com website and click to the Department of Health and make an appointment to get the variant at the Board of Health.

(You can see that 2 minute segment on the White Plains Week report it’s right at the top of the program on www.wpcommunitymedia.org)

In Westchester County, here is what covid did this week: 1,085 new infections with Friday results due this afternoon and Saturday tomorrow.

Around Westchester, here are the areas that are responsible for the most infections (over 100):

Yonkers, Mr. Vernon, New Rochelle, White Plains, Yorktown, Greenburgh, Cortlandt, New Castle and North Castle, Mt.Pleasant-Pleasantville, and Tarrytown-Sleepy Hollow. As of October 6, those 13 towns and cities, accounted for 67% (2,075) of the 3,089 Westchester infections the last two weeks, and those 13 towns averaged an aggregate of 1,200 new daily infections daily.

What is more disappointing is in 5 weeks, those towns have not improved their covid fighting.

How is the Mid Hudson Region doing? 

Orange and Westchester and Rockland and Dutchess Counties are infecting steadily. Overall in a week the Mid-Hudson region  tested 5,684 and 445 were confirmed positive, an infection rate of 7%. Westchester was 5.6% with an average daily infection rate in 7days of 20.3 persons per 100,000 of population, that is 211 a week which times 4 weeks is 844 people which is a little shy of the 1,336 we actually recorded last week.

But here’s the twist: These are lab-test verified positives. With more infections than there should be then persons may not be quarantining after testing positive, let alone or worse, not confirming they are positive with a lab test, then getting sick spreading the disease and then the lab records the tests when persons catch the covid from non quarantiners, or socially mingling positives, that might explain why the infections are higher than the 20.3 spread rate.

This home testing  started April 4 2022 is not working in giving us a true picture of the disease spread pattern.

 In my opinion, it is spreading disease since April 4 creating this new wave in the making as Karelyn Jettelina, the epidemiologist writes in her Your Local Epidemiologist newsletter October 5, which you can read on this website.

On the Monkey pox disease, the Center for Disease Control says the disease is declining, and should continue to do so. There are 26,577 cases of Monkeypox in the U.S.

New York state has 3,984,second to California at 5,135.  New Jersey has 723 and Connecticut, 131.

Florida has 2,572. Texas, 2,410. Georgia, 1,839.

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