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WPCNR COUNTY EXECUTIVE COVID-19 UPDATE By John F. Bailey. March 22, 2021 UPDATED WITH COVID NUMBERS FOR THE WEEK:
Here is today’s “Take-Away,” from Westchester County Executive George Latimer’s regular Monday Covid briefing ended moments ago:
The number of new active Covid cases in the county continues to go down but at a slower rate, the County Executive said.
The state did not update the Covid tracker until about 3:30 PM this afternoon and the 7 days of covid infections reflect the County Executive’s uneasy attitude that cases of new positives are sustaining the rate infection.
In the 7 days since last Monday, 73,547 Westchesterites were tested. Of those tested, 2,731 tested positive. That is a positive infection rate of 3.7%. This results in 390 new positive cases in a week. The number of new positives for the last month now have averaged close to 400 a day.
Since the hospitalization rate of infections has not been provided by the county since Mr. Latimer said the hospitalization was at 4.3% of all cases testing positive it may have lowered. But if it is the same, it has a balloon effect.
But, as WPCNR has pointed, at that average rate of 3.7% of persons testing positive, 390 to 400 new covid cases continue to sustain the number coming into the hospitals for covid care over 15 days from infection,, with covid, stressing medical personnel.
Should residents loosen up their covid precautions the infections may continue drift inexorably up. Positives hitting 3.5 % on a large testing sampling say 12,000 tests gives you 420 positives, over two weeks. If two hundred are discharged from covid hospitalizations in two weeks, you 420 more coming in.
You cannot count the number hospitalized lowering as a positive you have to deduct those discharged from the hospitalized and project who is bound to be hospitalized in the next two weeks. If it is even you are not going down. It is not clear whether we are curing more hospitalized patients faster or learning more how to treat the disease for a quicker treatment or whether the cases coming in are more serious and demanding more attention.
The next two weeks are going to be very social.
Vacations from the schools, spring break travel, (already swamping Miami Beach, causing a curfew), and more and more eating out at restaurants, and movie house attendance, religious observances, the next few weeks will be a test. Make those vaccination appointments tomorrow.
Mr. Latimer said that persons from age 50 to 65, may begin to call for appointments for their first vaccine shots beginning tomorrow at 8 AM at County facilities at the Westchester County Center, the Grasslands site, the Yonkers armory facility and the County Health Department on Court Street in White Plains. The County Executive also announced pharmacies are now able to vaccinate 50 and over county residents, too.
He said 150,000 Westchester residents have received both shots of the vaccine, with another 289,000 (going up daily) expected to receive their second shots by the end of the month, meaning the county is on target to have 20% of the county population vaccinated by the end of March. He said he expected 40% of the population to be fully vaccinated by the end of April.
Deputy County Executive Ken Jenkins emphasized it was important to keep testing before persons get their first vaccine shot and announced that Westchester Medical Center is continuing to provide mobile testing units visiting Westchester’s smaller communities. Westchester has 12 testing sites covered by the Mobile Testing Units provided by the Westchester Medical Center: In Elmsford, Port Chester, Peekskill, Sleepy Hollow Tarrytown, Mount Kisco, Mamaroneck, Mount Vernon, New Rochelle, and West Harrison. Testing is also available at Glen Island.