COVID INFECTIONS OUT OF CONTROL. PROJECTS TO SURPASS 7 TIMES THE 1,300 COUNTY HAD IN COVID FIRST WAVE MARCH 25,2020 BEFORE CHRISTMAS. IF HOSPITALIZATIONS RISE OVER 84, HOSPITALIZATIONS WILL SOAR FIRST WEEK OF JANUARY. VACCINATIONS ARE A CIVIC DUTY TO STOP THE SURGE.

WPCNR CORONA VIRUS REPORT. By John F. Bailey. December 13, 2021 UPDATED 10:45 P.M. E.S.T.:

New covid positive persons from TWO weeks back reveal covid in Westchester is tripling in new infections every two weeks.

Persons tested positive two weeks ago ( November 20 to 27) spread the disease to 3 others for every new positive that week.

The daily total in two weeks time will equal or  surpass horridly by far the 1,300 new cases a day the county experienced in the first weeks of covid March 31, 2020, before the first lockdown

Tuesday evening, the New York State covid tracker reported Saturday the 11th covid numbers, finishing off this week with 350 new persons testing positive, 4.8% of 7,306 tested.

This new number brings the December 5 through 11 week total to 2,788, an average of 398 new cases a day last week, ending two days ago.

Two weeks ago there were 907 new infections, and here, two weeks later we have 2,788, spiking the new infection rate from covid-infected persons two weeks ago to a level where each newly infected person infected 3 others.

The daily total in two weeks will equal or  surpass horridly by far the 1,300 new cases a day the county experienced in the first weeks of covid March 25, 2020.

Last week from December 6 through Friday, December 10, IN 6 DAYS  new covid infections approached 3,000 cases at 2,548, with Saturday’s infections expected tonight.395 on December 6,  366 on Pearl Harbor Day;  then the shocker, 444 on December 8, and then, 497 on December 9 and 459 on December 10.

 The 2,548 new cases hit highs not seen since last March 28, 2021 when Westchester hit  459; and early we Westchester recorded 584 on March 31, when vaccines were starting to stop the 2nd wave in April.

Westchester now is on track for over 6,582, based on the 2,438 new infections sufferers  in 6 days last week. Those 2,438 were infected by most of the 907 newly infected Westchesterites two weeks prior during the week of November 20 to 27, the first victims of the Thanksgiving three day holiday dividing the  2,438 figure by 907  produces an infection rate of 2.8 showing every person infected two weeks ago spread the disease to close to 3 persons.

Not all persons get sick immediately the infections occur over 10 to 14 days. If you multiply 907 by three persons this shows the infections grew to the figure of last week, 2,438.

If the 2,438 spread the disease at the same rate this produces 6,582 new infections by Christmas. Tonight the Saturday total of 350, raising the new infections last week to 2,788 means at 3 infected for every person, that total could rise to 8,364, unless more people get vaccinated fast and protect themselves with masks, social distancing and not exposing mouth and nose to breathe in the pestilence, the Red Plague.

The most covids Westchester saw was on March  25, 2020: 1,300.

In two weeks this chilling spread rate of the last two weeks  fueled by new socialization since Thanksgiving, and community events, and socializing without masks, and positive thinking that the recovery   is here and we are safe and can be normal again

The infection rate  is on projection to increase infections 7 times more than the worst covid infection day ever in two weeks.

The effect on hospitalizations cannot be known until we get a handle on what this week’s hospitalization rate in Westchester County. Last week the County Executive said there were 84 hospitalizations on track to 100 and called it a state of emergency.

A week ago Westchester had 84 hospitalizations, the county declared a prestate of emergency, not making any moves to mask or close anything, but threatening it was coming if we hit 100 hospitalizations.

The 907 new infections two weeks ago resulted in 84 or 9.3% of new covid sufferers in  Westchester being hospitalized. Officials were optimistic the county was controlling the disease better and hospitalizations going up but not at a rapid rate.

The possibly 6, 582 infections if the number needing hospitalized stays at 9.3%, those infected two weeks ago would have had  100 hospitalizations if the hospitalization goes up 11%;  125, if the hospitalizing rate hits 14%; 150 hospitalizations if 16% of the 907 needed hospitalization and 200 hospitalizations if the hospitalized are just 22% of the 907 total.

The total 6,582 new covid cases by Christmas  at the current low 9.3% rate of hospitalization would produce 612 hosptializations by January 7 around the county.

It is imperative this spread rate be stopped and infections go down dramatically person to person and people get vaccinated now who are not vaccinated.

Currently Westchester County has 708,909 persons of its 1.4 million population  fully vaccinated and 93% of the population over 18 with one dose.  Those 224,811 who only have one dose need to get those shots and parents of children under 12 but not under 5 need to get your children vaccinated to keep the schools open.

Now.

The current spread  is about to explode in new infections numbers never seen.

Unless we get vaccinated, hospitals will not be able to treat even mild cases at this rate of spread.

I hope my math is wrong; I do truly hope I am wrong. But it’s not.

I am going to very careful.

This is no magic formula, just baseball statistics and vaccine.

Please get yours for your sake. Call for your shot or shots and bring the under-12s for theirs.

Nothing is worse than watching your child suffer, and hearing them cry,”Make it better, Mommie”

And you can’t.

Chair of the Westchester County Board of Legislators Benjamin Boykin reminded all of

Westchester that beginning today there is a new indoor mask requirement in New York State.On December 10, 2021, Governor Kathy Hochul announced that masks will be required to be worn in all indoor public places unless businesses or venues implement a vaccine requirement.

In all public spaces that do not have vaccine requirements, any person, past their second birthday and medically able to tolerate a face covering, must wear an appropriate mask while in any indoor place, regardless of vaccination status.

This action is designed to address the winter surge comes as COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations rise statewide and is in alignment with the CDC’s recommendations for communities with substantial and high transmission. 

The measure will remain in effect through January 15, 2022 at which time the State will evaluate next steps.The requirement applies to all non-private residences, including office spaces.

If the office does not require proof of vaccination as a condition of entry, everyone must wear masks at all times regardless of vaccination status except when eating, drinking, or alone in an enclosed room.

Patrons of eating and drinking establishments can remove their masks only while they are actively eating or drinking, at which time appropriate social distancing measures, proper air ventilation, and filtration methods are highly recommended.

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COUNTY EXECUTIVE TESTS POSITIVE FOR COVID. SYMPTOMS “MILD”


The Westchester County Department of Communications at 2 PM released this statement:

“Earlier today, Westchester County Executive George Latimer tested positive for COVID-19. 

The County Executive sought out a test after hearing that he was exposed at a community event. 

The County Executive is home in isolation, and is continuing to carry out the work of the Government from his residence. 

He is grateful his symptoms are mild thanks to his COVID-19 vaccinations.”

Earlier this morning, the Department announced Mr. Latimer had postponed his scheduled usual Monday briefing on Covid without explanation.

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Board of Legislators Passes 2022 BUDGET, CUTS Taxes third year in row. Increases Budget 9.5% to $2,200,000,000 from 2021 BUDGET OF $2,009,999,999.

WPCNR COUNTY CLARION LEDGER. From the Westchester County Board of Legislators. December 11, 2021. (Edited):

On Monday, the Board of Legislators voted unanimously to approve operating, capital and special district budgets for 2022 of $2,200,000 that strengthen the County’s finances, provide historic levels of support for human services in Westchester County, and expand the County’s investment in infrastructure improvements for the 21st century. The new budget is 190 Million dollars more than the $2,009,999,999 budget this year.

Among the highlights are:

·         $7 million cut in County property tax levy

·         No one-shot revenues for continuing operations

·         No borrowing to fund pension obligations or operating expenses

·         No use of reserve funds,( using covid aid to replace funds taken from the reserve to make up 2021 budget shortfall.)

·         $10.2 million increase in funding for childcare

·         $10 million from American Rescue Plan funds for Small Landlord Rehabilitation Assistance Program

·         More than $1 million to address food insecurity

·         Increases of as much as 16% for not-for-profit service partners

·         $600K in new funding for Youth Bureaus

·         Addition of Health Department personnel

·         Funding to support new telemedicine programs

·         Funding for new public safety initiatives

·         $50 million  for land acquisition and infrastructure improvements to support affordable housing, largest single-year commitment in County history

·         Funding for flood mitigation, including $11 million added by Board of Legislators for flooding along Mamaroneck Avenue from the Sheldrake and Mamaroneck Rivers

·         $35 million to continue process of converting bus fleet from fossil fuel to hybrid and electric vehicles and install EV charging capacity at County’s bus garages

·         More than $57 million to modernize waste water treatment facilities including more than $22 million in additional odor control at the Yonkers facility

Board Chair Ben Boykin (D-White Plains, Scarsdale, West Harrison), said,  “We have brought this County a long way from where it was four years ago. Then we faced low and dwindling general reserve funds, a string of budgets that relied on unsustainable one-shot revenues, decaying infrastructure whose repair had been deferred, a County government whose ability to respond to residents’ needs had been crippled by cuts, and that was before the challenges of responding to the COVID-19 pandemic. Today, we’ve restored the County’s financial health and we are expanding our investment in Westchester’s future — not just by investing in our roads, bridges, parks, and transportation, but most importantly by investing in our people. These budgets put people first.” 

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THAT OLD CHRISTMAS MAGIC YOU WEAVE SO WELL…

WPCNR THE SUNDAY BAILEY .By John F. Bailey. December 12, 2021:

On the week when the “Winter Surge”  or “The Fourth Wave” hit the New York Metropolitan area we all need that Old Christmas Magic more than ever this year.

 The Waitresses sang in the song back in the 1980s, and this is just part of “Christmas Magic”—it all has to do with you.

 I admit I have not been looking forward to this Christmas Season, but Brenda Starr who lives with me, being a redhead, well Christmas is her favorite holiday and works very hard at creating Christmas magic.

The magic starts by pushing me to go out and get a Christmas Tree every year. This year she pushed me early out in the 30 degrees last weekend. Years ago I took my son and tried to get him to pick out the tree. I would tell him what to look for: A tree which looks good on all sides no matter from which way you look at it. Know the height of tree that fits comfortably with scant inches of the ceiling of the room you’ll display it in.

The top of the tree shape is key: it needs a symmetrical ascension of branches extending higher and arched more to a single high trunk  extension. This kind of top  delivers the look to put small delicate bulbs, and decorations in ascending steps to the highest part of the tree where you place a star or spire on the top single trunk.

Well I set out to Amodio’s last week, and the courteous lads serving the Christma Tree selection showed me the six footers priced at $99. The first one was too wide at the bottom. The next too thin in a triangle with not good wide, slender shape.

Then the lad spun out THE TREE. In 50 years of selecting Christmas Trees, I know THE TREE I will get the moment I see it.  It just introduces itself!

The process of tree selection starts the Christmas Magic

So I tote it home in the trunk of the car. And convey it to the porch. Put it in water and wait to the time when Brenda Starr says it is the day to put it up.

We use the same Christmas tree stand we have used for fifty years. Always trouble screwing in the bolts that hold our tree. I  guide the tree into the stand while Brenda Starr ducks under the spread boughs of the tree to tighten or loosen the screws of the stand as need be and tells me from under the tree which direction to slant it to get it straight.  She looks at the tree determines if it is straight then turns it to the best side.

Then the lights go on. The tree seems to wait expectantly.

This year, Ms. Starr in one of her few mistakes this year, could not find the Christmas Tree lights. So instead of criticizing her I said, “We must have thrown out the candle lights and the candy cane lights from last  year, I’ll go to the True Value and get mew ones. Let me call.”

I call and I drive on down to the store that has everything. I’ve been going there since 1976 when a bif friendly man I believe his name was Al ran the store.  The  new owner said we only have a few lights left. I drive on down, picked up two sets. Returned home and Ms. Starr affixed the lights with me holding the lights.  As she strung them from top of the tree to about midway., we both realized there were not enough lights to cover the tree.

But there was another problem, Ms. Starr did not like the second set of lights because the colors were wrong, orange and piurple, “not Christmas colors.” I did something most uncharacteristic, “I said you’re right. I like them because they were flashing and but purple is not a Christmas color, let me go back and exchange them for another set of the ones on the tree.”

She was stunned.  You see what I mean by Christmas Magic? The tree the atmosphere, the decorating was altering my behavior. So back to True Value, I make the exchange and even saved money.

When I returned, Ms. Starr, said “Look.”

She had opened a box of what she thought were decorations for the tree and  found the electric lights from last year. “I’m sorry.”

I did something even rarer in the face of the discovery, I laughed, “I knew this would happen, but I can string those other lights on the pine trees off the porch.”

On with the new second set of lights she liked!

Together, we put bulbs collected over 50 years. The pictures of my daughter the skater  25 years ago, reindeer, train bulbs, glass icicles, glass stars.  The tree seemed to give off vibes of warmth  even seemed to be preening and the fresh sap got on our fingers. After an hour the tree is filled.

I then went out and decorated the pinetrees outside the house, not much but it just made the trees seem so much taller standing proud and seemed to enjoy the lights being looped on to the branches. When I plugged in the long extension chord the house did not catch fire or  bulbs cause a short circuit.

The finding of the lights after I had gotten new ones, was I felt another mysterious arrival of that old Christmas Magic.

What is the Christmas Magic?

It is the magic we cast ourselves, continuing the same traditions and doing the things together that bring us close, when we decorated trees with our parents or helped Mom bake and the mellowness and teary sentimentality we feel towards family who have drifted apart, for each other frayed by the strains of any relationship.

Those Christmas visits at Grandma’s house on Sunnyside Avenue, playing in freezing temperations at the Manville Road Circle in Old Pleasantville.

It all comes back. That’s Christmas Magic.

We need it more than ever this year.

Back in the 1980s, The Waitresses put out a perfect song that expresses Christmas Magic, called “Christmas Wrappings” that you can hear by doing a search on the internet. Here are the lyrics

Christmas Wrappings

Bah, humbug!” No, that’s too strong

‘Cause it is my favorite holiday

But all this year’s been a busy blur

Don’t think I have the energy

To add to my already mad rush

Just ’cause it’s ’tis the season.

The perfect gift for me would be

Completions and connections left from

Last year, ski shop,

Encounter, most interesting.

Had his number but never the time

Most of ’81 passed along those lines.

So deck those halls, trim those trees

Raise up cups of Christmas cheer,

I just need to catch my breath,

Christmas by myself this year.

Calendar picture, frozen landscape,

Chilled this room for twenty-four days,

Evergreens, sparkling snow

Get this winter over with!

Flashback to springtime, saw him again,

Would’ve been good to go for lunch,

Couldn’t agree when we were both free,

We tried, we said we’d keep in touch.

 Didn’t, of course, ’til summertime,

Out to the beach to his boat could I join him?

No, this time it was me,

Sunburn in the third degree.

Now the calendar’s just one page

And, of course, I am excited

Tonight’s the night, but I’ve set my mind

Not to do too much about it.

Merry Christmas! Merry Christmas!

But I think I’ll miss this one this year.

Merry Christmas! Merry Christmas!

But I think I’ll miss this one this year.

Merry Christmas! Merry Christmas!

But I think I’ll miss this one this year.

Merry Christmas! Merry Christmas!

But I think I’ll miss this one this year.

Hardly dashing through the snow

Cause I bundled up too tight

Last minute have-to-do’s

A few cards a few calls

‘Cause it’s r-s-v-p

No thanks, no party lights

It’s Christmas Eve, gonna relax

Turned down all of my invites.

Last fall I had a night to myself,

Same guy called, halloween party,

Waited all night for him to show,

This time his car wouldn’t go,

Forget it, it’s cold, it’s getting late,

Trudge on home to celebrate

In a quiet way, unwind

Doing Christmas right this time.

A&P has provided me

With the world’s smallest turkey

Already in the oven, nice and hot

Oh damn! Guess what I forgot?

So on with the boots, back out in the snow

To the only all-night grocery,

When what to my wondering eyes should appear

In the line is that guy I’ve been chasing all year!

“I’m spending this one alone,” he said.

“Need a break; this year’s been crazy.”

I said, “Me too, but why are you?

You mean you forgot cranberries too?”

Then suddenly we laughed and laughed

Caught on to what was happening

That Christmas magic’s brought this tale

To a very happy ending! “

Merry Christmas! Merry Christmas!

Couldn’t miss this one this year!

Merry Christmas! Merry Christmas!

Couldn’t miss this one  this year

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