FIRST 4 DAYS START WEEK WITH 687 NEW COVID CASES IN WESTCHESTER–ON TRACK FOR 1,202 CASES THIS WEEK–LOWERING CASES 18%

WPCNR CORONA VIRUS SURVEILLANCE. Statistics from NYS Covd 19 Tracker. Observations & Analysis by John F. Bailey. September 29, 2022 UPDATED 1:30 P.M. with Wednesday new cases:

Westchester County began the week with 135 new cases of covid Sunday September 25, 160 new persons testing positive Monday, the 26th, and 194 new cases of covid on Tuesday, September 27, nnd this just in from Governor Hochul, 198 new cases Wednesday. This week starts with an average 171 new cases a day  compared to last week when the first four days yielded 966 positives, Sunday through Wednesday.

This last week of September could show a significant decline from last week when Westchester registered 1,495 new cases of covid. Currently Westchester is running 171 new cases a day which would — providing no jump in cases   in midweek—could produce 1,197 cases for the week a 18% decrease.

If last Thursday, Friday and Saturday figures main last week’s number of infections, (197, Sept 22; 167, Sept 23 and 135 Saturday, the 24) Westchester will go up to 1, 696 infections for the week, which would be the fourth straight week the County has failed to contain covid infection spread.

Should today, tomorrow and Saturday continue to drop positive infections Westchester will cut back infections signiicantly for the first time since in 3 weeks–the week of the most positive decline was September 4 to 10, when infections dropped to 1,026 from 1,246 the week before Labor Day

For the record the County beat back new covid infections all of August dropping the number infections for August to 7,072 compared to 10,298 for all of July–a 31% drop. Four weeks of steady decline in August has now been followed by a month of covid gaining momentum.

It is disappointing to see the progress or lack of progress in September.

However this is the week when there could be higher numbers of infections from schools just beginning to start. We will know if School District administrations report the new covid cases in timely fashion, and the County Health Department publishes the new school infections by district. The school districts are by law required to report new covid cases to the County Health Department.

Last September the infections totaled  4,925 infections  for the month from Labor Day to October 2 with remote learning in schools, social distancing and intense testing in schools.   peaked at 695 cases in the last week of September after schools under remote learning.

This year, with schools open with virtually no social distancing and no masking rules no glass separations between desks, Westchester has already seen 5,694 new cases of covid for the month of September, up 769 cases or 16% ahead of last September covid spreading pace.

In the last month in September 2022, Westchester has recorded  a 7%  positive average of those tested in 4 weeks, testing positive with tests being reported at only 2 to 3,000 a day.

 In September of 2021, things were quite different.

The month that started the third wave of covid into December and January of this year,  the average of number of tests were  about 9,000 a day.  Social distancing and limited gatherings and restaurants theatres were closed, people worked remotely, there was no vaccine.

At this time  last year we in Westchester County  were  limiting the disease. 

When schools were in remote learning, the average number of infections of covid on much higher testing universes a day, was  2.2%.

We were very unhappy with  that.

Governor Cuomo who had stopped covid spread still urged us to not let up. But  we relaxed and built covid spread in October November and December  despite an average positive test rate of 2.2%. By December the Thanksgiving holidays with intense mingling had to be  mostly responsible for  new positives exploding to 11,000 in the week before Christmas with new positive tests of those tested 

Well, things are quite different today in September 2022.

We are having more infections a day, more infections per week  with a vaccine, but with greatly relaxed social conditions and business and school operations.  The state is no longer reporting weekly school infections leaving that up to the schools.

The county is infecting at a much higher rate than last September which produced a great universe of infections last January, February and March, with April finally containing covid again in Westchester County.

Predictably, we relaxed again as the state legislature took away Governor Cuomo’s powers to manage Covid and decided themselves to open up socialization, businesses, restaurants, school restrictions and over the summer, masking. People have even resisted getting completely vaccinated.

Well “getting back to normal” policies in time for the elections were eagerly adopted by the legislature,  and Governor Hochul went along with that, but she has continued covid reporting as always, a positive. Otherwise, we will not know where we are.

The worst new policy — we no longer hold the schools accountable for monitoring and controlling school spreading of the disease.

Maybe this will work, but school districts cannot cover up clusters of infections if they develop. We were on remote learning last year and the disease ballooned in schools even when infections were at 2% levels through October and November. In White Plains we had highly responsive parents, teachers, administrators and staff, we still wound up with 25% of our 7,900 plus students, administrators, staff and teachers getting covid.

The attitude that covid is just something we have to live with is permeating our leadership today. They don’t to make you unhappy going to the polls.

People get less sick with covid. They are not getting hospitalized as frequently. That’s good. You can thank the vaccines for that.

But I have heard of more people I know getting covid in the last month than I have encountered than during the whole epidemic.

I am going to get my booster Friday.

As Bob Dylan wrote, “Trust yourself.”

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COUNTY EXECUTIVE GEORGE LATIMER OBJECTS TO NYC MAYOR ERIC ADAMS SETTING UP TENT SHELTERS AT ORCHARD BEACH IN THE BRONX

WPCNR COUNTY CLARION-LEDGER. From WVOX 1460 RADIO. September 27, 2022:

Westchester County Executive broadcasting on WVOX Radio in his weekly broadcast (7:10 A.M. Tuesdays) this morning announced he had protested New York City Mayor Eric Adams’ decision to house Texas refugees in tents at Orchard Beach in the Bronx.

The refugees bused to New York from Texas last week in a series of 5 heated and climate-controlled tent structures in the parking lot at Orchard Beach in the Bronx where they will be given food, medical attention and legal support.

Latimer said that residents of New Rochelle (one of whom called in to protest the refugee facility presence so close to her New Rochelle neighborhood just before he took the air) and the city of New Rochelle had expressed dismay over the decision. Latimer said he had formally protested the establishment of the tent shelters to Mayor Adams’ office.

Mayor Adams who is in Puerto Rico in concern for the recent hurricane that hit that island, announced last week the effort was to house some of the  13,000 asylum seekers have entered the New York City shelter system and created overcrowding in the city shelters.

Mr. Latimer said on the air Westchester had no control over what Mayor Adams decided to do within the New York City limits. He expressed concern that establishing the tent structures there was a matter of interest due to proximity to Westchester neighboring communities. He did not say what his personal concerns were.

On other issues, Mr. Latimer said Westchester residents were very concerned about the economy, crime (which he blamed on current media emphasis on crime incidents)  and affordable housing (Editor’s note: costs of rents, mortgages–6% are going up).

On covid, Mr. Latimer said the disease was down from 2,000 active cases and was no longer making persons who get it as sick as they did in the past, usually only suffering for about 2 days. He said it was going to be a disease people will have to expect to be a problem going forward they will have to live with.

Mr. Latimer’s weekly “State of the County”report is heard on the Dennis and Tonny Good Morning Westchester program ON WVOX 1460 AM  from 7:10 to 7:30 A.M. and worldwide on WVOX.com

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FRAUDULENTLY OBTAINED NY UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN 2022: $110 MILLION. GOVERNOR HOCHUL CRACKS DOWN. NEW STATE MATCH TO EMPLOYMENT SYSTEM CATCHES DOUBLE-DIPPERS

DOL to Seek Repayment and Refer Nonpayment to Law Enforcement As Needed

New Fraud Detection Technology Part of DOL’s Four-Year Modernization Effort

Governor Kathy Hochul Monday announced actions to crack down on unemployment insurance fraud after a New York State Department of Labor investigation found that insurance fraud accounted for more than $11 million in benefits payments in August.

These benefits were paid almost exclusively to those working while also collecting unemployment insurance payments during the pandemic.

Following the Department of Labor’s investigation, Governor Hochul announced that the State would seek repayment for fraudulent benefits payments and refer nonpayment to state law enforcement. Based on this investigation, the Department of Labor Office of Special Investigations is on pace to uncover $110 million in fraudulently attained benefits this year.

“At the height of the pandemic, when our state experienced an unprecedented unemployment crisis, these fraudulent unemployment insurance claims took resources away from New Yorkers who needed them most,” Governor Hochul said. “My administration is taking action to step up our investigations of unemployment insurance fraud, hold those who take advantage of the system accountable, and protect this crucial benefit for New Yorkers in need.”

The fraudulent payments were identified by DOL using an upgraded fraud detection system.

The system allows investigators to more efficiently review cases and streamlines records requests to employers in order to confirm dates of employment.

If the system detects a fraudulent payment, the claimant has an opportunity to explain the discrepancy.

Following the review, if the claimant is found to have worked while collecting benefits, DOL will take steps to ensure that ill-gotten payments are returned.

This includes establishing repayment plans, garnishing state and federal tax returns and referring matters of nonpayment to state and/or federal law enforcement, as needed.

New York State Department of Labor Commissioner Roberta Reardon said, “When someone files a fraudulent unemployment insurance claim, they are stealing from New Yorkers. The Department remains vigilant and will continue to ensure that these criminals are held accountable. We thank businesses and employers for working with us to uncover fraud.”

This new system is part of NYSDOL’s modernization efforts which include a 4-year plan to enhance customer experience and reduce fraud. In June, Governor Hochul announced that NYSDOL is halfway through this plan.

NYSDOL is committed to ensuring fraudulent UI claims are prevented and corrected. To report UI fraud and learn more visit the Report Fraud page on the NYSDOL website.

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