CDC URGES RETURN TO MASK-WEARING INDOORS IN WESTCHESTER, SUFFOLK, NASSAU,PUTNAM,ORANGE, SULLIVAN COUNTIES.

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WPCNR COVID DAILY. By John F. Bailey. June 5, 2022:

The Daily Voice (https://dailyvoice.com/new-york/nassau/news/covid-19-cdc-now-recommends-wearing-masks-indoors-in-these-16-ny-counties/834205/ reported this morning on its website that the Center for Disease Control has returned to recommending masks be worn indoors in the Mid-Hudson Counties of Westchester, Orange, Putnam, and Sullivan Counties and Nassau and Suffolk Counties.

Westchester County averaged 370 new cases of Covid a day the last 7 days, more than double the next most covid-infectious county, Orange which averaged 124. Sullivan County averaged 28 and Putnam, 29. For the record Rockland

Nassau County and Suffolk Counties on Long Island have been consistently the most covid-infectious areas in the New York area. Over the last 7 days according to the New York Covid-19 tracker, Nassau County has averaged 605 a day for its population of 1,355,090 and Suffolk averaged 597 a day from its 1,525,290 population.

On Friday, June 3, Nassau reported 693 new covid cases. Suffolk reported 659 new covid positives.

For the record, WPCNR extrapolated what the daily number of average infections average per 100,000 of population added up to in a week in the 9 surrounding counties, as of last Monday. The moving 7-day avg infections has to be multiplied by the number of 100,000 increments in each county population to produce the average numnber of covid new infections in a week.

The upshot is the number of infections per 100,000 is not a true indicator of the number of cases a week unless the aggregate amount of cases if accumulated by multiplying whatever aggregates of 100,000 make up each county total population.

Last week due to marked decreased tests administered appears to have severely understand the rate of spread on the disease in Westchester County.

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WPCNR DATELINE REPORTER RESOURCES TO REPORT THE TRUTH
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BILL ON TAXING NEW YORK STATE NEW CONDOS AT FULL ASSESSED VALUE BUILT AFTER JAN 1,2023 AWAITS GOVERNOR HOCHUL’S SIGNATURE. WILL AFFECT ALL TOWNS, CITIES IN STATE AND INCREASE HOPEFULLY PROPERTY TAX REVENUES IN WESTCHESTER & ACROSS THE STATE.

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WPCNR REALTY REALITY. Special to WPCNR from Paul Feiner, Greenburgh Town Supervisor. June 4, 2022:

Late  this  week the New York State Senate and New York State Assembly approved legislation sponsored by Senator Andrea Stewart Cousins and Assemblyman Tom Abinanti that will generate additional revenue for Greenburgh, towns, cities and villages throughout NYS  and help us  and municipal governments with our economic development initiatives.

The Greenburgh Town Board has been pushing for years authorizing a Greenburgh only and a state-wide bill that will assess condos and coops built after January 1, 2023 their full assessed value.  The legislation now awaits the signature of Governor Kathy Hochul.  The Assessors Association has been trying to get this legislation approved for decades. 

The legislation that was approved will not impact existing condos or coops. They will continue to be assessed at the commercial values–which is less than single family homes are assessed. The new law only impacts new construction.

The Greenburgh Town Board had a special meeting on Tuesday and voted to support the home rule Greenburgh only legislation. We did not think the state wide bill would be approved –it was a last minute surprise.  Voting in favor of the resolution: Councilmembers Francis Sheehan, Gina Jackson, Ken Jones and myself. Councilwoman Ellen Hendrickx abstained.

Members of the Town Board who voted yes feel that the legislation will help us maximize the taxes we get on mixed use development and on future developments in the future.  For example, if a developer wants to build mixed use housing at the Four Corners in Hartsdale, on Central Ave — the new developments will be assessed and taxed  at residential dollars. A state wide law is better than only a Greenburgh law because all new condos and coops in the state will be treated  the same manner.  We have lots of potential land use development in our town so this law is very helpful.

The Town Board has committed to only approve single family homes at the former Elmwood development and previously indicated that we will not support townhouses (condos) at that site. 113 single family homes will be authorized at that location.

(Editor’s Note: The Governor has not yet signed the bill.)

PAUL FEINER

Greenburgh Town Supervisor

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GREENBURGH ISSUING NEW FULL ASSESSED VALUE AFTER YEAR OF RISING REAL ESTATE COSTS. (REAL ESTATE PRICES UP 8%)

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WPCNR THE LETTER TICKER. JUNE 4, 2022:

Residents of the town have started to receive their assessment letters from the Assessors office.

EVery year the Assessor sends out letters to all property owners highlighting the value of their property. Taxes are now based on property values. I asked Edye McCarthy to summarize her findings. The following is her report.  Some key points: You can challenge the value by filing a grievance. That MUST BE DONE BY June 21st. Second– if your increase was less than 8% there should not be any  significant  impact on your taxes since most properties saw an increase in value of 8%.  The phone of the Assessors office is 914-989-1520.

In 2016 the Town of Greenburgh underwent an important and much needed reassessment project. All properties were assessed at 100% of full market value. It is the goal of the Town to maintain its original investment in the 2016 project by continuing to maintain accurate property assessments at 100% of full market value. Accurate property assessments ensure property owners are apportioned their fair share of the property tax levy.

As planned, the Town just completed its annual assessment process for the 2022 assessment roll. Changes in assessments reflect market value shifts and/or physical changes due to a change in property inventory data. Property owners are asked to focus on their 2022 assessed value to determine whether this value reflects what is believed to be the current full market value of the property as of the applicable July 1, 2021 Valuation Date. We encourage you to visit the Assessor’s page on our website to view property information.

All property owners will be receiving in the mail New York State Official Change of Assessment Notice(s) for their property(ies). A change in your property’s assessment does not necessarily indicate that your taxes will change. Your tax liability will be affected by several factors, including: changes to school/county/municipal budgets, changes to assessments of other properties, changes to exemptions applicable to your property and other properties, and apportionment of school and county taxes among multiple municipal segments.

In fact, on average, most properties in the Town of Greenburgh saw an 8% increase in assessed value. If the increase in your assessed value is at or around 8%, the proportion of your tax burden will likely not change significantly, nor will your annual tax bill.

However, if you disagree with your full market value estimate, you are entitled to challenge your assessment through the Board of Assessment Review from June 1 through June 21st, 2022. Grievance applications (form RP-524) are available on our website at

https://www.greenburghny.com/171/Challenging-Your-Assessment  or by calling our office.

Our office is open from 9 AM until 5 PM Monday through Friday, you can either send your Grievance in via USPS or deliver to the office.  All petitions MUST be received on or before June 21 at 9PM. Please contact us directly at 914-989-1520 if you require more information regarding your 2022 tentative assessment.

YOU DO NOT HAVE TO RETAIN THE SERVICES OF A TAX REPRESENTATIVE.  This is a simple process, with instructions on our website. If you choose to hire a representative, please read the contract very closely!!!!!

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THE WHITE PLAINS WEEK JUNE 3 REPORT COUNTYWIDE ON WWW.WPCOMMUNITYMEDIA.ORG

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JOHN BAILEY AND THE NEWS EVERY WEEK ON WHITE PLAINS WEEK FOR 22 YEARS—-TONIGHT:
THE MEMORIAL DAY CEREMONY IN WHITE PLAINS NEW YORK USA
PLAYLAND PLAYING CATCH UP BALL — 6 DAYS TO OPENING
FASNY AND THE CITY AND GEDNEY ASSOCIATION GO TO COURT FOR THE LAST TIME — BUT YOU NEVER KNOW
COVID TAKES A HOLIDAY
TESTING LOWERS AND NEW CASES LOWER THEN RISE WITHIN TWO DAYS
EXPLODING THE MYTH OF THE 7-DAY POSITIVE RATE PER 100,000 POPULATION “METRIC”
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WESTCHESTER POSITIVES ON 3,017 TESTS LAST 5 DAYS: 535, 107 A DAY –12.4% INFECTION RATE. HIGHEST SINCE MID-JANUARY. 2ND WEEK IN ROW OF REDUCED POSITIVES FOR COUNTY. POSITIVES IN COUNTY UP 398 ON JUNE 1 REPORT.

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WESTCHESTER 7 DAY SPREAD BY POPULATION: 391 – ON TRACK FOR CLOSE TO 3,000 INFECTIONS…

WPCNR COVID DAILY. From the New York State Covid Tracker. Observation & Analysis by John F. Bailey. June 2, 2022UPDATED 7:21 P.M. EDT:

The New York State Covid Tracker reported 349 Covid Positives in Westchester County yesterday without an explanation of any sort that the total of 349 was the cumulative positives for  the last 4 days Saturday, the 28th, Sunday the 29th, Memorial Day the 30th and Tuesday, May 31st.

ON JUNE 1, the Covid Tracker reported late this afternoon, 398 testing positive Wednesday on 4,775 tested an 8.4% positve rate, bringing the county total since Sunday to 747, or 186 positives a day that would register 1,302 positive for the week if that pace continued. On Wednesday, the 9 counties surrounding Westchester reported 1,815 positive cases on June 1, yesterday, which is 73% of the 2,484 new positive cases New York City experienced Wednesday. IF the 398 level continues in that level of positives , the week total could reach 2,902 for the week by Saturday continuing the 3,000 a week pace for Westchester alone.

WPCNR’S COVIDSTOPPERS NOTEBOOK JUST OUT FOR WEDNESDAY, JUNE 1. The 398 infections for Westchester, if it continues for 3 days, could again bring 3,000 new infections in Westchester for the week. Mid-Hudson region positive percentage averaged declined to 7%, 1% is controlling of covid.

As WPCNR reported Monday, the state in a  Governor Kathy Hochul covid update on May 17th   said they would suspend reporting of test results over Memorial Weekend in this note  pictured below:

The May 17 Press Release announcing the suspension of Covid test results over Memorial Day Weekend.

WPCNR asked the Governor’s Press Office this morning if the Tuesday results were cumulative for all 4 days, since there was no special disclaimer on the standard state format explaining it was (or was not a 4 day total covering the 28th,29th,30th, 31st total positive tests for all the counties by county.

So, assuming as the state did exactly what they said they would do, the 349 new positives for Westchester are a total of the Saturday, Sunday Monday Tuesday positive results, which as the graphic from yesterday shows 349 positives for Westchester, let’s go to see what this appears to show:

The 349 new positive test results on 3,017 tests those last 4 days yield a 12.4% infection rate.

It is a little uneasy to realize that that infection rate the last 4 days is the highest infection rates since  the week of January 9th to the 15th when we were testing 13,000 to 14,000 a day. On January 15 there were 17,534 tests with 2,171 infections (12.4%) This means that a lot more persons are spreading the disease right now than we know have it.   WPCNR  finds this a matter of concern.

A second way of measuring spread is the Positives per 100,000 metric that as WPCNR pointed out Monday gives a false impression of how good the counties across the state, including Westchester are doing. Last night, I broke out the state metric put out yesterday for the 9 counties surrounding New York City by total population.

Here is what I found:

MID-HUDSON  AVG DAILY POS/100k   2020 POP.     7 DAY POSITIVES

WESTCHESTER           36                            1,004,456                  391  

ORANGE                     31                             401,310                     124    

ROCKLAND                 31                             338,329                    115

DUTCHESS                 27                              293,293                      80

ULSTER                       26                              177,716                       46

PUTNAM                    32                                97,668                       32

SULLIVAN                   37                                78,624                        29

7 COUNTIES            220 (31 avg)               2,391,396                     817 (117 avg)

This means Westchester is averaging for last 7 days, 400 new positives weekly tops in the Mid-Hudson Region in spread, and each of the 7 counties including Westchester is averaging 117 new positives a week and 817 positives a week from all 7 counties combined.

It is easy to see why a positives per 100,000 calculation is more comforting for the Center for Disease Control to rely on. It has the effect of diminishing the scope of the spread across the nation and New York State over 7 days.

Down on Long Island, Nassau County and Suffolk showed these figures yesterday for previous 4 days.

                        AVG  DAILY POS./100K         2020 POP          7 DAY POSITIVES WEEK

NASSAU                      44.7                           1,355,090                           609

SUFFOLK                     39.2                            1,525,290                          594

 All 9 Counties combined for 2,020 new positives last week.

Take into account the figures for New York City on yesterday WPCNR COVIDSTOPPERS NOTEBOOK, and you can note that all 9 counties were counted for 1,949 new positives, compared to 2,802 for New York City. 

The aberration caused by suspended counts the last  5 days has created perhaps too much of an impression that covid is over.

The numbers say otherwise.

Last week from May 15 to  21, Westchester had 3,510 infections, this week May 22 through  28, giving Saturday 87 new positives, the total for the week was 2,553 infections 27% less than last week.

We await tonight’s report.                     

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WPCNR DAILY DATELINE OF REPORTING REQUISITES, RESOURCES, AND OLD RELIABLES
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COVID TEST RESULTS SUSPENDED OVER WEEKEND. GOVERNOR’S OFFICE CONFIRMS. NO REASON GIVEN.

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POSITIVES  FOR SATURDAY SUNDAY MONDAY TUESDAY EXPECTED TODAY. PRESS OFFICE WARNS NUMBERS MIGHT BE HIGHER THAN USUAL DUE TO POSSIBLE 4 DAYS ACCUMULATED RESULTS.

WESTCHESTER ON TARGET FOR 3RD STRAIGHT DECLINE IN POSITIVES ABOUT A 25% DECLINE FOR COUNTY TO APPROXIMATELY 2,700 ESTIMATED FOR LAST WEEK, PENDING A SATURDAY NUMBER.

WPCNR COVID DAILY. By John F. Bailey.  June 1, 2022 UPDATED 4 P.M. E.D.T.:

As WPCNR noted over the weekend, the Covid Tracker did not give Friday, Saturday, Sunday or Monday results yesterday when it resumed reporting, with no explanation on the Tracker site.

I asked the Governor’s press office this morning why, and a press spokesperson pointed out that in a Governor Hochul covid news release on May 17 , it was announced ( it was not repeated in the Hochul announcement on Covid Friday) :


“IMPORTANT NOTE: Due to the holiday, HERDS data collection from health care facilities will be paused from Saturday, May 28 to Monday, May 30. Data from Friday, May 27 will be reported on Tuesday, May 31.
 Further, four days of cumulative data—from May 28 to June 1—will be reported on Wednesday, June 1. As a result, some data may appear higher than recent trends.

WPCNR notes that the May 31 resumption of the NY Covid-19 Tracker reports results of the previous day as follows. However the Covid Tracker did not clarify that the “Previous Day” results were not Monday the 30th results, but actually were Friday, May 27 results.

As the press spokesperson indicates for emphasis, “Four days of cumulative data-from (Saturday) May 28 to June 1- Wednesday will be reported on Wednesday, June 1. As a result some data may appear higher than recent trends.”

THE WPCNR COVID LOGBOOK SHOWING THE DATA GAPS TO BE FILLED TODAY.

For the record, locally on Friday, Westchester reported 186 positive new cases of covid of 2,009 tested a 9.7% infection rate.

THE WPCNR COVID STOPPERS NOTEBOOK FOR FRIDAY, JANUARY 27–RESULTS PUBLISHED TUESDAY.

The Mid-Hudson Region including Westchester, Dutchess, Orange, Rockland, Ulster, Putnam and Sullivan counties recorded  409 new cases Friday on 4,200 tests, an over all positive percentage 10%  (the 4th straight week the 7 Mid-Hud counties hit the 10% positive rate), on very limited testing that averaged 5,000 tests a day.

It should be noted that the 186 cases Friday in Westchester made for 2,466 total positives for the first 6 days of last week.

New York City all five boroughs reported 1,690 cases last Friday, down from the 3,000 a day the had been averaging. The 844 cases combined of all 7 Mid-Hudson and Nassau and Suffolk Counties are half of the New York City totals.

On the previous Saturday, Westchester reported 376 positives on 4,928 tests. So if Westchester generated that number of tests Saturday the 28th, , which WPCNR doubts because of the low tests Friday (2,009), 60% less tests than the Saturday of May 21, then you may see 225 Positives for Saturday the 28th.

That proportionate number would give Westchester 2,691 postives May  22 to 28 which would be a 23% drop in positives from the 3,510 last week.

The 2,691 positives still works out to 384 new postives a day last week, which is a rate of 2,700 new postives a week.

COUNTY EXECUTIVE GEORGE LATIMER GIVING HIS REMARKS ON COVID TUESDAY AFTERNOON

WPCNR awaits the tale the last 4 days numbers will tell.

If the state lumps all the positives from 4 days into one day today, and does not break them out, you won’t know due to the (WPCNR presumed) low tests over a holiday weekend where we are.

One question that WPCNR did not get answered was why the labs stopped reporting at all. To WPCNR’s records, and we asked, but did not get a confirmation of this, the Covid Tracker has never stopped over a holiday weekend in the two years of Covid.

It reported every day.

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