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BUSINESSES ARE TRUSTED SOURCE IN THIS RESPIRATORY SEASON: YOUR LOCAL EPIDEMIOLOGIST

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Outbreak Outlook – Northeast – November 6

Welcome to the Northeast edition of Outbreak Outlook! It is only available to paid subscribers. If you wish to become a paid subscriber and access region-specific information, please click the Subscribe Now button below. Thanks for reading! -Caitlin

Respiratory diseases

Influenza-like illness

Influenza-like illness is climbing in the Northeast region. Around 2.5% of visits to the doctor are for fever and cough or sore throat in the region, which is similar to the overall national rate.

However, patterns differ widely among states in the region. While the overall regional trend is drifting upward, it’s mostly New York and New Jersey affected right now. New York has the highest rate at 3.9%, up slightly from 3.8% last week. New Jersey follows at 3.6%.

  • New York City has launched a new public health campaign to raise the city’s average life span to 83 years. Life expectancy fell to 78 in 2020, in part due to the pandemic. In 2019, it was 82.6. The campaign will target six drivers of premature deaths: Covid-19, chronic and diet-related diseases, drug overdoses, suicides, violence, and maternal mortality. By 2030, officials are aiming to reduce deaths from Covid-19 by 60%.

Other Northeastern states have substantially lower rates, all under 2%. New Hampshire, Maine, and Vermont have especially low rates, all holding below 1%.

At the national level, among children ages 0-4, 9% of visits to the doctor were for ILI symptoms, up from 8% two weeks ago.

In comparison, doctor visits for ILI symptoms was significantly lower in older age groups: only 4.2% in the 5 to 24 age range, and for adults above 24, the rate was even lower, at 2% or less.

Quick update about the plots below: I heard you, readers—the grey lines are getting the boot. Meanwhile, I’m crafting a nice new state-by-state visualization. Hang tight, updates are coming soon!



RSV

Last week, I reported that RSV was increasing across the Northeast, with notable increases in test positivity in several states, including Massachusetts (up to 7.2%), New Hampshire (3.6%), and Connecticut (3.1%). CDC data have not been updated since then (most recent data is from October 21). I will be watching for updates to see how viral spread is shifting in the Northeast. 

This year is the first year that RSV vaccines are available for infants and older adults to lower their risk of acquiring severe illness. Shortages in the vaccine for infants have led the CDC to alter its recommendations to prioritize vaccination for those infants most at risk of serious complications of infection; the vaccine for older adults is separate and unaffected by this shortage.


Other Respiratory + Stomach Bugs

  • Seasonal coronavirus activity in the Northeast remains low, but it does appear to be starting its typical seasonal increase.
  • Human metapneumovirus activity appears to be low in the Northeast, coming down after a bit of a blip a couple weeks ago.
  • Adenovirus and parainfluenza virus activity appears to be trending upward slightly, but the data have not been updated since October 21 and are only available at a national level.
  • Norovirus (stomach bug) activity is bouncing around a little bit. Last week I noted that it had been increasingly bit by bit over the course of the previous month. This week, it’s back down again. Currently levels are not too consequential either way, but I’ll keep an eye on it.

Food recalls

New this week:

  • Multiple brands of eye drops, including some additional brands (more info)
  • Multiple brands of Apple Cinnamon Fruit Puree, including some additional (more info)

Previously reported:

  • Fresh diced onion products by Gills Onions (more info)
  • Enoki mushrooms by Qilu Enterprise (more info)
  • Lobster by Greenhead Lobster (more info)
  • Ready-to-eat beef and chicken meatballs from Phu Huong Food Company (more info)
  • Bagged collard greens sold at Kroger (more info)

If you have food allergies, you may wish to review these FDA safety alerts and USDA alerts for foods with undeclared allergens.


In Other News

  • Massachusetts has reported its sixth human case of West Nile virus this year. The patient, a man in his 70s, was likely exposed in Middlesex County, which is known to have a moderate risk of West Nile virus. As temperatures decrease throughout the autumn, the risk of West Nile and other mosquito-borne viruses will decrease, but risk will remain until all areas have experienced a hard frost (<28 degrees F). Health officials urge people to continue to take precautions against mosquito-borne illnesses in the meantime: use mosquito repellent, and wear long-sleeve shirts and pants.
  • West Nile virus is asymptomatic for most people. When symptoms occur, they include fever, body aches, vomiting, diarrhea, and rash. In rare cases, severe illness can develop, with older adults being at higher risk. 
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“THANK YOU, THANK YOU, THANK YOU…”

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THE MAN WHO TURNED SCAMS INTO HAPPY ENDINGS–ARNOLD DIAZ

HE JUST WANTED TO HELP. HE DID!

WPCNR ON THE BEAT.  News & Comment By John F. Bailey. November 5, 2023:

The WCBS2 Shame on You started when I was just of college.

They had cinema verite’ reality,  before we knew that’s what we were seeing.

There was the dashing mustashed reporter with microphone with the CBS2Eye on the end,  knocki, knock knocking on the office door  of a corporate cheat or a boiler room scammer, with a video cameraman on his heels behind him, camera jiggling portraying tense, anything-can-happen action.

I would watch him ambush a business owner, or an executive who had done a person wrong, with this intrepid young man  with the black moustache (looking like Boston Blackie) all business knocking on the door like the police  would do in tv dramas a few years later.

“Channel 2 News,  we want to talk to…”

No response. The video camera behind  Diaz would come in closer, jiggling for drama. It was like nothing on TV that had ever been seen. A reporter getting into a story with passion, intensity. Relentless.

Mr. Diaz would knock louder, camera showing him up close knocking incessantly

“Sir, this is Arnold Diaz, of Channel 2 Shame on You can you  explain these undelivered products people are complaining to us.”

‘Go away you (BEEP BIPITY BEEP) We’re not talking.”

“We want you to explain these complaints. Otherwise we talk about it tonight on Shame on You Channel 2 News.”

On the segment if there was no explanation, or the target ducked ducked, ducked–Mr. Diaz would interview complaining victims, many of whom got their  money back or got their bureaucratic problem straightened out.

Inevitably the corporate baron or bungling goverment offical, would open the posh door or shabby hole in the wall some hiding their faces and Mr. Diaz,  gaining entry with video tape rolling  following the action, and viewers saw the cheater, conman, or fraud artist squirm or not answer questions. Other times Diaz would chase the target down the street.

I do not know the news director of CBS2 who had the courage to introduce the Diaz reports. Diaz came to The Big Apple, joining WCBS 2 in 1973.  His first job was at WPLG Miami and moved to CBS in 1973.

Arnold Diaz, this young intrepid  fearless reporter who knew not awaited him behind the door if it was opened, and a lot did….being spitted upon,  shoved and threatened with gun in a gold seller’s office, as The Times relates, as he told Richard Sandomir in Mr. Sandomir’s obituary of the intrepid Mr. Diaz.

His reports inspired many young people to become reporters  showed them why reporting was needed and more reporters – including me.

When I graduated college I got a job delivering papers for the Long Islander in Huntington NY, and the editor there, Gerald Lyons, gave me a chance to do reporting. Six months later I  started at WMAL ABC in Washington in an intern program, preparing news film, but left the program due to the realization that the traininf was going nowhere. Trainees were not regularly hired there so  I returned to New York, and wrote myself into a copywriting job at Prentice-Hall and stayed in advertising for 33 years.

But I remembered the excitement of news. Mr. Diaz reports that made a difference in people’s lives because of his dogged reporting and research.

I also remember my first editor, the white-haired Gerald Lyons in his rumpled wool sweater white shirt and loose tie saying to me when I informed I’d be going to Washington to the television news job, he congratulated me and, said, “Well, don’t go too far away from news writing.”

He knew me better than I knew myself. Sometimes it takes a lifetime to know thyself.

It is the people who stay with the story, follow up, don’t quit, and editors that don’t quit pushing the reporters for more, and of course great performers like Arnold Diaz, who always set things right and as Mr. Diaz said in Mr. Sandomir’s obituary, “I’ve been lucky to have had a dream job, standing up for the little guy, sticking it to the bad guys.”

I believe he started investigative consumer reporting.

But there was nobody better than Arnold Diaz

He won 48 Emmy Awards.

When I departed freelance copywriting, I noticed that the national media was not covering the protests at the World Trade Organization meeting in  Seattle, in 1999,  (the anniversary of which is coming up November 30).

The networks were ignoring the protests outside the arena it was held at in Seattle. But the internet was showing the protests forcing the networks to finally cover the violence.

I got to wondering why there was not more news coverage of White Plains in the chain paper that put out one edition for all cities in the county.

The newsman long buried  in my underused mind emerged and I started the White Plains CitizeNetReporter 23 years ago.

So thank you Arnold Diaz and Gerald Lyons for your inspiration. Mr. Diaz for his reports that made a difference every time he did them, and Mr. Lyons who told me to stay with news 55 years ago.

 

 

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Congressman Bowman of the 16th District Gives update on the Israeli-Gaza War

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Dear Neighbor,

As my team and I continue to monitor the unfolding events in Israel and Palestine as well as the rise in antisemitism and hate here, I wanted to share some updates with you on Congress’ response – and to reaffirm my belief in centering compassion and our shared humanity as we consider policies to address the tragic loss of precious lives and do everything in our power to bring peace and de-escalation to violence.

First of all, I want to offer my profound thanks to the families of Israeli hostages held by Hamas in Gaza for meeting with me today. I am in awe of their strength and courage and their willingness to share their stories with me. I will continue to push for the safe return of the hostages and make sure their stories are heard.

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The profound fear and trauma from the events of October 7th in Israel are deep and shocking. I hear daily from our Jewish neighbors about the enormous impact it has made. Our office is hosting a series of roundtables for those impacted and to process the events and work together toward solutions, even if we all cannot agree. Please register here if you’d like to attend a Healing Breakfast specifically discussing antisemitism and protecting our Jewish neighbors that we are hosting on Monday November 6th at 11AM. Location will be provided upon registration. Please be on the lookout for more events that will bring our communities together in the face of extreme violence and hate.

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I recognize that the attacks by Israel on Gaza did not occur in a vacuum. They were triggered by the atrocities of Oct 7: the murder by Hamas, a recognized terrorist organization, of 1400 civilians and the kidnapping of over 240 people including children and the elderly. I believe that Israel has the right to defend itself against Hamas and to do everything in its power to ensure the safe return of all the hostages that have been taken into Gaza. I further understand that a military response by Israel is made more difficult by the fact that Hamas, in violation of international law, places its military infrastructure in civilian locations including hospitals and schools.

The deaths of Palestinian children and other innocent civilians in Gaza is now numbering in the thousands and is continuing at a horrific rate. As a result, I have called for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza because every life is precious. This must also include a release of the hostages.

Still, Israel does not have the right to respond to Hamas’ war crimes with war crimes of its own: by cutting off food, water and energy to civilians or by disproportionately killing non combatants. That is what I believe is happening now and why a cease fire is imperative.

But a ceasefire is needed for an additional reason: to face the root causes of the conflict. As horrific as Oct 7 was, those events also did not occur in vacuum. Palestinians have for decades suffered under a brutal stifling military occupation in the West Bank that have deprived Palestinians of civil rights and under policies that have allowed for the systematic annexation of Palestinian land. The blockade of Gaza has ensured a life of massive unemployment and poverty for Gazans for decades. It is these conditions that have allowed Hamas to maintain its authoritarian grip on Gazans and ultimately commit the heinous crimes of Oct 7. The cycle of violence will not end until these unjust realities are addressed and Palestinians have their own state. It is imperative that we cease the fighting now so that the root causes of the conflict can be addressed in a real and meaningful way.

With that said, we must do everything in our power to return to peacekeeping and commitment to creating a two state solution. This is the way that both Israeli and Palestinians can have true safety, security, and self determination.

Votes taken this week:

The House voted on H.R. 6126, providing military funding to Israel while undoing the IRS program intended to catch tax cheats. 194 of my Democratic colleagues voted against this legislation and I submitted an amendment to the bill that would require a detailed assessment of the Israeli government’s compliance with international law, and a certification that none of our support or training is being used to commit human rights violations, in accordance with U.S. law. As always, we have a responsibility to support our constituents, uphold human rights, and protect innocent civilians.

Republicans also brought a resolution to the floor, H. Res. 798, related to student conversations and protests on the ongoing conflict. While I agree with the thrust of the resolution that antisemitism is a major issue on college campuses, we are unable to support this resolution. As it is currently written, the resolution falsely implies that certain instances of antisemitism have gone unchallenged by university administrations, and its attack on Brandeis students is inaccurate and will be harmful to a number of Jewish students. I was pleased to see Senator Rosen and Blackburn’s resolution condemning antisemitism on college campuses last week, and we wish the drafters of H. Res. 798 had followed their example. Let me be very clear: I strongly condemn hatred, antisemitism and I will continue to do everything I can to combat hatred and harassment at schools across the country.

Lastly, earlier this week we voted on H.R. 340, which puts restrictions on funding sent to the Middle East. I absolutely support robust efforts to cut off financing from Hamas. They must be defeated through counter terrorist methods while keeping civilians safe. However, Republicans removed a humanitarian aid exemption from the bill that would have protected innocent Palestinian civilians’ access to food, water, and medicine. To make it worse, on the floor of the House, the bill’s lead sponsor Brian Mast cruelly compared all Palestianans to Nazis on the House floor, further revealing the bad intentions behind the bill. Along with dozens of other Democrats, I could not support a bill intended to hurt children and withhold life saving aid.

I understand that we are all feeling the weight of the collective trauma and grief that these events have impressed upon us. I will continue to call for a de-escalation of violence, the immediate release of hostages, and measures that move us toward lasting security and ensure everyone can thrive. I hope you will join me in our ongoing fight for peace.

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WHITE PLAINS WEEK THE FRIDAY NOV 3 REPORT WITH JOHN BAILEY AND THE NEWS 7:30 EDT ON WPTV YOUR WHITE PLAINS TV STATION! CH 45 FIOS CH 76 OPTIM OR WWW.WPCOMMUNITYMEDIA.ORG====

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JOHN BAILEY ON THE VOTER’S JOB AND THE POLITICIAN’S RESPONSIBILITY

 

CHRISTOPHER GOMEZ ON THE GALLERIA WHAT’S NEXT

THREE FOR THE 16TH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT– SHOCKER OF THE WEEK

OVERFLOWING WHITE PLAINS EMERGENCY ROOM PROMPTS BUILDIING EXPANDED FACILITY

COVID CASES DOWN 7 OF LAST 8 WEEKS. ON TRACK FOR LOWER COVID DECEMBER

JOHN BAILEY REVIEW: HOW INCOMPETENCE , GREED, EGOS, CORRUPTION ,  HOSPITALS

BUREAUCRACIES  KILLED THOUSANDS AND STILL HAVE NOT STOPPED COVID.

PLUS JANET LANGSAM OF ARTSWESTCHESTER ON THE ARTS ROLE IN THE COUNTY ECONOMY 

EARLY VOTING SURGE

AND HONORING COUNTY LEGISLATOR BEN BOYKIN

JOHN BAILEY AT LARGE

23 YEARS REPORTING THE NEWS YOU NEED TO KNOW

THIS WEEK EVERY WEEK ON WPTV THE WHITE PLAINS TELEVISION STATION

EVERY WEEK ON WHITE PLAINS WEEK

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SATURDAY at 7 RESIDENTS ON “THE NEW ONEWHITEPLAINS COMPREHENSIVE PLAN SPECIAL” ANALYSIS ON “PEOPLE TO BE HEARD” WPTV YOUR TELEVISION STATION: 8 PM CH 45 FIOS , OPTIMUM CH 76 IN WHITE PLAINS AND www.wpcommunitymedia.org

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THE ANALYSTS 

WHO HAVE READ THE DRAFT ONEWHITEPLAINS PLAN:

 

MILAGROS LECUONA,

INTERNATIONAL PLANNER, 12-YEAR COUNCILWOMAN

GARY O’BRIEN 

ON ZONING OBSERVATIONS

BENJAMIN BROWN

ON OBJECTIVES

JOHN BAILEY INTERVIEWS THREE  WHITE PLAINS RESIDENTS WHO HAVE BEEN FOLLOWING THE ONEWHITEPLAINS PLAN CLOSELY AND THEY WEIGH IN ON WHAT THE PLAN DOES AND DOES NOT DO.

 THEIR IMPRESSIONS OF THE DRAFT ONEWHITEPLAINS PLAN PRESENTED LAST WEEK

THE OBJECTIVES OUTLINED BY THE PLAN

FEASIBILITY

WILL DEVELOPERS BUY IN TO THE IDEALISTIC GOALS

CAN THE CITY PAY FOR THE PROJECTS NOT DEVELOPMENTS

IMPLEMENTATION PLAN IS IT INCLUSIVE?

AND MORE

 

 

 

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WESTCHESTER DOWN 41%% IN COVID CASES COMPARED TO LAST OCTOBER. 7TH WEEK OF REDUCED CASES 7 IN LAST EIGHT.

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WPCNR WESTCHESTER COVID SURVEILLANCE. Data from NY State Health Department. Observation and Analysis By John f. Bailey. November 2, 2023:

Westchester County has reduced the rate of covid spread  41% compared to last October.

Westchester new covid positives October 2 to October 29 were 2,687,  (1,876 FEWER CASES) compared to  4,563 in October 2022.

This is a significant lowering of the disease spread from last October that set the stage for a rise in infections in November that produca reduction last rate of the disease spread which built in the month of November and generated 10,091 new covid cases in the county last December.

Last week October 22 to 28, Westchester reported 474 persons testing covid positive, 68 per day. Sunday the County recorded 39.

The County averaged 7.5 persons positive per 100,000 people, (Westchester has 1,004,000 population or 10.04 segments of 100,000) which computes to 75 new cases a day, and 527 for a week which works out to 2,108 over 4 weeks.  The month October 2023 the figure is 2,687 indicating more persons were testing positive early this month when the average cases in Westchester  averaged 10 new cases per day. This indicates to me that less people are getting sick the last two weeks than the first two weeks of October. That is a good trend.

The figures bear that out.

Oct 1 to 7: 887 positives

Oct 8-14: 697   positives

Oct 15-21: 629 positives

Oct 22-28: 474 positives

White Plains Hospital Medical Center last week reported 77 hospital beds occupied as of Oct.31 and of those 77, 32 were found positive for covid, or 41%, which is down from 57% positives  a week ago.

The hospital according to Health Department data reported 87% of beds occupied, two weeks ago October 15.

The lowering positives figure (after admission) continues going down.

The 41% positive found in persons admitted to beds not for covid but found positive once admitted is the lowest percentage in a month..

From October 2 through October 31, White Plains Hospital Medical Center reported 319 admissions to hospital beds, and of those 200 tested positive with covid, a percentage of 63%.  From October 24 through October 31, the hospital had  a lower rate of “after admission covid positives:

Oct 20: 21 Admitted to beds, 10  found positive after admission

Oct 23: 21 Admitted to beds, 10  found positive after admission

Oct 24:  14 Admitted to beds,  4  found positive after admission

Oct 25:  12  Admitted to beds , 5  found positive after admission

Oct 26   14  Admitted to beds    4  found positive after admission

Oct 27    11 Admitted to beds    5 found positive after admission

Oct 30     12 Admitted to beds   7 found positive after admission

Oct 31     14 Admitted to beds   7 found positive after admission

Total         119  Admitted to beds   52  found positive after admission  (43% )

In November last year Westchester reported 6,676 covid infections, compared to 4,563 covid cases in October. Because Westchester has lowered infections in October 2023  to 2,687  and with more persons scheduled to vaccinate with boosters at this time the November December social spread may by cut to 6,000 in December if the present lowering infections trends continue.

We’ll keep an eye on it for you

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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WASTEWATER SWITCH. CDC CHANGES WASTEWATER DATA SUPPLIER. 100 DAY STOP WORK ORDER FOR NEW VENDOR

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6 Comments

This is a great post and very informative. Seems sometimes wastewater data is all we have left. I agree the CDC site is a bit tricky, but the link you provide shows a page where users only have to scroll down to find the place to choose their state and county. In my part of NY state the numbers seems to show a rapid and huge spike coinciding with school and college starting up again in person…

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I knew this was coming, but thanks for the additional information. In a perfect world, I’d like to see several systems collecting non-overlapping data, allowing comparison and correlation.

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