Enjoying this newsletter? Why not share it with a friend? A unilateral change to childhood vaccines: What it means for youAnd why it matters
Well, he did it. He actually did it. RFK Jr. unilaterally made sweeping changes to the routine vaccination schedule for children in the United States. This change isn’t based on new data or new evidence, but rather on political and ideological reasons. He bypassed every scientific and clinical process we have, including not taking public comment. It is one of the most opaque and destabilizing public health decisions I’ve seen—it could blow up a lot of progress in childhood vaccines, which have been one of the most successful public health interventions in history. In its wake there will be confusion among parents, schools, and hospital systems, disruption of clinical workflows, possibility of increased liability, and complications with school vaccine requirements. The result is painfully predictable: fewer children will be vaccinated, and children will be harmed. This is overwhelming, but we are far from powerless. So let’s dig into: What the heck just happened? Why is this shift a problem if other countries do it? What does it mean for you? And, what can be done about it? What the heck just happened?RFK Jr. directed the CDC Acting Director to formally update the U.S. childhood immunization schedule, effective immediately, to the following:
RFK Jr. is moving away from population-level prevention and toward individualized risk assessment. This is a fundamental shift in how the U.S. has protected vulnerable groups, how families are guided, and how parents will be asked to make decisions. That shift matters. A lot. Why is this a problem? It’s like going off-roading in a PorscheThe administration’s justification for this shift relies on comparisons to “peer countries” that recommend fewer vaccines. Denmark protects against 10 diseases, Germany 15, and Japan against 14. On the surface, this seems reasonable. But here’s the problem: terrain matters. Take Denmark. Denmark’s health and social system is well organized, well funded, and built for consistency, seamless integration for patients, and to provide a safety net for every family. Prenatal care is reliable. Nearly every child receives care on schedule. Follow-up is immaculate. And families have 46 paid weeks of maternity leave. It’s like a smooth, meticulously maintained highway where a sports car can thrive.
The U.S. health system is more like off-road trails in Utah. It’s fragmented, uneven, expensive, and wildly variable depending on where you live. Access depends on insurance, geography, clinic capacity, transportation, and state policy. This needs a 4-Runner built to handle potholes, steep drop-offs, and unpredictable conditions. Take flu and Hepatitis B, again:
It is beyond time we fix our roads so there are fewer health potholes in the United States. Until then, the U.S. needs a vaccine schedule designed for our messy reality. Now, we will be driving a Porsche (made for smooth roads) through those off-road trails in Utah, which is highly problematic. Many of the loudest arguments for simplifying schedules come from people who experience the smoothest roads: stable insurance, reliable care, and flexibility at work. But to reduce infectious diseases, public health guidance has to be built for everyone. Timing, access, and support systems are part of what make vaccines effective. FAQ: What does this mean for you?We asked YLE paid subscribers what their questions were yesterday. There were a lot of good ones. Here are answers to the top 6 that we didn’t address previously in this post. 1. Can I still go to the “before” schedule? Yes, and you should. The American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP), which represents more than 70,000 pediatricians, still recommends the previous schedule. You can find it HERE (bookmark the page). Families can still access the full range of childhood immunizations, even if their child isn’t on the high-risk list. 2. Will insurance cover my child’s vaccines, even if they’re not on the schedule? Yes. The administration said that all vaccines covered by federal insurance programs—Medicaid, CHIP, and the Vaccines for Children program—remain covered. Private insurance companies have also said they will continue coverage. Whether this continues long-term is uncertain, but for now, your child’s vaccines are covered at no cost, even if your child is not high-risk. If this changes, hold the administration accountable. One exception: HPV. If your child is getting two doses, the second dose will likely not be covered under this new directive. This would be a big problem for cancer prevention. 3. Was this change legal? It’s a gray area. The vaccination schedule can be changed by a directive from the HHS Secretary without going to the ACIP (the external advisory committee) for a vote. Precedent for this approach was set in May 2025 with changes to the pediatric and pregnancy COVID-19 vaccine schedule. The legality of this action is currently under litigation by AAP. However, no injunction was issued to block implementation, meaning the revised schedule has remained in effect while the case proceeds through the courts. 4. Will health departments or NGOs be able to fill the gap? Nothing replaces clear, evidence-based guidance from the federal government as its reach and resources are unmatched. But many organizations, both new and established, have been mobilizing for the past six months—professional medical societies (AAP), coalitions, states, medical systems, and individual providers. We are trying our best to plug the holes. 5. Will this change access in the future? Possibly. If there is enough confusion and enough kids don’t get the vaccines, pharmaceutical companies might adjust production decisions, which could affect vaccine availability down the line. It’s also not clear how insurance coverage will play out in the long run. 6. What is shared clinical decision making (SCDM)? At its core, it’s a conversation about the benefits and risks of vaccines. That’s always been important, but how it’s carried out is left to the practitioner, and it can look different depending on where you go. Some clinicians may use a standard template, while others will sit down for a one-on-one discussion. In some cases, a technician will cover the basics before the pharmacist gives final approval. This sounds collaborative… But in practice, clinicians already do these things, and this policy signals these vaccines are now optional rather than routine. This changes how doctors counsel parents, how systems build reminders, and how families perceive importance. SCDM has historically been used for vaccines where risks could easily outweigh benefits. It was never intended to be used for widespread vaccination. 7. Why will this impact vaccination rates? There are myriad reasons, including:
This is going to look and feel different to everyone, but we are weakening core tenets of public health—that people should have easy, free access to vaccines, and health care practitioners should have the best information to recommend them. What you can do
Bottom lineRFK Jr.’s CDC now recommends routine vaccination against 11 diseases instead of 17, despite no change in the underlying scientific evidence. This is a major shift that risks weakening protection against preventable diseases at a time when outbreaks are rising, and children are already being hospitalized in a health system riddled with potholes, detours, and steep drop-offs. AAP still recommends the previous vaccination schedule, and it remains covered at no out-of-pocket cost. What is needed most right now is clarity, answers to questions, and listening to your concerns. Demand better from those who are not acting in your family’s best interest. Don’t let confusion—or politics—take that choice away from you. Love, YLE Your Local Epidemiologist (YLE) is founded and operated by Dr. Katelyn Jetelina, MPH PhD—an epidemiologist, wife. YLE reaches over 320,000 people in over 132 countries with one goal: “Translate” the ever-evolving public health science so that people will be well-equipped to make evidence-based decisions. This newsletter is free to everyone, thanks to the generous support of fellow YLE community members. To support the effort, subscribe or upgrade below:
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NY SENATOR GILLEBRAND TO TRUMP : “UNFREEZE THIS FUNDING AND STOP THIS BRAZEN ATTACK ON OUR CHILDREN.”unfreeze this funding and stop this brazen attack on our children.”
GILLIBRAND STATEMENT ON TRUMP ADMINISTRATION’S FREEZE OF CHILD CARE FUNDING IN NY
Washington, D.C. – Today, in response to reports that the Trump administration will freeze billions in funding meant for poor children and their families in New York and other Democrat-led states, U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand issued the following statement:
“My faith guides my life and public service. It’s our job to serve the people most in need and most at risk – no matter what state they live in or what political party their family or elected representatives belong to. To use the power of the government to harm the neediest Americans is immoral and indefensible. This has nothing to do with fraud and everything to do with political retribution that punishes poor children in need of assistance. I demand that President Trump unfreeze this funding and stop this brazen attack on our children.”
JANUARY 3 2026- STATE HEALTH COMMISSIONER CONFIRMS RECORD FLU HOSPITALIZATIONS IN NEW YORK
The state Department of Health said there were 4,546 flu hospitalizations last week, a 24% increase from the week before.
“We are having a more severe flu season than prior years, almost 1,000 more people were admitted to a hospital during this most recent seven-day period compared to the prior week,” state Health Commissioner Dr. James McDonald said in a statement on Friday.
“There is still time to get a flu shot and remember, flu can be treated with antiviral medication if started within 48 hours of symptom onset and your doctor deems appropriate.”
The number of people diagnosed with the flu overall — not just those who were hospitalized — also reached a record high last month of more than 72,000. Cases dropped last week by about a third to 49,000, state data show.
JANUARY 3 2026 CAITLIN RIVERS ON PUBLIC HEALTH INFORMATION FLU SPREAD IN NEW YORK AREA
Forgot to share that I spoke to the New York Times at length about the hepatitis B birth dose, changes to vaccine policy, and whether the public health enterprise needs a rethink.
We covered a lot of ground, but one place where I disagreed with my co-panelists is about how to consider public opinion in making recommendations. If you’ve read my book, you know I’m firmly in favor of truthtelling, no matter what.
In my opinion, public health recommendations should reflect the best evidence, full stop. Softening recommendations (and they’re only recommendations, mind you) to account for a minority of people who are hesitant is a mistake.
REPRINT OF MARISA DONNELLEY’S REPORT ON FLU, COVID — FLU SPREAD LAST WEEK OF DECEMBER
Your end-of-year New York virus briefing
On every train car I rode this weekend, at least two to three people were coughing. The super in my building has been in bed with a fever. Last week, coworkers were sniffling on Zoom. All the data for New York—cases, hospitalizations, emergency department visits, wastewater—point to a smoking gun: the flu.
We’re heading into peak travel season during the holidays, and respiratory viruses are along for the ride (especially the flu). So before we dive into your infectious disease “weather report” (plus a measles outbreak update in Rockland County), I want to emphasize that it’s not too late to get your flu, Covid, or RSV shots. We’ve got a couple more months of higher virus activity ahead of us. Getting vaccinated now can still reduce your risk of infection and serious illness.
(EDITOR’S NOTE: THE GOTHAMIST REPORTED TODAT JANUARY 3 FLU HOSPITALIZATIONS HAVE SET A RECORD THIS WEEK ENDING JANUARY 2
Infectious disease “weather report”
Flu: Continuing to increase sharply, and much faster than Covid or RSV. The most recent data show that cases and hospitalizations in the state have increased by 83% and 61%, respectively. Emergency department visits and hospitalizations for the flu in NYC are also rising, especially for kids.

The flu shot is most important for young kids and infants, older adults, those who are pregnant, and people with conditions that put them at higher risk. (See specific guidance here.) During last year’s flu season, 26 kids, only one of whom was vaccinated, tragically died of the flu.
Unfortunately, flu vaccination coverage is lower this year compared with the same time last year, especially for kids:
- Coverage for children 0–18 years is down by 7.5%.
- Coverage for adults 19 and up is down by 1.4%.
The best thing to do right now is make sure the kids in your life, and you, are vaccinated. Anyone 6 months or older can get vaccinated for the flu.
RSV: Also increasing across the state, mostly in kids under age 4. Statewide, hospitalizations increased by 32%.

RSV vaccination has a little bit more nuance to it because there are different immunizations based on one’s age:
For older adults:
- One RSV shot is recommended for everyone 75 and older.
- People 50–74 with risk factors for severe disease should also get vaccinated.
- Only one dose is needed—this is not a yearly vaccine.
For infants:
- All infants should be protected, either by:
- Vaccinating the pregnant parent between 32–36 weeks, or
- Giving monoclonal antibodies (like nirsevimab or clesrovimab) to the baby after birth.
- Most infants only need one of these options.
- If the pregnant parent got the RSV shot during a past pregnancy, the baby should get monoclonal antibodies.
For young children (8 to 19 months):
- It’s recommended that kids with risk factors for severe disease also get monoclonal antibodies going into their second RSV season.
- Nirsevimab is the only recommended option for this age group.
Covid: Continuing to increase in New York slowly. Statewide, Covid hospitalizations increased by 23%.

Measles is back in Rockland County
Rockland County is experiencing a measles outbreak. Twenty cases have occurred since October, bringing the total to 21 in 2025. All cases are in unvaccinated people, and mostly kids under 5.
Measles is one of the most contagious viruses we know: if one person has it, up to 9 out of 10 unvaccinated people around them will catch it too. It can also linger in the air for up to two hours after an infected person has left a room.
And it’s more than just a rash. At least four children in the Rockland County outbreak have been hospitalized, including one who was critically ill. Thankfully, all have since recovered. But it’s a reminder that measles is a serious illness. It can lead to pneumonia, brain swelling, and death, especially in children under 5, pregnant people, and those who are immunocompromised.
This is the county’s first outbreak since the large one in 2018–2019 (which saw more than 300 cases). Then, like now, measles took hold in communities with low MMR vaccination coverage. In some Rockland zip codes, less than 50% of eligible infants are vaccinated, far below the 95% needed for community protection.

The best thing to do right now is check the vaccination status of everyone in your family, and get up to date if needed. If you’re unsure whether you or your child is immune, talk to your healthcare provider. Immunity is confirmed with either two documented doses of the MMR vaccine or a blood test (titer) showing protection from past infection or vaccination.
Free MMR vaccines are available by calling the Rockland County Department of Health at 845-364-2497. The Spring Valley and Pomona clinics are also providing immunizations, as are local health care providers and local federally qualified health centers, such as Refuah Health or Sun River Health Care.
Bottom line
Flu is surging, RSV is rising, Covid is creeping up, and measles is back in Rockland. The good news? The best protection against all these is the same: vaccination. It’s not too late to get your flu, Covid, or RSV shots for this season, and to make sure that MMR vaccines are up to date.
Wishing you and your loved ones a relaxing, healthy, and joyful holiday season and New Year!
Love,
Your NY Epi
P.S. Some of you have asked about including Your Local Epidemiologist in your year-end charitable giving. I would be honored to have your support. YLE is a fiscally sponsored project of Social Good Fund, a California nonprofit corporation and registered 501(c)(3) organization, Tax ID (EIN) 46-1323531. You can make a tax-deductible donation online here.
If you need to send a paper check instead, the following is important: make the check out to Social Good Fund and write Your Local Epidemiologist in the memo. You can mail the check to: Social Good Fund, PO Box 5473, Richmond, CA 94805-4021.
And of course, you can always join us as a paid subscriber to support this work.
Dr. Marisa Donnelly, PhD, is an epidemiologist, science communicator, and public health expert. This newsletter exists to translate complex public health data into actionable insights, empowering New Yorkers to make informed and evidence-based health decisions.


